Realized P&L
+$13.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$147
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
2,179
Trades
17,892
lifetime
Volume
$654.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$693
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Other
95% 86% +$14,271
Crypto
3% 68% -$1,293
Politics
1% 90% +$275
Tech
1% 67% -$49
Sports
0% 84% +$244
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +393 $220 76¢ $300 +$81 10-27 06:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $145 94¢ $188 +$43 10-01 03:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $86 91¢ $91 +$5 10-14 23:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +334 $82 17¢ $55 -$27 06-16 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -200 -$69 22¢ $-44 +$25 10-27 06:39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -457 -$22 1¢ $-6 +$16 10-27 00:37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -3,600 -$4 0¢ $-5 -$2 10-26 23:23
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -1,238 -$6 0¢ $-2 +$4 10-27 07:26
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +143 $292 1¢ $1 -$291 09-20 03:48