Realized P&L
+$82
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
919
Trades
2,173
lifetime
Volume
$3.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$68
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-29 23:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
84% 61% +$126
Politics
14% 67% -$47
Crypto
1% 33% -$2
Sports
1% 81% +$3
Tech
0% 67% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +31 $19 88¢ $27 +$8 10-29 09:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +15 $12 94¢ $15 +$3 10-07 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +11 $9 100¢ $11 +$2 09-06 00:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $3 92¢ $4 +$1 07-22 20:16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +28 $1 16¢ $4 +$3 10-29 09:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-10 20:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-07 23:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 04-28 22:29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-06 17:48
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 10-07 23:10
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $0 10-29 23:31
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-20 23:09