Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

170

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$76.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-26 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

92% 25% -$3,016

Politics

6% 40% +$1,586

Sports

2% 20% +$321

Crypto

0% 20% -$36

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,684	2,684	+0	Yes	+$1,307	08-10 14:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	4	$3.9K	2,366	2,366	+0	Yes	+$291	08-12 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	6	$3.8K	5,100	5,100	+0	No	-$656	08-13 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	3	$3.6K	2,820	2,820	+0	Yes	+$501	08-31 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$2.9K	2,446	2,446	+0	Yes	+$2,008	10-09 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	2	$2.6K	3,075	3,075	+0	No	-$1,376	08-15 08:00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	10	$2.5K	3,003	3,003	+0	Yes	+$1,074	08-13 18:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	2	$2.3K	2,450	2,450	+0	Yes	+$2,158	08-19 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$2.3K	2,003	2,003	+0	Yes	+$1,722	08-18 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,636	1,636	+0	Yes	+$920	10-07 06:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,050	2,050	+0	No	-$1,334	08-19 05:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,805	2,805	+0	No	+$199	08-10 09:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,175	1,175	+0	Yes	+$686	08-03 15:41
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 9 2026 20260630182730887	4	$1.6K	1,602	1,602	+0	No	+$1,352	07-11 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,095	1,095	+0	Yes	+$572	08-05 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	2	$1.3K	6,466	0	+6,466	No	-$1,350	08-21 06:28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,112	1,112	+0	Yes	+$900	09-07 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	Yes	+$76	08-08 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	2	$1.1K	820	820	+0	Yes	+$492	08-24 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	3	$1.1K	2,095	1,048	+1,048	No	-$750	08-22 09:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$1.1K	2,012	2,012	+0	No	+$54	08-17 10:45
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$1.1K	73,227	55,102	+18,125	Yes	+$510	07-07 20:23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	11	$1.0K	3,369	1,851	+1,518	No	-$369	08-01 11:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	2	$962	1,275	637	+638	No	-$638	08-17 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$904	2,423	2,423	+0	No	+$784	08-20 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	7	$892	1,238	1,238	+0	Yes	+$228	07-27 06:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$865	3,125	0	+3,125	No	-$865	08-29 07:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$805	1,919	1,919	+0	Yes	+$575	08-20 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$768	1,773	1,773	+0	No	-$296	08-19 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$740	2,005	2,005	+0	No	-$300	08-16 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:16:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	165	7¢	$12	0x67e306…
10-26 17:15:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x8433cb…
10-26 11:55:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8da167…
10-26 11:52:42	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	875	1¢	$10	0xc4b74f…
10-26 11:52:05	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,464	0¢	$10	0xc6c9fd…
10-26 11:50:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x16839a…
10-23 20:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0x95b0c4…
10-23 20:30:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x57cd67…
10-23 20:30:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x7f5a02…
10-23 20:30:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0x6785d2…
10-23 20:30:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x2fe8c7…
10-23 02:30:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x15c9f4…
10-22 23:30:14	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Thunder	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xc97cf2…
10-22 16:05:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdc0c17…
10-22 16:03:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9f6789…
10-22 16:02:23	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x3d4a57…
10-22 15:08:23	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x0506f1…
10-22 12:56:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$11	0xb7cc30…
10-22 12:50:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x4345fc…
10-22 12:31:45	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3c1455…
10-22 12:25:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x1142ef…
10-22 11:41:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x484362…
10-22 10:51:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x579ed5…
10-22 00:52:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf29bdf…
10-21 23:44:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x30ea1f…
10-20 17:04:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x91121b…
10-20 16:02:23	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x48a727…
10-20 15:08:03	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb10028…
10-20 12:49:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd59a5e…
10-20 12:24:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x852852…
10-20 10:51:24	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xeb2887…
10-20 09:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x0e7538…
10-20 09:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc8c463…
10-20 09:01:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9dffbb…
10-20 09:01:20	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbcf433…
10-20 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf41ff5…
10-20 08:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xf3c6e2…
10-20 08:59:01	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3bb605…
10-20 08:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5d1c4f…
10-20 08:57:01	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xeb5faf…
10-16 06:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	702	3¢	$19	0x001f17…
10-16 06:44:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	339	25¢	$86	0x37518f…
10-16 05:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	3¢	$10	0xa8e7cd…
10-16 04:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	70¢	$72	0x815e9e…
10-15 06:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	23¢	$24	0x5779e3…
10-15 06:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	702	5¢	$35	0x201f35…
10-15 06:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	12¢	$80	0x6b3b69…
10-13 08:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	720	1¢	$10	0x95f7ab…
10-13 08:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	829	1¢	$10	0x4e5aa8…
10-13 08:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,707	1¢	$70	0x90974c…
10-11 09:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	402	23¢	$93	0x1c47dc…
10-11 09:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	388	16¢	$64	0x14f3e0…
10-11 09:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,037	35¢	$360	0xeecc31…
10-09 18:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,189	6¢	$69	0x15968b…
10-09 18:02:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,113	27¢	$300	0xc86c41…
10-09 16:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,446	100¢	$2,444	0x011f3a…
10-09 12:18:52	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x69f52c…
10-09 12:18:37	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x26b9e6…
10-08 22:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,302	17¢	$380	0x188fc2…
10-08 18:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	17¢	$100	0xf83202…
10-08 17:09:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,426	0¢	$3	0xd4e734…
10-08 17:09:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,405	0¢	$1	0x49d579…
10-08 17:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,635	1¢	$10	0xd14be2…
10-08 17:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,135	0¢	$10	0xc59401…
10-08 17:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	24¢	$100	0xedb78d…
10-08 17:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,421	1¢	$20	0x075f08…
10-08 17:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	2¢	$9	0x3559cd…
10-08 17:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	428	2¢	$10	0x78a8be…
10-08 17:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	451	2¢	$10	0x92cc76…
10-08 17:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	5¢	$15	0xe0fb40…
10-08 17:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	544	11¢	$60	0x42a6df…
10-08 17:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	22¢	$106	0x04ca86…
10-08 17:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	22¢	$50	0x46b55a…
10-08 17:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	22¢	$50	0xdc9eb4…
10-08 16:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,060	1¢	$10	0xbb3389…
10-08 16:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	7¢	$30	0x5f505c…
10-08 16:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	836	2¢	$20	0x992526…
10-08 16:55:33	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	528	6¢	$30	0x550908…
10-08 16:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	6¢	$20	0xff253e…
10-08 16:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	13¢	$66	0xa07d6f…
10-08 16:51:38	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x197d2f…
10-08 16:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x155f20…
10-08 16:51:26	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x40ebab…
10-08 16:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	3¢	$30	0x433371…
10-08 16:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$13	0x2bbb27…
10-08 14:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xe8d3a2…
10-08 14:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$8	0xc4b781…
10-08 14:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,158	2¢	$20	0xe83dbf…
10-08 14:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,092	5¢	$50	0x1c28f1…
10-08 14:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,048	10¢	$100	0x0e35a0…
10-08 10:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,022	3¢	$31	0x1ec86f…
10-08 08:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,302	13¢	$304	0xd1d20b…
10-08 06:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,521	1¢	$20	0x98f590…
10-08 06:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,022	15¢	$150	0x1e8576…
10-08 06:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xd86d60…
10-08 06:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,036	34¢	$350	0x7d20c8…
10-08 06:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,101	12¢	$130	0x05dcc6…
10-08 06:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,052	20¢	$210	0x516f38…
10-08 05:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	739	22¢	$164	0x9a7c71…
10-07 22:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	739	14¢	$100	0xa0d4da…