Oddball-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

1,224

Trades

550,561

lifetime

Volume

$6.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-10 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

100% 77% +$14,230

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 6882 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2,250	$46.8K	62,169	34,191	+27,978	Yes	-$13,834	09-18 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1,942	$44.0K	35,965	49,503	-13,538	No	+$8,037	09-18 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1,923	$38.9K	47,175	34,972	+12,203	Yes	-$4,363	08-18 15:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1,472	$36.6K	30,251	37,891	-7,640	Yes	-$6,133	09-08 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2,055	$34.9K	47,010	44,067	+2,943	Yes	-$5,569	07-14 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1,426	$33.4K	31,339	36,653	-5,314	Yes	-$7,529	09-15 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2,316	$31.9K	72,253	31,575	+40,678	No	+$468	07-31 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1,629	$31.3K	38,925	48,750	-9,824	Yes	-$14,576	09-04 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1,944	$31.0K	30,455	32,782	-2,327	Yes	-$4,134	08-07 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1,636	$31.0K	40,427	28,884	+11,544	Yes	-$9,570	09-11 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1,599	$30.8K	43,546	31,277	+12,269	No	+$1,513	07-24 05:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1,713	$30.5K	36,779	44,028	-7,249	Yes	-$5,564	08-14 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2,149	$30.2K	67,483	40,797	+26,686	No	+$542	08-18 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1,483	$29.7K	40,018	32,385	+7,632	No	+$181	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2,071	$29.2K	46,318	46,709	-391	No	+$381	07-17 12:13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1,742	$29.2K	28,599	35,927	-7,328	Yes	-$9,763	07-31 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2,040	$29.0K	37,725	55,428	-17,703	No	+$4,622	09-04 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1,686	$28.8K	38,542	43,595	-5,053	No	+$1,465	10-02 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1,227	$28.7K	23,301	20,934	+2,367	Yes	-$1,060	09-14 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1,926	$28.6K	42,900	41,852	+1,048	Yes	+$2,291	07-21 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1,797	$28.4K	56,534	52,982	+3,551	No	-$595	07-10 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2,040	$28.3K	37,411	36,173	+1,238	Yes	-$768	06-30 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1,540	$28.1K	33,114	36,764	-3,650	Yes	-$10,741	08-25 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1,195	$27.9K	28,036	17,637	+10,399	Yes	-$2,187	10-10 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2,054	$27.3K	53,032	32,137	+20,895	No	+$4,644	09-11 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2,013	$27.3K	47,175	55,799	-8,624	Yes	-$10,961	08-21 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1,639	$27.0K	33,844	32,836	+1,008	No	-$894	07-21 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2,173	$26.9K	30,822	38,730	-7,908	Yes	-$7,111	08-04 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1,870	$26.9K	33,554	35,256	-1,702	Yes	-$1,017	10-06 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1,698	$26.6K	47,342	43,970	+3,372	Yes	-$1,835	07-10 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 18:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc61a72…
10-10 18:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdeb2ca…
10-10 18:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$8	0xf1df33…
10-10 18:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xaf2637…
10-10 18:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x1cffc0…
10-10 18:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xd156c6…
10-10 18:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd48698…
10-10 18:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xecd6f1…
10-10 18:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2664e9…
10-10 18:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$2	0x53ccb5…
10-10 18:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0xabd2c5…
10-10 18:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb952c0…
10-10 17:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xbbfa6a…
10-10 17:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0xe21ce4…
10-10 17:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x52cc7a…
10-10 17:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xd63490…
10-10 17:54:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$3	0x7af838…
10-10 17:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0x26c891…
10-10 17:53:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8ce2b6…
10-10 17:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x125bd7…
10-10 17:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x834bdd…
10-10 17:50:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x5fed12…
10-10 17:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x9167b7…
10-10 17:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x84bcdb…
10-10 17:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xabe892…
10-10 17:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xc95c23…
10-10 17:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xffd914…
10-10 17:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xf11354…
10-10 17:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$1	0x30b181…
10-10 17:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5ef996…
10-10 17:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcf39a6…
10-10 17:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x8975fb…
10-10 17:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xddefda…
10-10 17:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0xd7f690…
10-10 17:38:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$72	0xa536be…
10-10 17:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x93e3e4…
10-10 17:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x8ce881…
10-10 17:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf72a4e…
10-10 17:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbf4e56…
10-10 17:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xa863a5…
10-10 17:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x865a51…
10-10 17:37:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x3be754…
10-10 17:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xb2f97b…
10-10 17:36:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xf9d26c…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xad2c81…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x9bfbb5…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	15¢	$14	0x97a318…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0x6678e1…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	15¢	$21	0x3a3ca9…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	7¢	$6	0x26eae2…
10-10 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x01d5f1…
10-10 17:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	9¢	$6	0xcd49a5…
10-10 17:33:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6f6207…
10-10 17:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xefe325…
10-10 17:32:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	9¢	$7	0xc7e46b…
10-10 17:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0xd170ab…
10-10 17:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0x506c38…
10-10 17:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xd3c2e7…
10-10 17:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x085508…
10-10 17:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x2f889e…
10-10 17:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$3	0x04e573…
10-10 17:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa93710…
10-10 17:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x36835e…
10-10 17:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x417ad9…
10-10 17:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcebd2b…
10-10 17:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x76a452…
10-10 17:26:28	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x55ffe2…
10-10 17:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcb99fa…
10-10 17:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb15b2d…
10-10 17:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x69404a…
10-10 17:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8b2382…
10-10 17:24:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x22c4c1…
10-10 17:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xe052c7…
10-10 17:23:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x9b23b6…
10-10 17:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	9¢	$6	0x2de424…
10-10 17:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe4da7b…
10-10 17:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xee7d36…
10-10 17:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x68cd21…
10-10 17:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x93b92c…
10-10 17:16:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	8¢	$8	0x370109…
10-10 17:16:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x132c31…
10-10 17:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x4cbca5…
10-10 17:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xef4914…
10-10 17:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc481b8…
10-10 17:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x2aa3f5…
10-10 17:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x7e1bfb…
10-10 17:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xfb2e3e…
10-10 17:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x096ff9…
10-10 17:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x680fd8…
10-10 17:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xaaac4d…
10-10 17:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xf89b1b…
10-10 17:08:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x70803f…
10-10 17:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2eb592…
10-10 17:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x2993c2…
10-10 17:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe42511…
10-10 17:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8ff0f3…
10-10 17:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xd7f09c…
10-10 17:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x6ab558…
10-10 17:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd02344…
10-10 17:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4ccf44…