Plaintive-Estuary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

1,337

Trades

3,869

lifetime

Volume

$94.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-04 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 85% -$246

Other

8% 44% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:15 UTC	9	$983	516	516	+1	Down	+$44	02-05 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:00 UTC	22	$954	676	335	+341	Up	+$51	02-05 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:15 UTC	4	$910	477	476	+1	Down	+$33	02-05 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 10:45 UTC	11	$830	432	432	+0	Down	+$26	02-05 10:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 10:30 UTC	11	$804	419	418	+0	Down	+$25	02-05 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 10:15 UTC	2	$776	403	403	+0	Up	+$22	02-05 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 10:00 UTC	13	$758	395	395	+0	Down	+$24	02-05 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:45 UTC	4	$735	383	382	+0	Up	+$23	02-05 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:30 UTC	5	$711	371	370	+0	Down	+$23	02-05 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:00 UTC	6	$710	503	250	+253	Up	+$38	02-05 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:15 UTC	2	$683	358	357	+0	Down	+$25	02-05 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 11:30 UTC	14	$654	510	504	+6	Up	+$61	02-09 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:45 UTC	2	$624	324	323	+0	Down	+$16	02-05 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:30 UTC	2	$602	315	315	+0	Down	+$22	02-05 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:15 UTC	13	$581	306	305	+1	Up	+$24	02-05 08:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:00 UTC	11	$563	293	293	+0	Up	+$18	02-05 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:45 UTC	8	$546	284	284	+0	Down	+$17	02-05 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:30 UTC	2	$532	277	277	+0	Down	+$17	02-05 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:45 UTC	3	$531	294	256	+38	Down	+$13	02-05 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:30 UTC	2	$529	276	275	+0	Down	+$17	02-05 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:15 UTC	4	$513	267	267	+0	Up	+$16	02-05 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:45 UTC	2	$510	638	0	+638	Down	-$158	02-05 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:30 UTC	2	$486	250	250	+0	Up	+$10	02-05 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:00 UTC	11	$473	245	245	+0	Down	+$12	02-05 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:15 UTC	10	$458	237	237	+0	Down	+$12	02-05 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:45 UTC	2	$453	239	239	+0	Up	+$21	02-05 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:30 UTC	6	$445	232	232	+0	Up	+$14	02-05 06:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:00 UTC	8	$441	446	445	+0	Down	-$388	02-05 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:30 UTC	8	$441	238	238	+0	Down	-$1	02-04 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	4	$432	230	220	+11	Down	+$14	02-05 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x7c9519…
11-03 20:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd366dc…
11-02 20:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0x4a2117…
10-17 19:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xd180f2…
10-17 19:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	79	14¢	$11	0x67a784…
10-16 19:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x3a3add…
10-15 20:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x7c35e6…
10-15 19:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0xe7f9db…
10-15 15:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xcc4b17…
10-14 19:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xef32f3…
10-14 19:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf54d8d…
10-14 19:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x15d968…
10-14 19:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x31f4a9…
10-14 15:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xe8d267…
10-13 19:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x685b3e…
10-13 14:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x70ce15…
10-12 19:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x43bccd…
10-12 19:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	55	21¢	$12	0x2aeee7…
10-12 10:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdbcd09…
10-12 10:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x77cab1…
10-12 10:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x7f4737…
10-12 10:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x1d8959…
10-11 19:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x5cf8fa…
10-11 16:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8b414f…
10-10 19:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3e51b0…
10-10 18:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x4539dd…
10-09 19:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x4272f0…
10-09 19:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	42	49¢	$20	0x495265…
10-09 15:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x894640…
10-08 19:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0xd76d3d…
10-08 05:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	56	24¢	$14	0xebc95c…
10-07 19:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	56	31¢	$18	0xd398a5…
10-07 15:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4b2728…
10-06 19:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6c1890…
10-06 19:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2ab040…
10-06 04:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x8a08e3…
10-04 20:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xc3a9e9…
10-04 16:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb74fa3…
10-03 19:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x5428e7…
10-03 07:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xd814ff…
10-02 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x244470…
10-01 19:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x387a38…
06-25 17:12:53	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x225050…
06-25 17:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa7a13a…
06-25 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xde207f…
06-24 12:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x271256…
06-20 22:00:37	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2f8956…
06-20 18:12:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x722bc2…
06-20 18:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x155fdd…
06-20 14:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0c28b0…
06-19 16:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x485628…
06-19 13:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x75a93c…
06-15 14:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9ff112…
06-13 21:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25db01…
06-13 14:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x28e5ce…
06-12 14:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xfb4da3…
06-12 14:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x0dbe41…
06-12 13:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x4e92d0…
06-10 18:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x903ba0…
06-10 09:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x294d9c…
06-05 20:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x29ce10…
06-05 07:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc63213…
06-04 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb11030…
06-04 13:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf85612…
06-01 14:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xdd4290…
05-31 15:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdcda98…
05-31 11:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x860372…
05-30 17:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0adc9f…
05-30 13:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x5f823d…
05-29 13:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x367c5a…
05-28 14:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	39	81¢	$31	0x72a98f…
05-28 14:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xbac382…
05-28 13:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x56b63d…
05-27 17:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf662a5…
05-27 05:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0x591f64…
05-26 13:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x1d549e…
05-25 10:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0xf3c0c0…
05-25 10:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xaf1723…
05-24 11:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x05e270…
05-23 17:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x3b6597…
05-23 05:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x307cb8…
05-22 16:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x68104d…
05-22 16:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xcba013…
05-22 10:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xc0e2d7…
05-20 18:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	109	21¢	$23	0x5f2d53…
05-20 11:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	75	63¢	$47	0xa735be…
05-17 18:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x41499d…
05-16 22:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	65	47¢	$31	0x3459f7…
05-16 22:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8a2dc2…
05-15 16:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x67dca5…
05-15 11:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	106	37¢	$39	0xc9b6eb…
05-15 11:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	106	30¢	$31	0x5d28ac…
05-15 10:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	118	28¢	$34	0x0e87c2…
05-15 07:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5dc70c…
05-14 21:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x7df395…
05-14 11:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0xdf1b71…
05-14 11:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xf286b0…
05-14 11:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x0f7bb5…
05-14 11:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	101	55¢	$56	0x73d484…
05-14 05:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xaf02af…