Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

1,038

Trades

2,110

lifetime

Volume

$160.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$640

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-12 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

97% 22% -$580

Sports

3% 50% +$570

Politics

0% 50% -$64

Tech

0% 0% -$58

Crypto

0% 33% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+700	$206	32¢	$226	+$19	11-12 04:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+296	$48	58¢	$171	+$123	11-12 13:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+231	$100	46¢	$106	+$6	10-07 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+838	$102	7¢	$59	-$43	11-11 03:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+891	$100	4¢	$40	-$60	11-10 18:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+403	$50	9¢	$38	-$12	07-29 17:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	15	$5.1K	6,732	6,732	+0	Yes	-$17	10-09 14:37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$3.0K	1,898	1,898	+0	Yes	+$796	07-19 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	20	$2.6K	4,116	4,084	+32	Yes	+$29	11-03 16:18
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	6	$2.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	+$27	07-14 19:48
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	6	$2.1K	2,942	0	+2,942	Yes	+$842	07-02 01:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	9	$2.1K	3,793	3,793	+0	No	-$386	10-09 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,298	1,091	+207	Yes	+$208	10-30 15:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	8	$1.6K	1,347	1,347	+0	Under	-$48	07-11 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	13	$1.5K	2,907	2,799	+108	No	+$81	10-20 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	18	$1.5K	4,474	4,474	+0	No	-$247	11-03 12:19
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	10	$1.5K	2,536	2,536	+0	No	-$120	07-14 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	7	$1.3K	3,570	2,857	+714	Yes	+$128	10-13 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	7	$1.3K	57,372	1,779	+55,592	No	-$818	10-30 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	14	$1.3K	2,816	2,816	+0	Yes	-$186	10-23 15:43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	4	$1.2K	1,647	1,159	+488	Yes	+$255	07-01 00:46
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	3	$1.2K	1,029	735	+294	Over	+$87	07-17 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?	8	$1.1K	833	833	+0	Yes	+$97	08-04 11:08
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	3	$1.1K	941	541	+400	Over	-$300	06-14 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	+$659	08-21 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	17	$1.1K	1,769	1,347	+423	No	-$228	11-10 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$1.1K	685	685	+0	Yes	+$228	10-16 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	10	$1.0K	2,330	1,996	+334	No	-$193	10-16 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$981	2,457	2,457	+0	No	+$172	10-19 07:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$979	2,643	2,643	+0	No	-$151	10-13 01:58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$971	1,263	1,263	+0	No	-$29	07-14 17:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$941	2,832	0	+2,832	No	-$941	10-08 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$938	803	803	+0	Yes	$0	09-18 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	7	$922	3,233	3,233	+0	No	-$84	11-04 19:26
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	5	$920	3,500	2,000	+1,500	No	-$320	07-14 19:52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	12	$904	4,261	3,802	+459	No	-$198	11-06 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 15:45:01	Exact Score: Italy 0 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	433	6¢	$26	0x59e5bc…
11-12 15:44:51	Exact Score: Italy 2 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x66ca57…
11-12 15:44:39	Exact Score: Italy 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	258	12¢	$31	0xf7b979…
11-12 15:41:48	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x79a942…
11-12 15:41:12	Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x24e5be…
11-12 15:37:24	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xda5b61…
11-12 15:37:06	Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	457	7¢	$32	0x17829c…
11-12 15:36:42	Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	557	7¢	$39	0x79856d…
11-12 13:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	12¢	$37	0x1e0278…
11-12 04:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x30db5d…
11-12 04:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	21¢	$84	0xdc31af…
11-11 03:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x147249…
11-11 03:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	822	12¢	$100	0x487259…
11-11 03:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	675	12¢	$81	0xff2bb0…
11-11 03:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	18¢	$115	0xa6335d…
11-11 03:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	548	25¢	$138	0xe97e28…
11-10 18:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	14¢	$46	0xb2b6a7…
11-10 18:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	891	11¢	$100	0xc8b533…
11-10 18:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	705	14¢	$99	0x61ec59…
11-10 18:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	402	18¢	$72	0x5f18a6…
11-10 18:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	442	20¢	$88	0x738bb8…
11-10 18:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	23¢	$45	0x801be9…
11-10 18:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	14¢	$72	0xac0e4e…
11-10 18:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	548	25¢	$135	0x36b2bb…
11-10 15:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0x21ef79…
11-10 15:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x3fc298…
