Realized P&L
-$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
582
Trades
4,464
lifetime
Volume
$170.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$231
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-03 16:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
85% 55% -$2,201
Politics
9% 27% -$42
Crypto
2% 74% -$122
Sports
2% 53% +$7
Tech
2% 19% -$123
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +174 $143 76¢ $131 -$11 11-03 13:07
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +30 $26 84¢ $25 -$1 10-29 20:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +125 $52 15¢ $18 -$34 10-29 20:48
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +40 $11 36¢ $15 +$3 11-03 10:36
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +55 $16 24¢ $13 -$3 10-30 02:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +18 $11 58¢ $11 -$1 10-16 22:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 10-27 02:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +20 $8 15¢ $3 -$5 11-03 00:55
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 +$0 09-18 16:00
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes +20 $9 12¢ $2 -$6 09-09 19:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-03 12:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +50 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 09-13 04:10
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3 $2 44¢ $1 $0 09-20 13:44
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +30 $25 4¢ $1 -$24 09-01 19:22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-22 22:03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +20 $8 5¢ $1 -$7 10-27 09:31
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 09-29 00:33
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +52 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 09-13 06:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 11-01 23:18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +0 -$2 94¢ $0 +$2 10-07 17:10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 09-06 15:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +0 -$1 87¢ $0 +$1 10-22 16:47
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 15¢ $0 $0 10-26 06:37