Glaring-Celebration 0x312a59…6d66b8 Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.82K
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
1,603
Trades
9,650
lifetime
Volume
$274.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$44
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-04 23:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Other
68% 37% -$4,040
Politics
24% 33% +$518
Sports
4% 22% -$315
Crypto
2% 38% -$166
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$38
Tech
1% 29% +$220
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +8 $3 72¢ $6 +$3 09-09 20:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +10 $5 51¢ $5 +$0 11-04 22:46
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 No +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 10-21 12:42
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $4 47¢ $5 +$1 11-04 21:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 11-04 23:14
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? Yes +30 $5 15¢ $4 $0 10-31 01:32
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +20 $5 22¢ $4 -$1 10-05 15:10
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 10-10 11:16
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:06
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $0 10-26 02:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-06 12:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-29 20:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +10 $5 9¢ $1 -$4 10-27 07:44
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 09-06 11:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-01 12:16