Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
No won
Total volume
$135,800
Trades
4,332
Unique wallets
559
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-15 05:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.6¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $50.5K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $97.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 69 | $3.8K | $50.3K | $46.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 105 | $3.1K | $20.1K | $17.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 147 | $2.9K | $15.5K | $12.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 238 | $1.1K | $926 | +$126 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 64 | $3.8K | $46.8K | $43.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 101 | $1.7K | $8.0K | $6.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 60 | $140 | $4.0K | $3.8K |
| Median | 129 | $108 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| Below median | 97 | $712 | $1.7K | $1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $449 | $983 | $534 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 40 | $1.1K | $6.1K | $5.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 45 | $2.9K | $17.7K | $14.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe089…ad3a | Yes | +23,453 | $1,104 | $1,104 | 67 | 10-14 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x524d…4495 | Yes | +9,723 | $704 | $704 | 3 | 10-14 18:53 |
| Well-Lit-Anise 0x09b4…e56d | No | +8,331 | $7,978 | $7,978 | 3 | 10-14 17:32 |
| Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | +6,666 | $20 | $20 | 8 | 10-15 02:26 |
| Kosher-Jaguar 0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | +6,000 | $83 | $193 | 35 | 10-15 01:24 |
| Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | +5,704 | $5,674 | $6,276 | 20 | 10-15 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | +5,655 | $5,649 | $5,649 | 5 | 10-15 02:25 |
| Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | +5,000 | $18 | $18 | 8 | 10-15 02:24 |
| Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | Yes | +3,409 | $99 | $99 | 41 | 10-14 17:08 |
| Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | +3,400 | $14 | $14 | 16 | 10-15 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +3,127 | $3,017 | $3,017 | 84 | 10-15 02:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2,977 | $83 | $83 | 50 | 10-15 02:02 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +2,838 | $2,714 | $10,178 | 131 | 10-15 02:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf14e…6173 | No | +2,234 | $2,009 | $2,009 | 3 | 10-14 15:30 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +2,200 | $1,849 | $1,849 | 36 | 10-14 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | +1,904 | $1,655 | $5,517 | 237 | 10-15 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | +1,888 | $133 | $142 | 28 | 10-14 21:32 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | +1,861 | $1,564 | $1,564 | 43 | 10-13 11:16 |
| Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c | Yes | +1,411 | $89 | $130 | 10 | 10-14 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6f4…8183 | Yes | +1,304 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 10-14 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf41c…43a6 | Yes | +1,264 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 10-10 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +1,236 | $72 | $74 | 74 | 10-15 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +1,172 | $1,101 | $1,101 | 72 | 10-15 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +1,161 | $962 | $992 | 15 | 10-14 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xde0f…57c1 | Yes | +1,060 | $72 | $72 | 10 | 10-14 17:10 |
| Private-Patrolling 0x7789…a280 | No | +1,013 | $1,008 | $1,008 | 7 | 10-15 02:03 |
| Bleak-Cage 0x7acd…1086 | Yes | +1,000 | $53 | $53 | 9 | 10-14 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfb5…3f64 | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-14 16:14 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | +999 | $107 | $406 | 77 | 10-14 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +936 | $174 | $217 | 19 | 10-14 14:40 |
| Shocking-Sort 0xaee7…37fe | Yes | +900 | $25 | $51 | 10 | 10-14 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x96f9…0c3b | Yes | +800 | $40 | $40 | 8 | 10-14 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e1c…3106 | Yes | +800 | $116 | $116 | 7 | 10-14 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cea…a932 | No | +784 | $687 | $687 | 3 | 10-13 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x186c…1d32 | Yes | +708 | $85 | $85 | 23 | 10-14 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d52…7ae0 | Yes | +587 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-06 16:14 |
| Roasted-Honey 0x93fd…7e2f | Yes | +578 | $1 | $132 | 21 | 10-14 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +553 | $510 | $510 | 17 | 10-14 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x37b6…661f | Yes | +545 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-14 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +523 | $459 | $1,007 | 9 | 10-14 15:32 |
| Well-Made-Nestmate 0x48a3…bfec | Yes | +520 | $73 | $73 | 5 | 10-08 16:30 |
| International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | +520 | $38 | $38 | 16 | 10-15 02:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4884…64bb | No | +511 | $509 | $509 | 1 | 10-15 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +503 | $419 | $419 | 11 | 10-09 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +503 | $87 | $87 | 10 | 10-09 06:56 |
| Assured-Porter 0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | +500 | $89 | $101 | 6 | 10-14 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | +494 | $18 | $78 | 14 | 10-14 23:34 |
| Oddball-Deviance 0x590e…e43d | No | +492 | $408 | $408 | 5 | 10-07 06:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +491 | $429 | $429 | 13 | 10-15 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8845…360e | No | +462 | $357 | $357 | 8 | 10-13 19:02 |
| Tragic-Wife 0x0f7f…6450 | No | +341 | $307 | $307 | 1 | 10-14 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d73…811a | No | +335 | $320 | $320 | 2 | 10-14 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +335 | $306 | $306 | 37 | 10-14 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +303 | $261 | $265 | 6 | 10-11 17:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xe370…58f2 | No | SELL | 1,327 | 100¢ | $1,326 | 0x819e46… |
| 10-15 05:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x9a3f…b772 | Yes | SELL | 1,102 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x819e46… |
| 10-15 05:41:47 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x819e46… |
| 10-15 05:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x819e46… |
| 10-15 04:37:47 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | SELL | 850 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe7caae… |
| 10-15 04:37:47 | (anonymous) 0xa21d…a2b3 | No | SELL | 1,781 | 100¢ | $1,780 | 0xe7caae… |
| 10-15 04:37:47 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 644 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe7caae… |
| 10-15 04:37:47 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | SELL | 287 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7caae… |
| 10-15 03:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xefa9…b123 | No | SELL | 480 | 100¢ | $480 | 0x5246cf… |
| 10-15 03:37:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 356 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5246cf… |
