(anonymous) 0x524db8…324495
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$42.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.6K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
443
Trades
6,914
lifetime
Volume
$969.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$69.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-27 08:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
59% 28% +$15,599
Politics
32% 54% +$42,392
Tech
5% 29% -$7,290
Sports
2% 40% +$2,231
Crypto
1% 0% -$10,952
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 2848 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +14,056 $5,710 96¢ $13.5K +$7,770 10-10 21:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +9,585 $1,150 92¢ $8.8K +$7,620 09-28 19:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +22,271 $7,033 34¢ $7.6K +$539 10-06 14:05
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +25,166 $5,224 25¢ $6.3K +$1,080 10-07 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +8,642 $6,045 72¢ $6.2K +$134 10-27 08:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +11,276 $5,765 47¢ $5.3K -$465 10-07 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7,716 $3,993 55¢ $4.2K +$213 10-27 08:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +4,196 $281 68¢ $2.9K +$2,587 10-06 18:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6,000 $3,120 46¢ $2.8K -$330 10-07 17:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +8,978 $1,526 22¢ $1.9K +$404 10-07 10:01
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,799 $1,324 22¢ $1.7K +$353 10-07 10:01
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +19,466 $3,409 6¢ $1.3K -$2,144 08-18 13:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,311 $41 94¢ $1.2K +$1,185 10-08 16:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +2,280 $1,306 53¢ $1.2K -$97 10-07 18:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +5,200 $2,570 22¢ $1.1K -$1,452 09-11 19:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +4,886 $779 20¢ $977 +$199 10-27 08:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +13,027 $872 6¢ $716 -$155 10-14 11:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +11,682 $595 4¢ $461 -$134 10-03 14:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +97,469 $682 0¢ $341 -$341 09-18 09:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +352 -$1,075 90¢ $315 +$1,391 10-10 21:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +3,200 $893 7¢ $224 -$669 08-18 10:15
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +707 $167 26¢ $180 +$13 10-02 18:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +4,676 $2,772 3¢ $145 -$2,627 10-08 22:46
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7,927 $154 2¢ $131 -$23 09-27 10:55
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,027 $142 2¢ $93 -$48 10-09 20:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,311 $1,254 6¢ $85 -$1,168 10-03 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30,000 $210 0¢ $30 -$180 09-18 09:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +2,654 $66 1¢ $28 -$38 09-11 09:48
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6,050 $12 0¢ $9 -$3 09-27 10:57
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,121 $2 0¢ $7 +$5 09-27 10:57