Well-Groomed-Unemployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

353

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$863

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-19 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 54% -$6

Other

43% 45% -$30

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$12	13	13	+0	Down	+$6	05-24 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	10	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-25 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-24 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-25 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-25 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$8	12	5	+6	Up	$0	05-24 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$7	8	7	+2	Down	-$1	05-24 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 11?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-12 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-25 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$7	42	8	+33	Up	+$1	05-23 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-25 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$6	7	5	+2	Down	+$1	05-24 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	05-25 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$6	8	8	+0	Up	$0	05-23 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?	6	$6	7	7	+0	No	-$1	06-09 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$6	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-25 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$6	27	19	+8	Up	$0	05-23 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$0	05-25 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$6	7	3	+4	Up	+$2	05-24 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$0	05-24 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$5	8	3	+4	Down	-$1	05-25 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 7?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$5	7	5	+2	Up	-$1	05-25 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-24 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	06-08 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:35 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 14:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x94594c…
06-19 14:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xe9bac4…
06-19 14:12:28	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in June?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x5a437b…
06-19 14:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9539d3…
06-19 14:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa4d408…
06-19 11:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf47823…
06-19 11:30:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0fcaae…
06-19 11:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa16106…
06-19 10:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x019bb2…
06-19 10:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6e6ea0…
06-19 10:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x189ccb…
06-19 10:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf9ab37…
06-19 10:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4e2983…
06-19 09:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0ab657…
06-19 09:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f02b8…
06-19 09:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x82dc35…
06-19 09:37:14	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in June?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x62da7f…
06-19 09:31:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x144f1a…
06-19 09:26:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9fa617…
06-19 09:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4e5983…
06-19 08:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f395a…
06-19 08:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb18441…
06-19 08:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe454ef…
06-19 08:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd26249…
06-19 08:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x460151…
06-19 08:31:55	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in June?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xadbfd7…
06-19 08:31:46	Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb63862…
06-19 08:31:29	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa23889…
06-15 12:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7e388f…
06-14 10:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9fe1f1…
06-13 19:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3fac73…
06-13 15:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf0b3b7…
06-13 15:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x66bb62…
06-13 15:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x218d92…
06-12 20:30:49	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x44bb63…
06-12 14:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x08b9a4…
06-12 14:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x10828b…
06-12 14:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xcf497f…
06-12 14:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x458ff5…
06-12 14:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0d1664…
06-12 14:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6cc532…
06-12 14:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa43db…
06-12 14:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61ef6d…
06-12 14:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd8e450…
06-12 14:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x379af1…
06-12 14:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5b499d…
06-12 14:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x527d59…
06-12 14:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd74da3…
06-12 14:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5bf1bc…
06-12 13:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x94e342…
06-12 13:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x525eb2…
06-12 13:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x34f1cd…
06-12 12:34:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb8d5a2…
06-12 10:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x92f117…
06-12 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbb7116…
06-12 07:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x5544f9…
06-12 07:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x61fc07…
06-12 07:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xd4d20e…
06-12 07:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc4e269…
06-12 07:03:12	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xe79660…
06-12 07:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x14fd6d…
06-12 06:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xd7631c…
06-12 06:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x286be4…
06-12 06:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdc0a7c…
06-12 06:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1472c5…
06-12 06:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x9eabb0…
06-12 06:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8d4f08…
06-12 06:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc62f03…
06-12 06:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x49c9db…
06-12 06:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9ff0d4…
06-12 06:40:12	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd2068e…
06-12 06:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe3879b…
06-12 06:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x8eb0f7…
06-12 06:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x83d64f…
06-12 05:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x639141…
06-12 04:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xec957a…
06-12 04:51:03	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x84f7a5…
06-12 04:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xd93f58…
06-12 04:28:45	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xda6024…
06-12 04:28:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x743eac…
06-12 04:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x653897…
06-12 04:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xca12a0…
06-12 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x81f2b4…
06-12 04:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x5288d0…
06-12 03:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe59213…
06-12 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcff98a…
06-12 03:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x4d9510…
06-12 00:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x9a3ff3…
06-12 00:42:52	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf4491c…
06-12 00:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1e2418…
06-12 00:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x708fe9…
06-12 00:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfec4d9…
06-12 00:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2315f2…
06-12 00:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa97cd5…
06-12 00:26:00	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb61adc…
06-11 23:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa0383b…
06-11 23:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ec455…
06-11 23:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x840d7f…
06-11 23:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd9f595…
06-11 23:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x65407e…