Steel-Island — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$614

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

1,603

Trades

4,124

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-22 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

72% 35% +$839

Crypto

26% 67% +$90

Sports

2% 0% -$314

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$335	5,342	111	+5,231	No	-$311	07-06 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?	17	$241	247	247	+0	Yes	+$70	06-24 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?	36	$235	388	387	+1	No	-$35	05-17 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?	15	$163	230	230	+0	No	-$31	06-13 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	16	$157	115	115	-0	Yes	+$72	06-22 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?	12	$141	166	166	+0	Yes	+$18	06-26 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	22	$141	199	199	+0	No	-$15	05-15 12:00
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	14	$140	183	179	+4	Yes	+$23	04-13 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29?	8	$136	175	87	+87	Yes	+$125	06-29 18:05
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 13c	25	$135	324	314	+9	No	-$34	04-12 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	13	$133	221	154	+67	Yes	+$119	07-14 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?	22	$130	189	132	+57	Yes	+$71	07-17 18:03
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 14c	17	$122	172	168	+4	No	-$5	04-15 13:31
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 15c	23	$111	266	193	+73	No	-$37	04-06 14:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?	11	$107	122	122	+0	Yes	+$5	05-03 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?	12	$106	120	75	+46	Yes	+$61	07-15 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	9	$104	104	104	-0	Yes	+$5	05-17 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?	33	$104	236	236	+0	No	-$27	07-15 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?	16	$103	120	102	+18	Yes	+$5	05-02 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?	7	$102	85	85	+0	Yes	+$16	05-01 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?	9	$101	121	121	+0	Yes	+$11	06-27 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?	5	$101	149	75	+75	Yes	+$123	06-28 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?	6	$100	76	76	+0	Yes	+$39	07-25 19:10
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	8	$99	114	112	+2	No	+$11	04-13 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?	16	$94	123	71	+52	Yes	+$74	07-16 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	12	$92	145	56	+89	Yes	+$48	05-06 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?	14	$92	175	103	+72	Yes	+$51	06-30 14:49
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 13 2026 22c	15	$92	84	83	+1	Yes	+$18	04-13 11:32
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	6	$92	130	127	+3	No	+$41	04-24 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	12	$92	104	100	+3	Yes	+$16	05-04 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 15:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xadd36a…
10-22 15:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xee370b…
10-22 15:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xa9606b…
10-22 10:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x155238…
10-22 10:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xfe05e9…
10-22 10:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x02a1e5…
10-22 10:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x429ef7…
10-22 09:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf0e444…
10-22 09:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xef29ef…
10-20 18:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3c2721…
10-20 18:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3245a6…
10-15 16:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc2b61e…
10-15 16:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xb8dc19…
10-15 16:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4ce92b…
10-15 16:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6e5145…
10-14 15:54:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x71a03c…
10-14 15:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x8604a0…
10-14 15:40:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0xa7223f…
10-14 15:38:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x510839…
10-14 14:12:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x686545…
10-14 14:10:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc7ed27…
10-14 13:56:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x16d75a…
10-14 13:54:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb4d5ae…
10-14 13:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9038a0…
10-14 13:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4258d0…
10-14 13:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee8ab7…
10-14 13:26:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x14484f…
10-14 12:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x22f7b1…
10-14 12:46:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x540966…
10-13 17:11:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb7f123…
10-13 17:04:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x9d38b8…
10-13 16:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7ab8a2…
10-13 16:33:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4599fa…
09-13 18:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x9c0e52…
09-13 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xc266e0…
09-13 17:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9cdcb7…
09-13 17:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1349a3…
09-13 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xaf1d4e…
09-13 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x442f52…
09-13 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x5c039c…
09-13 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf98cb5…
09-13 14:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb5cdd9…
09-13 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x39ab90…
09-13 14:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xff68cb…
09-13 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4cc7c8…
09-13 13:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x37670c…
09-13 12:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x704cf5…
09-13 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfb71e5…
09-13 10:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe3d2a7…
09-13 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc9aae4…
09-13 09:28:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x44a647…
09-13 09:25:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9af675…
09-13 09:13:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x0de7d7…
09-13 09:10:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x41bf6b…
09-13 08:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xb0313a…
09-13 08:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x989333…
09-13 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x2f7603…
09-13 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6b1367…
09-11 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6062a5…
09-11 15:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x8a4be2…
09-10 15:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xf8ead2…
09-10 15:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaf6c87…
09-10 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xbd8af1…
09-10 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8bb46b…
09-08 16:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xee1125…
09-08 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1c7c49…
09-08 15:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xd6410a…
09-08 15:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x52db33…
09-08 15:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3b0232…
09-08 15:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa9ffd3…
09-08 12:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x751658…
09-08 12:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5047e1…
09-08 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x4b0ab0…
09-08 11:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4b968b…
09-07 20:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xcae5d4…
09-07 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x115549…
09-02 15:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x68a17e…
09-02 15:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x18ce2a…
09-01 19:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x205f66…
09-01 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1b3284…
08-31 19:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x2dda50…
08-31 19:50:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd57736…
08-31 16:23:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x6e3c5e…
08-31 16:20:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x861e36…
08-31 15:56:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x07f0a1…
08-31 15:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0e4e51…
08-31 15:11:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xf97a64…
08-31 15:09:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0c2aaf…
08-30 10:56:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x0db159…
08-30 10:50:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x25941d…
08-30 09:58:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x7e0405…
08-30 09:55:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x991198…
08-28 19:08:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x80e6dc…
08-28 19:06:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x5d4cb7…
08-28 16:55:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xe1647a…
08-28 16:53:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb8ec5b…
08-17 09:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x6bbafd…
08-17 09:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xd46c6e…
08-17 09:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x400075…
08-17 09:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc33a8f…