Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$1,860
$3,476 in 24h
Trades
74
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$1,662
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 16:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $329 | $329 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $12 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $0 | $354 | $353 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $87 | $87 |
| Median | 7 | — | $47 | $47 |
| Below median | 10 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $1 | $77 | $76 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talkative-Boxer 0xc03e…a2eb | No | +1,257 | $1,243 | $1,243 | 1 | 05-11 06:18 |
| Luminous-Juice 0x3cb7…943e | Yes | +700 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…25b5 | Yes | +428 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | +235 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | +125 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:01 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +52 | $52 | $52 | 4 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 05:59 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 8 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-10 16:25 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 04:37 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 09:18 |
| Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 08:11 |
| Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 10:23 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:39 |
| Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:38 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:06 |
| Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 09:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 16:00:50 | Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x78b753… |
| 05-11 15:27:56 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 235 | 100¢ | $234 | 0xa992ea… |
| 05-11 15:17:07 | Luminous-Juice 0x3cb7…943e | Yes | BUY | 700 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xb49abe… |
| 05-11 13:14:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae19ad… |
| 05-11 13:14:07 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x83f07c… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f17f0… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a37c5… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7d188… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a9481… |
| 05-11 11:08:02 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xfdbaad… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34c1b5… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x34cf08… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73ad84… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08dcdb… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4af223… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x18af77… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f028c… |
| 05-11 09:58:09 | Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xeab4a3… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa83a8d… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ed685… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ae6f5… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xccfb40… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76d8ee… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x20a10f… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xdce845… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e2371… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee8166… |
| 05-11 06:18:58 | Talkative-Boxer 0xc03e…a2eb | No | BUY | 1,257 | 99¢ | $1,243 | 0xc41a24… |
| 05-11 05:59:34 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xfdf700… |
| 05-11 05:38:08 | Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x600efe… |
| 05-11 05:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x94da…25b5 | Yes | BUY | 428 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xbf4490… |
| 05-11 05:08:28 | Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xce5f41… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e3091… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabc5e3… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x873705… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f802a… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5727a6… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x259c13… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c3c6e… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2c1672… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22f2d6… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd180d… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1573a7… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90acb3… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0bcc5… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e8115… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5686f… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38e64e… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x685e00… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xfbcb5b… |
| 05-11 00:54:15 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22dd49… |
| 05-10 16:25:09 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9bd293… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x3c210f… |
| 05-10 15:05:07 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x823156… |
| 05-10 14:06:08 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6e589… |
| 05-10 13:41:29 | Honest-Atom 0xa857…86ad | Yes | SELL | 108 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9eadf1… |
| 05-10 13:36:30 | Honest-Atom 0xa857…86ad | Yes | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7ba414… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe5f583… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xacee95… |
| 05-10 12:01:32 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xda72a0… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x74dcfb… |
| 05-10 09:18:44 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x437d24… |
| 05-10 09:09:57 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0f035d… |
| 05-10 09:09:38 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe28004… |
| 05-10 09:09:08 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x149c8c… |
| 05-10 09:09:06 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x54f305… |
| 05-10 09:08:52 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x093994… |
| 05-10 09:08:49 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd6a863… |
| 05-10 09:08:45 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa87a8d… |
| 05-10 09:08:43 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc86fcd… |
| 05-10 08:39:00 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0d3683… |
| 05-10 08:11:39 | Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xcee457… |
| 05-10 08:06:38 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x3563e7… |
| 05-10 06:58:49 | Sore-Vagrant 0x7091…af26 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c053e… |