| 10-15 03:37:40 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5246cf… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 987 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Grand-Surname 0x87a9…4bdf | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 2,971 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Cluttered-Mattress 0x9d01…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 03:14:59 | Actual-Ladle 0x3d63…1b7f | No | SELL | 4,213 | 100¢ | $4,209 | 0x428d98… |
| 10-15 02:38:07 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65e4c4… |
| 10-15 02:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x41c7…7222 | No | SELL | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x65e4c4… |
| 10-15 02:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb5afd4… |
| 10-15 02:26:34 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | BUY | 1,531 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb5afd4… |
| 10-15 02:26:34 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb5afd4… |
| 10-15 02:26:34 | (anonymous) 0xa38f…a7e0 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5afd4… |
| 10-15 02:26:34 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 1,586 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb5afd4… |
| 10-15 02:26:23 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 703 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4d3778… |
| 10-15 02:26:23 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | Yes | SELL | 1,400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4d3778… |
| 10-15 02:26:23 | (anonymous) 0x2044…a997 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d3778… |
| 10-15 02:26:23 | Every-Reform 0x8eab…a56d | Yes | BUY | 691 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4d3778… |
| 10-15 02:26:04 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x030809… |
| 10-15 02:26:04 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 408 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x030809… |
| 10-15 02:26:04 | Misty-Vegetation 0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | SELL | 1,688 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x030809… |
| 10-15 02:26:04 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 230 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x030809… |
| 10-15 02:26:04 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x030809… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x3d38…d4f1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Realistic-Silo 0x271e…b975 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xe272…aed2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x67a6…04e8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Glaring-Cygnet 0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | BUY | 3,230 | 100¢ | $3,227 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xd06b…823a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Offensive-Expression 0x4590…932e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x9024…8ea4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x4c78…6818 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Upbeat-Hovel 0x9fee…d292 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x9414…8947 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Authentic-Gadget 0x0431…1af9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Distant-Credenza 0xe759…cf83 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | Heartfelt-Manipulation 0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x20ed…223e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d723… |
| 10-15 02:25:53 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1083ad… |
| 10-15 02:25:53 | (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | BUY | 1,770 | 100¢ | $1,768 | 0x1083ad… |
| 10-15 02:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa18ef7… |
| 10-15 02:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa18ef7… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xbfae29… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb0cd86… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xc5e8…8354 | No | BUY | 547 | 100¢ | $546 | 0xb0cd86… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xbfae29… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | International-Expertise 0xe130…4006 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0cd86… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | SELL | 341 | 100¢ | $340 | 0xb0cd86… |
| 10-15 02:25:01 | Agreeable-Pronoun 0xe764…612b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0cd86… |
| 10-15 02:24:58 | Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | BUY | 1,239 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x135e8b… |
| 10-15 02:24:58 | Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | SELL | 1,428 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x135e8b… |
| 10-15 02:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x9024…8ea4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x135e8b… |
| 10-15 02:24:58 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | SELL | 159 | 100¢ | $159 | 0x135e8b… |
| 10-15 02:24:34 | Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9978… |
| 10-15 02:24:34 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9978… |
| 10-15 02:24:01 | Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcb1b17… |
| 10-15 02:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x4884…64bb | No | BUY | 511 | 100¢ | $509 | 0xcb1b17… |
| 10-15 02:14:55 | Coordinated-Vitamin 0x699b…0296 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafd48c… |
| 10-15 02:14:55 | Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafd48c… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Upbeat-Hovel 0x9fee…d292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x9414…8947 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0xd06b…823a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Authentic-Gadget 0x0431…1af9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Distant-Credenza 0xe759…cf83 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Heartfelt-Manipulation 0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x20ed…223e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x3d38…d4f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0xe272…aed2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x67a6…04e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Glaring-Cygnet 0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | Yes | SELL | 1,668 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Pricey-Scheme 0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | BUY | 1,131 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | Offensive-Expression 0x4590…932e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c78…6818 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2865… |
| 10-15 02:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x34ac…73cb | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c0ba7… |
| 10-15 02:09:44 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c0ba7… |
| 10-15 02:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xf57884… |
| 10-15 02:08:34 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xf57884… |
| 10-15 02:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0x8f3282… |
| 10-15 02:07:49 | Our-Pipeline 0x4ae7…561f | Yes | SELL | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f3282… |
| 10-15 02:07:49 | Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d | No | SELL | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x8f3282… |
| 10-15 02:07:35 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | SELL | 400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x88b779… |
| 10-15 02:07:35 | Little-Fear 0xa002…e840 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88b779… |