Realized P&L
-$143
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
207
Trades
397
lifetime
Volume
$1.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$43
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-06 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
76% 29% -$125
Politics
12% 31% -$11
Crypto
8% 29% +$7
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% 25% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 10-06 12:47
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 05-31 06:07
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -10 -$8 88¢ $-9 $0 05-17 13:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$0 10-06 12:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $4 34¢ $3 $0 10-06 12:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +21 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-06 12:47
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -90 -$30 1¢ $-1 +$29 09-11 17:14
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -20 -$6 2¢ $-0 +$5 10-06 12:40
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-09 02:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +13 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-09 02:17