Realized P&L
-$3.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
1,577
Trades
9,550
lifetime
Volume
$273.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$234
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-01 02:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Other
68% 38% -$3,943
Politics
24% 34% +$546
Sports
4% 22% -$313
Crypto
2% 38% -$166
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$38
Tech
1% 29% +$220
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $18 54¢ $27 +$8 10-26 02:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +60 $17 44¢ $27 +$9 10-26 08:52
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $20 46¢ $23 +$3 10-26 07:22
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +200 $26 12¢ $23 -$3 10-31 03:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +50 $21 46¢ $23 +$2 10-26 08:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 44¢ $22 +$5 10-28 08:51
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +30 $7 68¢ $20 +$13 10-01 13:22
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +30 $14 64¢ $19 +$5 10-28 18:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$2 10-29 15:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20 $4 30¢ $6 +$2 10-02 12:31
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +20 $5 28¢ $6 +$0 10-05 15:10
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 No +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 10-21 12:42
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +8 $3 54¢ $4 +$1 09-09 20:37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +10 $5 31¢ $3 -$2 10-27 07:44
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +10 $2 29¢ $3 +$1 10-10 11:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 10-26 02:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 09-06 12:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-29 20:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 09-06 11:50
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +157 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 10-22 16:43