Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$977

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

3,040

Trades

8,878

lifetime

Volume

$55.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$177

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Other

79% 44% +$1,938

Politics

13% 37% -$469

Crypto

5% 31% -$512

Sports

3% 33% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes	+2,671	$17	2¢	$55	+$37	10-10 16:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+100	$31	30¢	$30	-$2	10-26 03:41
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	-25	-$24	96¢	$-24	$0	10-24 23:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-20	-$19	94¢	$-19	+$0	10-24 16:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$5	10-14 16:59
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	+34	$14	46¢	$16	+$1	10-26 18:16
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+20	$8	43¢	$9	+$0	10-26 03:38
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+20	$6	29¢	$6	$0	10-27 06:21
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+45	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-27 02:49
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	-100	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-26 03:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-20	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	10-24 16:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-20	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-16 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	7	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$916	03-14 02:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	10	$869	811	811	+0	No	+$696	03-10 16:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	14	$636	969	969	+0	Yes	+$254	03-25 16:01
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	7	$583	520	520	+0	Yes	+$455	03-22 15:05
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	6	$390	251	251	+0	No	+$93	04-01 19:59
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	2	$378	409	409	+0	Yes	+$178	03-31 09:51
will mrbeasts next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 6	14	$377	556	556	+0	Yes	+$257	03-27 18:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5	16	$369	960	244	+717	No	-$45	03-26 10:12
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	11	$364	782	282	+500	Yes	+$95	03-30 20:31
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	6	$344	670	670	+0	No	+$1	03-23 12:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$339	400	400	+0	Yes	+$190	04-09 05:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	3	$337	188	188	+0	No	+$38	03-13 06:47
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	6	$336	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$12	03-26 14:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	4	$330	338	338	+0	Yes	+$318	03-10 11:44
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	12	$322	1,298	1,298	+0	No	+$15	03-25 21:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	8	$308	1,109	109	+1,000	Yes	-$127	03-26 15:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 6	4	$298	510	510	+0	No	+$64	03-27 18:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	5	$294	210	210	+0	No	+$125	03-11 13:41
will mrbeasts latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5	8	$290	528	193	+335	No	+$69	04-09 17:04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	5	$276	322	322	+0	Yes	+$258	04-17 19:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	8	$272	1,419	121	+1,298	Yes	-$70	03-23 09:09
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be greater than 22m	4	$258	151	151	+0	No	+$39	03-15 08:08
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$256	250	250	+0	Yes	+$238	03-27 15:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	11	$250	384	230	+154	Yes	+$200	06-14 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	5	$241	267	339	-72	No	+$223	03-10 13:51
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	5	$241	225	225	+0	Yes	+$208	10-26 01:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	2	$225	125	125	+0	No	+$25	03-11 10:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	3	$214	158	208	-50	Yes	+$151	05-17 16:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	4	$211	256	256	+0	No	+$166	03-12 18:26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	7	$209	610	610	+0	No	-$208	04-11 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:21:54	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb8b1b8…
10-27 06:05:45	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x94e5d6…
10-27 02:49:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe47c54…
10-26 23:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbb4474…
10-26 23:03:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	SELL	229	0¢	$0	0xb6e9d5…
10-26 18:29:11	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x81b144…
10-26 18:16:17	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x507d5e…
10-26 16:16:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x642cfd…
10-26 16:15:38	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xb5bf4d…
10-26 16:11:24	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf0a030…
10-26 16:10:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xfa9d0c…
10-26 15:23:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa95271…
10-26 15:11:30	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xf02533…
10-26 15:05:50	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xc86999…
10-26 15:05:50	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x4b942f…
10-26 15:02:05	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x105a86…
10-26 14:55:24	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x90d114…
10-26 14:51:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xb4e08a…
10-26 12:06:39	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4bd33a…
10-26 11:32:30	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x3b6f65…
10-26 11:00:30	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x8324b0…
10-26 10:53:42	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9a7643…
10-26 10:52:24	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	241	0¢	$0	0xd0ee31…
10-26 10:35:48	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xddcc25…
10-26 10:26:06	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x3f0015…
10-26 10:25:05	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0xf3e3a5…
10-26 10:24:51	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	138	0¢	$0	0xc1e838…
10-26 10:23:59	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0xefc420…
10-26 09:53:20	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	138	0¢	$0	0x088709…
10-26 09:53:08	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x264395…
10-26 06:14:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x6b3a0d…
10-26 05:01:47	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$0	0x22fdaf…
10-26 04:59:35	Will 105 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0ff037…
10-26 04:59:29	Will 105 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa9a309…
10-26 04:45:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x4fae52…
10-26 04:37:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x216062…
10-26 04:37:42	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x47f7b2…
10-26 04:29:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x757e0b…
10-26 04:18:53	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x995bd7…
10-26 04:18:21	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0196a8…
10-26 04:14:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x854070…
10-26 03:47:00	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7deb77…
10-26 03:46:33	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xcbe978…
10-26 03:41:32	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa45111…
10-26 03:41:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xfa47c7…
10-26 03:39:02	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x7d0f75…
10-26 03:38:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2ec2d1…
10-26 03:32:47	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	381	0¢	$0	0xef929c…
10-26 03:31:26	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb9f0d1…
10-26 03:29:29	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x20a64b…
10-26 03:23:47	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xad177e…
10-26 03:20:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x517ad6…
10-26 02:35:24	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa6e33b…
10-26 02:14:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4529fc…
10-26 02:08:11	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf2e9dd…
10-26 02:08:00	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb81b07…
10-26 01:59:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	BUY	1,870	0¢	$2	0x5426fa…
10-26 01:47:03	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0x2b2fdf…
10-26 01:07:11	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x62fa11…
10-25 23:12:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0x9eaae3…
10-25 23:05:20	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x581375…
10-25 23:03:45	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xcb0e09…
10-25 23:02:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x6723a8…
10-25 22:25:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xeb2c38…
10-25 22:25:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xf3872f…
10-25 22:25:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x20ce99…
10-25 22:25:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xf26c45…
10-25 22:24:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0x82eeb1…
10-25 22:24:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc6e096…
10-25 22:23:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xdb7d5f…
10-25 22:17:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x124d33…
10-25 21:57:47	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	SELL	918	0¢	$1	0x565063…
10-25 21:56:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	Yes	SELL	240	0¢	$0	0x329ece…
10-25 21:55:50	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	SELL	269	0¢	$0	0x5bab4d…
10-25 20:49:24	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 18m?	Yes	SELL	172	0¢	$0	0x15f5c0…
10-25 20:33:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7c4d64…
10-25 20:20:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x936d80…
10-25 20:00:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x446667…
10-25 19:50:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcb1c83…
10-25 19:49:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x501ca7…
10-25 19:44:48	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xeb6da5…
10-25 19:44:48	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x67d4c2…
10-25 19:38:53	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xffae1e…
10-25 19:38:53	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x659539…
10-25 19:32:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x7ef3ec…
10-25 19:29:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd3b81e…
10-25 19:24:38	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc7efcf…
10-25 12:31:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xb3464a…
10-25 12:30:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x77c0c7…
10-25 12:10:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe9cba0…
10-25 12:10:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1b00e1…
10-25 11:58:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xbcc191…
10-25 11:58:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x5676cb…
10-25 11:54:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x385344…
10-25 11:04:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x82643f…
10-25 10:56:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x974ba3…
10-25 10:56:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x30c638…
10-25 10:55:57	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd3012a…
10-25 10:52:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x86331e…
10-25 10:26:23	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x02380b…