Realistic-Silo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$342

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

979

Trades

8,495

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

100% 18% +$348

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+70	$0	1¢	$1	+$1	10-28 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+30	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-27 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	8	$211	184	184	+0	No	+$15	01-23 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	38	$144	300	240	+60	No	+$84	06-02 13:51
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	9	$113	95	95	+0	No	+$25	02-06 16:23
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	21	$96	186	121	+65	No	+$73	05-22 13:40
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	3	$95	68	52	+16	No	+$5	01-27 13:38
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	10	$84	110	100	+10	No	+$3	04-17 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	29	$74	440	100	+340	Yes	-$30	05-01 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	20	$68	190	110	+80	Yes	+$51	05-19 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	25	$50	375	305	+70	Yes	+$43	10-09 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	19	$46	340	80	+260	No	+$30	10-13 10:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	52	$46	680	350	+330	No	+$36	07-10 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	10	$46	110	80	+30	Yes	+$41	10-16 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	13	$43	60	50	+10	Yes	+$13	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	11	$43	45	45	+0	Yes	+$41	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	24	$42	295	50	+245	No	+$14	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$41	120	50	+70	No	+$15	07-07 15:50
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	8	$40	35	60	-25	Yes	+$15	04-14 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	9	$40	50	50	+0	Yes	+$28	07-28 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	13	$39	50	45	+5	Yes	+$13	07-21 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	30	$36	365	165	+200	Yes	+$26	05-22 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	18	$34	145	15	+130	Yes	-$11	06-26 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	9	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	27	$33	215	65	+150	Yes	-$6	07-24 15:12
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	14	$32	47	60	-13	No	+$18	04-14 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	28	$31	420	20	+400	Yes	-$28	05-08 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	34	$30	584	34	+550	Yes	-$18	08-25 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	9	$30	73	20	+53	Yes	+$4	07-03 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	25	$28	245	25	+220	Yes	-$1	07-10 15:16
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	13	$28	238	70	+168	Yes	+$5	04-21 15:16
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	8	$27	160	80	+80	No	+$26	04-24 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x81e74b…
10-28 16:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xd31c3e…
10-28 15:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x29a45e…
10-28 14:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x068e93…
10-28 13:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x362601…
10-28 08:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9c4c86…
10-28 08:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x76b64f…
10-28 05:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa94299…
10-28 04:40:47	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54ede7…
10-28 02:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3a9eb5…
10-28 01:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc45b4b…
10-28 01:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x910d74…
10-28 01:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9df8df…
10-28 00:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2c4137…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xce95b5…
10-28 00:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5fc235…
10-27 23:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xd6330a…
10-27 18:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3b7c84…
10-27 17:25:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb0a31a…
10-27 17:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd2f4d7…
10-27 16:55:57	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5ba603…
10-27 16:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe7ac1b…
10-27 16:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x438a22…
10-27 16:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfff58a…
10-27 16:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd9683c…
10-27 16:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xd096fd…
10-27 16:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x92ab98…
10-27 15:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9bb9de…
10-27 15:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3db88c…
10-27 15:50:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd661e1…
10-27 15:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0316f3…
10-27 14:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xaa5c2d…
10-27 14:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x292701…
10-27 14:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0c937f…
10-27 14:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5ecb97…
10-27 13:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x6bd755…
10-27 13:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x557392…
10-27 12:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd29045…
10-27 09:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd9458d…
10-27 07:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x722c01…
10-27 04:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb8c8c1…
10-27 04:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x558926…
10-27 03:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3adcf9…
10-27 03:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xecc03e…
10-27 02:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x82f281…
10-27 01:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x24c27f…
10-26 23:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc36b87…
10-26 17:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x698d77…
10-26 17:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x9bc9f6…
10-26 16:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x563b4e…
10-26 16:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8fe90a…
10-26 16:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x252b17…
10-26 16:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36543b…
10-26 16:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x00bc45…
10-26 16:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5ca486…
10-26 15:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f4082…
10-26 15:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd0eb6a…
10-26 14:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3b09c4…
10-26 13:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfacd90…
10-26 13:11:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x83e5bd…
10-26 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x75f14d…
10-26 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0bf0eb…
10-26 11:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaca792…
10-26 06:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc028f4…
10-26 06:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x017d63…
10-26 06:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c4363…
10-26 05:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6bebdb…
10-26 02:42:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc4e0ce…
10-26 02:41:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f2b58…
10-26 01:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7be0a2…
10-26 00:12:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xba38b5…
10-25 20:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe4058f…
10-25 20:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd9c413…
10-25 19:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7a172d…
10-25 18:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x78b687…
10-25 17:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb2fbf5…
10-25 16:01:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaef861…
10-25 15:38:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9adb43…
10-25 15:28:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x14c468…
10-25 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa65228…
10-25 15:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xbf8b6d…
10-25 14:19:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9a5ba5…
10-25 10:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa5cba9…
10-25 07:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x140ba7…
10-25 06:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x21c07b…
10-25 06:27:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x08f88c…
10-25 06:27:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x028662…
10-25 06:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xad917f…
10-25 06:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xba18cf…
10-25 06:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x266cfa…
10-25 06:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfdb2e2…
10-25 06:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xbc50c6…
10-25 04:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1ec72d…
10-25 01:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb5993e…
10-25 00:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x0c8dc4…
10-24 23:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x9c0bfd…
10-24 22:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0c08a6…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x306634…
10-24 20:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe022b3…
10-24 20:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcc7bf8…