11-10 15:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0xa8a4c5…
11-10 15:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0xd6e911…
11-10 15:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xdd0a91…
11-10 15:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	563	34¢	$194	0xb34a95…
11-10 13:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xedbf74…
11-10 13:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xf7736c…
11-10 04:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x417984…
11-10 04:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x426a9b…
11-10 04:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	15¢	$51	0xca24e1…
11-10 04:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,058	12¢	$127	0xd80f22…
11-10 04:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	21¢	$51	0x810d1f…
11-10 04:34:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	836	14¢	$120	0x05ea6d…
11-09 16:10:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x9883ce…
11-09 16:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x3c8fbb…
11-09 16:09:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0xed92c3…
11-09 16:07:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	4¢	$19	0x926577…
11-09 16:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	5¢	$23	0x1bc2a9…
11-09 16:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xbb93da…
11-09 16:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xadfa9a…
11-09 16:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x56a3f2…
11-09 16:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x386bc5…
11-09 16:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	9¢	$30	0xc0b77d…
11-09 16:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	9¢	$25	0x8fd166…
11-09 16:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0x0866e9…
11-08 17:25:09	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xcb79f5…
11-08 17:07:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x23da56…
11-08 17:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	783	29¢	$224	0x3c9606…
11-08 17:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x3de10c…
11-08 17:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	506	11¢	$53	0x1a1edb…
11-08 13:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x831781…
11-07 20:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	24¢	$50	0x82ff7e…
11-07 20:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	705	13¢	$89	0x5cec95…
11-07 20:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x813942…
11-07 20:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	976	10¢	$95	0xbe0a70…
11-07 20:26:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,005	13¢	$132	0x87385a…
11-07 20:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	506	23¢	$117	0x665c80…
11-07 20:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x49f226…
11-07 18:53:06	Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0xfe5775…
11-07 18:52:49	Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xeed097…
11-07 18:43:18	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	768	6¢	$43	0x0f2e85…
11-07 18:43:01	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0xf86f46…
11-07 18:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	836	13¢	$105	0xf661ca…
11-07 18:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	531	17¢	$88	0x56333c…
11-07 18:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	855	6¢	$54	0x0b73c3…
11-07 18:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	964	3¢	$29	0x1cbce0…
11-07 18:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x0e9d0a…
11-07 18:30:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xd05543…
11-07 18:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	626	17¢	$103	0x4bee23…
11-07 18:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	25¢	$57	0x0d251f…
11-07 18:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	567	7¢	$37	0x81bf26…
11-06 16:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	234	86¢	$201	0x2cb845…
11-06 16:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0x34dd8a…
11-06 16:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	16¢	$50	0x6dc3e4…
11-06 14:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	626	16¢	$100	0x22f0b2…
11-06 14:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	856	5¢	$41	0x73daee…
11-06 14:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	611	15¢	$93	0x0a8993…
11-06 08:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	29¢	$102	0xed9bf6…
11-06 08:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb6d638…
11-06 08:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,621	7¢	$114	0x9450a6…
11-06 07:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x7871c7…
11-06 07:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xb7fa3d…
11-06 07:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	13¢	$50	0x96d00f…
11-06 07:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	12¢	$40	0xb1732f…
11-06 07:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,048	11¢	$118	0xb30783…
11-06 07:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	907	11¢	$100	0x71be18…
11-06 06:44:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	18¢	$100	0xfa8874…
11-06 06:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	629	13¢	$83	0x61fe57…
11-06 04:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	855	11¢	$90	0x08a744…
11-06 04:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,009	9¢	$91	0x78b22c…
11-06 04:34:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	551	11¢	$61	0x89cbb6…
11-06 04:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	12¢	$27	0x6058c3…
11-06 04:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	73¢	$60	0x1689d2…
11-06 04:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,009	10¢	$102	0xda8c16…
11-06 04:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	964	10¢	$100	0xa63115…