Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$155,747
Trades
7,289
Unique wallets
697
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-10-09
First seen
2026-09-29
last 10-08 22:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.0¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $58.0K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $113.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 70 | $12.2K | $58.1K | $45.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 110 | $7.3K | $18.5K | $11.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 107 | $4.4K | $7.7K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 410 | $593 | $4.5K | $4.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 73 | $16.6K | $41.4K | $24.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 112 | $3.1K | $27.6K | $24.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 42 | $163 | $952 | $789 |
| Median | 209 | $91 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| Below median | 166 | $200 | $4.5K | $4.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 32 | $1.4K | $1.3K | +$93 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 38 | $2.1K | $3.0K | $903 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 25 | $799 | $7.1K | $6.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | +7,762 | $50 | $61 | 13 | 10-08 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | +7,146 | $633 | $633 | 48 | 10-08 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5f5…e714 | Yes | +6,774 | $430 | $430 | 22 | 10-08 20:53 |
| Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | No | +5,873 | $5,649 | $5,649 | 74 | 10-08 00:57 |
| Vengeful-Fiery 0xe6c6…77b7 | No | +5,718 | $5,704 | $5,704 | 6 | 10-08 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +5,275 | $633 | $634 | 134 | 10-08 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | +5,253 | $5,248 | $5,248 | 3 | 10-08 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +5,161 | $4,657 | $4,657 | 128 | 10-08 20:49 |
| Leading-Pitcher 0xdeb2…9aa8 | No | +5,000 | $4,995 | $4,995 | 1 | 10-08 20:59 |
| Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | +4,920 | -$75 | $282 | 20 | 10-08 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc959…c37f | Yes | +3,519 | $397 | $595 | 5 | 10-08 19:20 |
| Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | +2,745 | $32 | $32 | 19 | 10-07 17:56 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank 0x7500…567f | Yes | +2,602 | $641 | $641 | 21 | 10-08 18:12 |
| Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | Yes | +2,509 | $1,428 | $9,049 | 1,291 | 10-08 20:57 |
| Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c | Yes | +2,478 | $198 | $198 | 6 | 10-08 19:01 |
| Clear-Hourglass 0x63ea…2072 | Yes | +2,351 | $94 | $897 | 12 | 10-08 18:43 |
| Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | Yes | +2,300 | $137 | $238 | 41 | 10-08 07:04 |
| Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | No | +2,212 | $1,922 | $11,738 | 95 | 10-08 20:57 |
| Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | Yes | +2,123 | $309 | $309 | 37 | 10-08 20:33 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +2,087 | $1,872 | $10,632 | 173 | 10-08 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x630c…6ef7 | Yes | +2,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-08 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | +1,850 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 10-08 20:59 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +1,600 | $1,404 | $2,631 | 37 | 10-08 19:25 |
| Genuine-Creativity 0x0c55…9e26 | No | +1,600 | $1,550 | $1,550 | 8 | 10-04 16:01 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | +1,539 | $18 | $880 | 84 | 10-08 20:31 |
| Royal-Knickers 0xb831…892b | Yes | +1,400 | -$669 | $823 | 42 | 10-08 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf2c…0e34 | No | +1,370 | $1,309 | $1,670 | 17 | 10-08 04:17 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +1,341 | $179 | $179 | 13 | 10-08 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | +1,326 | $1,130 | $4,022 | 209 | 10-08 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | +1,306 | -$429 | $1,820 | 429 | 10-08 18:32 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +1,222 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | +1,220 | $355 | $566 | 23 | 10-08 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x43ca…0a6e | Yes | +1,212 | $48 | $48 | 6 | 10-08 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2747…fa5a | No | +1,209 | $894 | $894 | 1 | 10-08 08:19 |
| Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676 | No | +1,190 | $1,018 | $3,424 | 57 | 10-08 19:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4262…0ef2 | Yes | +1,036 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 10-08 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xde0f…57c1 | Yes | +1,022 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 10-08 19:17 |
| Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | +1,000 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 10-07 06:24 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 20:59 |
| Vain-Hearsay 0x146d…17c7 | Yes | +975 | -$40 | $52 | 3 | 10-08 04:42 |
| Venerated-Behold 0x26dc…e03a | Yes | +950 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 10-08 16:19 |
| Roasted-Honey 0x93fd…7e2f | Yes | +890 | -$1 | $110 | 20 | 10-08 18:27 |
| Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | +870 | -$21 | $32 | 20 | 10-08 20:59 |
| Foolhardy-Entrance 0x3b27…0b98 | No | +736 | $644 | $644 | 17 | 10-08 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +701 | $570 | $570 | 76 | 10-08 20:56 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +687 | $636 | $636 | 17 | 10-08 13:24 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +660 | $562 | $562 | 2 | 10-08 19:20 |
| All-Cutover 0x159f…4043 | No | +656 | $565 | $565 | 1 | 10-08 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4884…64bb | No | +600 | $599 | $599 | 1 | 10-08 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +543 | $539 | $539 | 20 | 10-07 16:25 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +461 | $458 | $458 | 4 | 10-08 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +456 | $391 | $391 | 95 | 10-08 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfab3…dee0 | No | +350 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 10-07 17:55 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +339 | $335 | $335 | 4 | 10-06 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +330 | $325 | $325 | 6 | 10-03 19:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 22:07:53 | (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | BUY | 253 | 100¢ | $253 | 0x4fe806… |
| 10-08 22:07:53 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fe806… |
