Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$217
$1,382 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,123
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $25 | $51 | $26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $9 | $124 | $114 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $28 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +88 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-13 21:01 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +32 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-14 01:08 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:31 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 04:06 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:17 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 01:11 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:31 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:11 |
| Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:01 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:40 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xbd29…732b | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x0e7c64… |
| 05-14 11:40:20 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x32586d… |
| 05-14 10:31:58 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd6b496… |
| 05-14 07:09:12 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x656371… |
| 05-14 06:01:01 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xbadd68… |
| 05-14 05:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x36c6e7… |
| 05-14 04:06:36 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xeee07d… |
| 05-14 03:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x16d607… |
| 05-14 03:05:10 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xcdf4b3… |
| 05-14 03:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x983bde… |
| 05-14 02:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xbd0efa… |
| 05-14 02:02:00 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd4b950… |
| 05-14 02:01:58 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7e5074… |
| 05-14 02:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x94a0ba… |
| 05-14 01:58:40 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x0f04ab… |
| 05-14 01:58:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x293689… |
| 05-14 01:11:01 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x1398cf… |
| 05-14 01:09:44 | Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xa97e28… |
| 05-14 01:08:55 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x6630c4… |
| 05-14 00:17:05 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x697d06… |
| 05-14 00:17:03 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa12c64… |
| 05-14 00:08:51 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x3fe2f1… |
| 05-13 23:31:00 | Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xa95608… |
| 05-13 23:24:56 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | No | SELL | 17 | 79¢ | $13 | 0x5b4980… |
| 05-13 22:12:03 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x9c6c9f… |
| 05-13 22:03:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xd10bcc… |
| 05-13 21:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x5280e2… |
| 05-13 21:51:41 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd992d0… |
| 05-13 21:51:41 | Snappy-Crusader 0x7296…69f5 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x968afe… |
| 05-13 21:23:48 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 32 | 85¢ | $27 | 0xfed3e0… |
| 05-13 21:01:50 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 46 | 83¢ | $38 | 0x7ec69e… |
| 05-13 21:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfb556b… |
| 05-13 21:01:49 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 42 | 84¢ | $35 | 0x43411e… |
| 05-13 20:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xdfca85… |
| 05-13 20:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x882a1e… |
| 05-13 20:22:59 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x430a72… |
| 05-13 19:11:23 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x7a35f4… |
| 05-13 15:08:40 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xf18e61… |
| 05-13 12:03:25 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x100870… |
| 05-13 06:02:48 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x0ca495… |