Orange-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

8,311

Trades

26,279

lifetime

Volume

$1.18M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 19:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 94% +$2,467

Other

7% 78% -$876

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:30 UTC	40	$2.4K	3,452	+3,452	Up	-$629	02-12 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	22	$2.1K	3,246	+3,246	Down	-$496	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:15 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,811	+1,811	Up	+$18	02-13 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 13:15 UTC	34	$1.8K	1,798	+1,798	Up	+$18	02-13 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 12:15 UTC	11	$1.8K	1,774	+1,774	Up	+$18	02-13 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 11:45 UTC	34	$1.7K	1,753	+1,753	Up	+$18	02-13 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 11:15 UTC	30	$1.7K	1,741	+1,741	Up	+$17	02-13 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 12:45 UTC	9	$1.7K	1,732	+1,732	Up	+$17	02-16 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:00 UTC	24	$1.7K	1,721	+1,721	Down	+$17	02-13 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:00 UTC	25	$1.7K	1,705	+1,705	Up	+$17	02-12 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 09:30 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,702	+1,702	Up	+$17	02-13 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:00 UTC	8	$1.7K	3,048	+3,048	Down	-$157	02-11 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 09:15 UTC	33	$1.7K	1,690	+1,690	Up	+$17	02-13 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:00 UTC	59	$1.7K	1,684	+1,684	Up	+$17	02-12 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:00 UTC	35	$1.7K	1,677	+1,677	Up	+$17	02-13 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:15 UTC	28	$1.7K	1,671	+1,671	Down	+$17	02-11 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:30 UTC	19	$1.6K	1,665	+1,665	Down	+$17	02-13 07:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:00 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,660	+1,660	Down	+$17	02-11 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 06:15 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,653	+1,653	Down	+$17	02-13 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:45 UTC	21	$1.6K	1,648	+1,648	Down	+$16	02-11 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,637	+1,637	Up	+$16	02-11 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 13:00 UTC	38	$1.6K	1,635	+1,635	Down	+$16	02-13 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 03:45 UTC	14	$1.6K	1,633	+1,633	Down	+$16	02-13 03:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:15 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,625	+1,625	Down	+$16	02-11 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 03:15 UTC	16	$1.6K	1,622	+1,622	Up	+$16	02-13 03:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 12:00 UTC	8	$1.6K	1,620	+1,620	Up	+$16	02-16 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:00 UTC	12	$1.6K	1,614	+1,614	Down	+$16	02-11 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 18:45 UTC	19	$1.6K	1,612	+1,612	Down	+$16	02-13 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 03:00 UTC	33	$1.6K	1,610	+1,610	Down	+$16	02-13 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	24	$1.6K	1,602	+1,602	Down	+$16	02-11 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3eb251…
10-30 16:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0a59c2…
10-30 16:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x044efb…
10-30 16:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bcd9a…
10-30 15:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x765d11…
10-30 15:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c5bcc…
10-30 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8af77…
10-30 13:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69a6d6…
10-30 12:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0e81a…
10-30 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x291b16…
10-30 11:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36b0d2…
10-30 09:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85b84e…
10-30 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb48b6c…
10-30 08:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa4353…
10-30 08:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a2583…
10-30 07:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42a558…
10-30 06:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8229e5…
10-30 05:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28ae46…
10-30 04:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6f33a…
10-30 01:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb37f8…
10-29 23:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5c736…
10-29 23:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x827c99…
10-29 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44d312…
10-29 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba40f6…
10-29 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1ce48…
10-29 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5d4f8…
10-29 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb28350…
10-29 16:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x09f705…
10-29 16:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef6c9a…
10-29 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1fab4…
10-29 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d4f98…
10-29 12:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7b35f…
10-29 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5a6a3…
10-29 11:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea157d…
10-29 10:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe98eb3…
10-29 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ea026…
10-29 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x401cff…
10-29 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc01f7b…
10-29 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8fe73…
10-29 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae6045…
10-29 06:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedf0bd…
10-29 06:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x909401…
10-29 04:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5f293…
10-29 04:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7b779…
10-29 03:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfe93e9…
10-29 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x96e40b…
10-29 02:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x728b47…
10-29 02:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99592c…
10-29 01:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80632e…
10-29 01:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89f041…
10-29 01:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x535802…
10-29 00:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e9a62…
10-28 23:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x953272…
10-28 23:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32b0f0…
10-28 22:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd93b74…
10-28 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3948e9…
10-28 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x074b7d…
10-28 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf55d4a…
10-28 20:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0a69a8…
10-28 20:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66143c…
10-28 20:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1d0ba…
10-28 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31cbcd…
10-28 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbbd34a…
10-28 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb49e97…
10-28 19:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa61ff6…
10-28 19:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70b258…
10-28 18:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe30f88…
10-28 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x05eee8…
10-28 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ffc10…
10-28 18:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x280abe…
10-28 17:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f68f2…
10-28 17:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe90c0a…
10-28 17:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8c805b…
10-28 17:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcdf467…
10-28 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e4471…
10-28 15:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdd5203…
10-28 14:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88bdc1…
10-28 14:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe6ae19…
10-28 13:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf27a36…
10-28 12:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f8ddd…
10-28 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff7270…
10-28 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x540df6…
10-28 11:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83c3fb…
10-28 11:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b64ae…
10-28 10:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x603117…
10-28 10:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e0a93…
10-28 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7a1ff…
10-28 10:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e9c34…
10-28 10:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x858264…
10-28 09:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6acc2b…
10-28 09:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x734311…
10-28 09:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cd846…
10-28 08:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd67b79…
10-28 07:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72ffda…
10-28 06:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d004d…
10-28 05:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x113a05…
10-28 05:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd79e4…
10-28 04:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f3cb5…
10-28 04:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c69c4…
10-28 03:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7621f4…