| 10-08 22:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x60c8…3d3d | No | SELL | 278 | 100¢ | $277 | 0x4fe806… |
| 10-08 22:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x68ff…ec42 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fe806… |
| 10-08 21:52:14 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33dc16… |
| 10-08 21:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x33dc16… |
| 10-08 21:18:23 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x375152… |
| 10-08 21:18:23 | Unsightly-Dilapidation 0xb0cc…f09b | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x375152… |
| 10-08 21:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x60c8…3d3d | No | SELL | 350 | 100¢ | $350 | 0xfb7e80… |
| 10-08 21:14:03 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb7e80… |
| 10-08 21:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x35cb…6b22 | Yes | SELL | 277 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb7e80… |
| 10-08 21:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x35cb…6b22 | Yes | SELL | 3,242 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xfa3f6f… |
| 10-08 21:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | BUY | 652 | 100¢ | $651 | 0xfa3f6f… |
| 10-08 21:09:06 | Actual-Ladle 0x3d63…1b7f | No | SELL | 3,894 | 100¢ | $3,890 | 0xfa3f6f… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | BUY | 4,348 | 100¢ | $4,344 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xebc4…0e3c | No | SELL | 1,062 | 100¢ | $1,061 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xa38f…a7e0 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | BUY | 417 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x13d8…06c4 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x41c7…7222 | No | SELL | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0xf1c2f3… |
| 10-08 20:59:26 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x915911… |
| 10-08 20:59:26 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x915911… |
| 10-08 20:59:26 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x915911… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Upbeat-Hovel 0x9fee…d292 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xd06b…823a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Leading-Pitcher 0xdeb2…9aa8 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 1,222 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Authentic-Gadget 0x0431…1af9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Heartfelt-Manipulation 0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xcd0f…2154 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xe272…aed2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | BUY | 690 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c78…6818 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66747… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x20ed…223e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | Distant-Credenza 0xe759…cf83 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x9414…8947 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x9024…8ea4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | Offensive-Expression 0x4590…932e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | Glaring-Cygnet 0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x67a6…04e8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x4884…64bb | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:59:12 | Realistic-Silo 0x271e…b975 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc74765… |
| 10-08 20:58:44 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 293 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x85f93d… |
| 10-08 20:58:44 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 293 | 100¢ | $292 | 0x85f93d… |
| 10-08 20:58:38 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c87e1… |
| 10-08 20:58:38 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x9c87e1… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xe7ea…6f57 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | No | SELL | 156 | 99¢ | $155 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | BUY | 4,349 | 0¢ | $9 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xdc47…c151 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:56 | Vengeful-Fiery 0xe6c6…77b7 | No | BUY | 5,649 | 100¢ | $5,636 | 0x5ca126… |
| 10-08 20:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8a5d54… |
| 10-08 20:57:41 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8a5d54… |
| 10-08 20:57:41 | Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8a5d54… |
| 10-08 20:57:41 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 116 | 99¢ | $115 | 0x8a5d54… |
| 10-08 20:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x630c…6ef7 | Yes | BUY | 496 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5d4ade… |
| 10-08 20:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xdc47…c151 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d4ade… |
| 10-08 20:57:32 | Blue-Floozie 0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | SELL | 525 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x5d4ade… |
| 10-08 20:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5d4ade… |
| 10-08 20:57:29 | Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | Yes | SELL | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x422d32… |
| 10-08 20:57:29 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x422d32… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | Sweet-Estrogen 0xeff9…05fd | Yes | SELL | 2,001 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 238 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x630c…6ef7 | Yes | BUY | 1,504 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | (anonymous) 0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:57:20 | Pertinent-Media 0x5734…06ba | No | SELL | 244 | 99¢ | $242 | 0xaaae00… |
| 10-08 20:56:18 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x179e8f… |
| 10-08 20:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x179e8f… |
| 10-08 20:56:12 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xe046d0… |
| 10-08 20:56:12 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x65893e… |
| 10-08 20:56:12 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65893e… |
| 10-08 20:56:12 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xe046d0… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0be322… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1846fe… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 52 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0be322… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x0be322… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0be322… |
| 10-08 20:56:11 | Intentional-Monster 0xe5bd…339a | Yes | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0be322… |