Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,060
$42 in 24h
Trades
84
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$150
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 22:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | $106 | $106 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $36 | $27 | +$9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $381 | $76 | +$305 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $36 | $106 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $25 | $22 | +$3 |
| Median | 9 | $257 | $60 | +$197 |
| Below median | 12 | $58 | — | +$58 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $16 | $9 | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miserable-Corral 0x1e3f…675c | Yes | +258 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 05-15 15:49 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +178 | $106 | $106 | 8 | 05-15 03:28 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +140 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +96 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 05-15 02:23 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +78 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 05-15 03:45 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +55 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 05-14 21:33 |
| This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | +31 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 13:09 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 08:55 |
| Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | Yes | +22 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 14:39 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 21:59 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 23:12 |
| Gleaming-Scenario 0x02ae…890c | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:51 |
| Passionate-Assist 0x7603…2276 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 02:30 |
| Fatherly-Gong 0x637d…3546 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 13:25 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:53 |
| Spanish-Seagull 0xeb8b…8e96 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:00 |
| Well-Groomed-Unemployment 0x29fb…64fd | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:14 |
| Last-Gateway 0xdf18…386f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 22:23:59 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdd0e35… |
| 05-15 16:04:42 | Livid-Background 0x7c7d…4dea | Yes | SELL | 252 | 100¢ | $252 | 0x58afb2… |
| 05-15 15:49:42 | Miserable-Corral 0x1e3f…675c | Yes | BUY | 258 | 99¢ | $256 | 0xc30d6a… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x032b4d… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf94281… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6e2951… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf4bbcb… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x881ab6… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x096f1b… |
| 05-15 15:26:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x37fef7… |
| 05-15 14:54:42 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x49c1e7… |
| 05-15 14:39:44 | Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x52d60b… |
| 05-15 14:19:45 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x44b917… |
| 05-15 13:51:49 | Gleaming-Scenario 0x02ae…890c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x069175… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdf467c… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x8a2d84… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x6e8372… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x64d90e… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x8e37b4… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf557d4… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x2b6083… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x4c8847… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xa5478d… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x457a00… |
| 05-15 13:09:35 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x271ff8… |
| 05-15 09:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x95807c… |
| 05-15 08:55:32 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x69b86a… |
| 05-15 08:49:39 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | SELL | 24 | 47¢ | $11 | 0x89d734… |
| 05-15 08:35:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc234ca… |
| 05-15 08:35:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xec97f5… |
| 05-15 08:35:53 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x483f7b… |
| 05-15 08:35:53 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xebf4d7… |
| 05-15 08:04:23 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x406396… |
| 05-15 07:59:41 | Well-Groomed-Unemployment 0x29fb…64fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x108a21… |
| 05-15 04:00:43 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x163763… |
| 05-15 03:45:31 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 12 | 54¢ | $6 | 0xd2ef70… |
| 05-15 03:28:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0xdf7674… |
| 05-15 02:45:23 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x39f4a7… |
| 05-15 02:38:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x02e8f0… |
| 05-15 02:30:16 | Passionate-Assist 0x7603…2276 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x486928… |
| 05-15 02:23:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x364b9b… |
| 05-15 01:40:19 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x91e9c5… |
| 05-15 00:30:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xd73134… |
| 05-15 00:30:13 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xe8b01e… |
| 05-15 00:30:12 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 49 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x3447f4… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 29¢ | $11 | 0x522f97… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xb30279… |
| 05-15 00:22:33 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x51778e… |
| 05-15 00:17:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x371de8… |
| 05-14 23:52:20 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x848e52… |
| 05-14 23:52:20 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb3ff04… |
| 05-14 23:12:12 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x773edf… |
| 05-14 21:59:05 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0xbd9607… |
| 05-14 21:57:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x020768… |
| 05-14 21:42:22 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x09bd7c… |
| 05-14 21:37:35 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 48¢ | $0 | 0xe39064… |
| 05-14 21:37:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xe84180… |
| 05-14 21:33:44 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xbfbc5d… |
| 05-14 21:33:42 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 25 | 38¢ | $10 | 0xe314df… |
| 05-14 21:33:41 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xc2da4d… |
| 05-14 21:33:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 14 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xc7baad… |
| 05-14 21:33:35 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x5959e0… |
| 05-14 21:33:32 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x1567a1… |
| 05-14 21:33:32 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 51 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x69c602… |
| 05-14 21:33:32 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x25fb00… |
| 05-14 21:28:33 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xd160ed… |
| 05-14 21:28:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xb8e81b… |
| 05-14 21:28:26 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x522d13… |
| 05-14 21:27:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 34 | 69¢ | $23 | 0xfb022b… |
| 05-14 21:27:19 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x733ee4… |
| 05-14 21:27:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xa92523… |
| 05-14 21:25:13 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 25 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x70323d… |
| 05-14 21:25:13 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xdadee6… |
| 05-14 20:47:25 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x75b6d8… |
| 05-14 20:47:13 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x9aef13… |
| 05-14 20:43:18 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xcd63bf… |
| 05-14 18:52:00 | Last-Gateway 0xdf18…386f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x328596… |
| 05-14 15:00:45 | Spanish-Seagull 0xeb8b…8e96 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xdc257a… |
| 05-14 14:33:49 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 28¢ | $9 | 0xe68131… |
| 05-14 13:25:41 | Fatherly-Gong 0x637d…3546 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x2a9efa… |
| 05-14 12:53:00 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xedee0f… |
| 05-14 11:50:01 | Jolly-Scripture 0xa4dd…cfc6 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 45¢ | $20 | 0xb63ba8… |
| 05-14 07:14:19 | Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x562272… |
| 05-14 04:10:39 | Powerless-Entrepreneur 0x633d…80a2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xc13fe5… |