Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
31.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,253
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$119
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-20 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
69% 29% $-34
Crypto
14%
Politics
10% 0% $-0
Sports
4%
Tech
3% 0% $-6
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -40 $-31 80¢ $-32 $-1 07-20 19:34
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-14 82¢ $-16 $-2 06-29 05:45
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-11 52¢ $-15 $-5 07-14 14:47
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No -60 $-7 12¢ $-8 $-1 07-18 07:14
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -30 $-5 18¢ $-5 +$0 07-14 03:31
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -50 $-10 10¢ $-5 +$5 06-26 05:23
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -40 $-7 12¢ $-5 +$2 07-04 02:17
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $10 22¢ $4 $-5 06-07 20:24
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-5 20¢ $-4 +$1 07-20 19:27
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 $-1 07-01 15:38
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$0 07-16 19:12
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes -30 $-1 $-2 $-1 07-20 08:58
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -50 $-2 $-2 $-0 07-10 18:22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 11¢ $2 $-0 07-20 16:02
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $4 11¢ $2 $-1 07-20 12:10
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +30 $4 $2 $-2 07-17 23:10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -3 $-1 64¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 06:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $-2 $-2 $-0 07-17 05:43
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Yes -30 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-17 05:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -1 $-0 70¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 06:21