Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$409
$1,080 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,345
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-12 04:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $69 | $69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $92 | $115 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $47 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $81 | $75 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $23 | $9 |
| unranked | 5 | $66 | $23 | +$43 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | +158 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-11 02:41 |
| Taut-Porter 0x4f25…8a2f | Yes | +106 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-12 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x10ea…02ed | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 16:07 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +48 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-12 03:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | +46 | $43 | $98 | 5 | 05-11 23:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 17:49 |
| Menacing-Rate 0x217a…b1bc | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 19:34 |
| Hateful-Chorus 0x9119…138c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 15:34 |
| Truthful-Epithelium 0x39a6…6564 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:43 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:48 |
| White-Urge 0xd5f0…932c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 08:30 |
| Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x03d4…64a7 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 54¢ | $75 | 0xb539c5… |
| 05-12 03:35:30 | Taut-Porter 0x4f25…8a2f | Yes | BUY | 106 | 61¢ | $65 | 0x3e213a… |
| 05-12 03:13:36 | Glaring-Celebration 0x312a…66b8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x118c3c… |
| 05-12 03:13:11 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 27 | 41¢ | $11 | 0x25eb65… |
| 05-12 03:13:11 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 18 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x950bb6… |
| 05-12 03:12:45 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 14 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xea0591… |
| 05-12 03:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x95b1…bc01 | No | SELL | 34 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x09a319… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8cc7bc… |
| 05-11 23:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x87a019… |
| 05-11 21:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x912957… |
| 05-11 19:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x2d70d7… |
| 05-11 17:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | SELL | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0x15b2c4… |
| 05-11 17:49:06 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4768f0… |
| 05-11 13:17:18 | Self-Reliant-Architect 0x46e9…1f63 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x613fb1… |
| 05-11 10:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x03d4…64a7 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x657b3b… |
| 05-11 08:30:18 | White-Urge 0xd5f0…932c | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x78d9fb… |
| 05-11 06:04:31 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0xa821a0… |
| 05-11 03:19:19 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x67d5b7… |
| 05-11 02:41:00 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xbd462d… |
| 05-11 02:40:49 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xb15abd… |
| 05-11 02:40:27 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | BUY | 77 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xbbabc2… |
| 05-10 19:34:49 | Menacing-Rate 0x217a…b1bc | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x1f5b14… |
| 05-10 04:07:00 | Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa98917… |
| 05-10 01:43:45 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x342d5b… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Truthful-Epithelium 0x39a6…6564 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5543b3… |
| 05-08 23:46:43 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfe11b9… |
| 05-08 23:36:50 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcc8005… |
| 05-08 23:31:49 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8812cb… |
| 05-08 16:52:18 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x928efb… |
| 05-08 16:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x10ea…02ed | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x32747e… |
| 05-07 15:34:35 | Hateful-Chorus 0x9119…138c | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x45e169… |