Roasted-Honey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$382

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

972

Trades

34,824

lifetime

Volume

$990.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$588

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

98% 36% +$23,218

Politics

1% 46% +$894

Crypto

0% 22% -$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+600	$123	76¢	$459	+$336	10-27 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+550	$66	23¢	$124	+$58	10-27 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+400	$18	1¢	$5	-$12	10-26 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	140	$12.5K	6,627	10,947	-4,320	Yes	+$1,370	01-07 17:26
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	134	$10.1K	7,604	8,239	-636	Yes	+$384	01-12 17:47
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	99	$8.7K	8,434	6,028	+2,406	Yes	+$963	02-18 14:14
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	97	$8.3K	9,294	4,144	+5,150	Yes	+$310	02-02 16:28
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	41	$8.0K	5,776	3,285	+2,491	Yes	+$553	04-08 15:19
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	128	$7.9K	16,462	16,939	-477	No	-$45	02-27 08:23
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	78	$7.6K	8,360	8,405	-45	No	+$40	01-27 13:14
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	91	$7.6K	9,066	4,458	+4,608	Yes	+$5,200	04-16 04:45
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	155	$7.2K	13,519	7,484	+6,035	No	-$2,214	03-20 15:56
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	159	$6.9K	14,248	7,599	+6,650	No	-$1,247	03-13 14:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	162	$6.8K	16,573	16,573	+0	No	-$873	02-20 06:35
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	72	$6.7K	8,154	178	+7,977	Yes	+$1,490	03-28 11:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	171	$6.6K	10,539	4,086	+6,453	Yes	+$4,336	04-03 17:39
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	172	$6.6K	10,014	1,016	+8,998	No	-$4,911	04-15 15:43
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	101	$6.5K	9,379	5,928	+3,450	Yes	+$1,681	02-17 14:42
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	132	$6.5K	7,355	5,491	+1,864	Yes	+$1,052	01-27 14:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	280	$6.4K	20,960	24,084	-3,124	No	-$957	03-13 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	166	$6.3K	13,418	6,694	+6,724	Yes	+$5,577	03-18 18:45
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	46	$6.2K	6,483	1,984	+4,499	No	+$1,563	02-09 12:24
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	137	$5.9K	10,936	7,550	+3,387	No	-$4,688	04-24 15:47
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	244	$5.9K	16,797	18,654	-1,856	No	-$821	03-06 14:22
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	83	$5.9K	5,251	2,853	+2,398	No	-$1,330	04-01 15:18
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	81	$5.7K	7,194	797	+6,397	Yes	+$1,978	04-22 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	84	$5.6K	8,962	0	+8,962	Yes	+$3,316	04-10 14:33
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	95	$5.6K	7,008	1,008	+6,000	No	-$4,257	03-17 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	38	$5.6K	7,255	7,255	+0	No	+$44	03-24 11:54
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	154	$5.5K	13,404	5,495	+7,910	Yes	+$5,664	02-20 14:38
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	11	$5.5K	7,913	2,413	+5,500	No	+$56	02-07 05:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	55	$5.2K	4,033	2,433	+1,600	No	-$1,276	07-29 14:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	152	$5.0K	11,609	8,469	+3,140	Yes	+$3,317	03-20 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x871c7a…
10-27 07:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1d9b41…
10-27 07:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x7952a4…
10-27 06:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x212c79…
10-27 06:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x8d7a6a…
10-27 06:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x9d8e4e…
10-27 06:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xbe5429…
10-27 06:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x9782b0…
10-27 06:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5333e5…
10-27 06:40:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x3ffb5a…
10-27 06:40:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	32¢	$15	0x56bf03…
10-27 06:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xa15884…
10-27 06:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	45¢	$59	0xc2c070…
10-27 06:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x97c74d…
10-27 06:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0x155ba6…
10-27 06:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xfdfc62…
10-27 06:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7dabde…
10-27 06:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x6ccc1b…
10-27 06:19:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xbd31da…
10-27 06:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	45¢	$41	0xd4f438…
10-27 06:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xf169be…
10-27 04:15:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$9	0x2502b4…
10-27 04:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd9494f…
10-27 04:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x956344…
10-27 04:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x81173b…
10-26 23:21:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0xfafd18…
10-26 23:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x609294…
10-26 22:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xa0191b…
10-26 22:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x4f27a8…
10-26 21:58:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x53285f…
10-26 20:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0xc5ecf4…
10-26 20:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x88110e…
10-26 20:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x05d545…
10-26 20:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb1f580…
10-26 20:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x723da9…
10-26 20:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x54485a…
10-26 18:12:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x18a3f3…
10-26 17:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x107b40…
10-26 17:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0x66cada…
10-26 17:07:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0x5aaab4…
10-26 17:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x393685…
10-26 16:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7fd3f7…
10-26 16:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x92719d…
10-26 16:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x63e3df…
10-26 16:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x46e9ed…
10-26 16:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0x667616…
10-26 14:01:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe63c23…
10-26 14:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x912589…
10-26 12:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x33d9d7…
10-26 10:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x129218…
10-26 10:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x384277…
10-26 09:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd2a543…
10-26 09:08:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xb49cc0…
10-26 09:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x89b41a…
10-26 08:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x9a556c…
10-26 07:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x127267…
10-26 07:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x9330c0…
10-26 07:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xe6d1e2…
10-26 07:03:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xc139ef…
10-26 07:03:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd0e843…
10-26 06:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x13d1b7…
10-26 06:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xc8dee2…
10-26 06:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf5015b…
10-26 06:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xab96ba…
10-26 05:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x88fc64…
10-26 05:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5b6301…
10-26 05:33:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4b65cc…
10-26 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x23f4ff…
10-26 03:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x63a6cf…
10-26 03:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x6f2a7c…
10-26 03:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x036609…
10-26 03:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x4641aa…
10-26 01:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x35deb6…
10-25 20:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x324227…
10-25 17:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfd042e…
10-25 15:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x30e560…
10-25 15:25:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x00dd4d…
10-25 14:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xfa52ec…
10-25 14:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x091e1e…
10-25 14:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x62ef9f…
10-25 14:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x281cc0…
10-25 13:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xf6826b…
10-25 13:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x1b837b…
10-25 13:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x429709…
10-25 13:45:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x6e8932…
10-25 13:45:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0ff1e5…
10-25 13:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x6ab791…
10-25 13:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x981266…
10-25 13:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b061e…
10-25 13:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18a78c…
10-25 13:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x634a7f…
10-25 13:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d14a9…
10-25 13:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0xfb9174…
10-25 13:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2a3eb1…
10-25 12:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x7ee0e7…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x645907…
10-25 12:11:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xf6870e…
10-25 12:10:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x242aa0…
10-25 11:45:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xff5df8…
10-25 11:45:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x06d3b9…