Jumbo-Providence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,359

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-13 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 29% $-34

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

11% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% 0% $-6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	61	$1.8K	923	1,393	-470	open	—	02-07 18:31
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	11	$680	370	370	+0	open	—	02-08 12:07
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	9	$607	346	346	+0	open	—	02-09 23:22
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	19	$589	324	324	+0	open	—	02-07 10:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$580	320	320	+0	open	—	02-15 17:51
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$528	1,636	1,612	+24	open	—	06-17 22:38
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$423	217	217	+0	open	—	02-02 12:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	13	$422	239	239	+0	open	—	02-07 09:58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	20	$402	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	06-21 20:23
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	12	$332	181	181	+0	open	—	02-16 19:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	4	$326	169	169	+0	open	—	02-10 06:12
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	12	$318	198	257	-60	open	—	02-14 10:15
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	7	$303	113	233	-120	open	—	02-17 14:39
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	13	$292	199	147	+52	open	—	02-07 09:11
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	11	$278	731	668	+63	open	—	06-19 09:55
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	14	$273	158	182	-24	open	—	02-01 03:34
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	10	$267	690	690	+0	open	—	05-15 19:46
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	14	$259	139	175	-36	open	—	01-30 07:16
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 240 259	5	$243	131	131	+0	open	—	02-09 15:19
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	6	$238	122	122	+0	open	—	02-02 09:28
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	2	$233	127	127	+0	open	—	02-02 19:44
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	2	$229	127	127	+0	open	—	02-06 12:44
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	2	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	01-31 18:20
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	13	$224	278	278	+0	open	—	08-12 00:08
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	02-14 16:56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	8	$217	132	265	-132	open	—	02-02 21:22
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	4	$205	109	109	+0	open	—	02-09 10:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	7	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 05:56
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	3	$200	113	113	+0	open	—	02-15 15:19
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$200	119	119	+0	open	—	02-15 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:21:55	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe06676…
08-12 13:04:39	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x70542e…
08-12 00:08:48	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xb7cf59…
08-10 18:18:03	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x15905d…
08-10 14:38:36	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x03ba50…
08-10 13:35:28	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xb431d7…
08-10 12:20:40	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xad0168…
08-10 12:02:54	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6ef9cd…
08-10 09:32:48	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xce6a73…
08-09 02:16:18	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd42db4…
08-09 01:57:04	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x93eeb4…
08-09 01:50:45	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x631054…
08-08 13:14:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x196a8a…
08-08 02:32:57	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xca0409…
08-07 22:29:37	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x718a01…
08-07 15:27:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0b77a9…
08-07 05:51:00	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	29¢	$22	0xb35321…
08-07 05:50:34	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0x6b1ebf…
08-07 01:18:39	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x21fdd0…
08-05 21:43:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x37bad6…
08-05 21:42:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7de6a3…
08-04 21:08:23	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xa3fa78…
08-04 16:53:30	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x431caf…
08-04 16:47:23	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x656322…
08-04 05:08:11	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xe6a8e0…
08-04 05:07:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x548cad…
08-04 00:24:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xd28c66…
08-03 10:03:48	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x308171…
08-03 06:51:09	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xe801dd…
08-03 06:51:05	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xd163b8…
08-03 06:51:05	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	26¢	$41	0x2842df…
08-02 23:45:23	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x17b140…
08-02 23:44:56	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x0121e0…
08-01 10:22:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xecf74b…
08-01 03:59:42	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	38¢	$59	0x0203af…
08-01 00:11:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2e595c…
07-31 16:55:05	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xb69e0b…
07-29 16:36:27	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0xccf1fb…
07-29 15:19:21	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb7af65…
07-28 23:05:26	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xeb24ef…
07-28 15:07:01	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x10a83f…
07-28 14:25:56	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xfcc9a9…
07-28 12:44:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe83877…
07-28 04:19:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0x6c91a2…
07-28 04:14:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	80	32¢	$26	0x80440e…
07-28 03:35:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xa17b7d…
07-27 10:17:12	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xbfcbb0…
07-27 10:16:43	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xec8abf…
07-27 07:07:22	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc66a21…
07-26 06:19:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	150	51¢	$76	0x548637…
07-25 09:46:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x0956a9…
07-25 08:53:28	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd17cbd…
07-25 08:53:06	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0552f7…
07-25 08:52:43	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x7874e3…
07-25 07:38:07	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x5732c8…
07-25 06:56:10	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xe65fb8…
07-25 04:35:10	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xa9ff00…
07-25 02:30:40	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0xb8a3bf…
07-25 01:45:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x3133d4…
07-24 12:00:46	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x02c45d…
07-24 06:50:36	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	186	11¢	$20	0x51957b…
07-24 06:50:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xebe921…
07-24 04:48:57	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x36bfd8…
07-23 19:31:36	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x339d3a…
07-23 12:52:04	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xcd1b9c…
07-23 08:13:33	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf07462…
07-23 08:10:37	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x0a93ef…
07-23 06:48:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xba3658…
07-23 06:09:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x9b1561…
07-23 06:09:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x30df20…
07-23 03:02:55	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	65	58¢	$38	0x67bbf3…
07-23 03:02:40	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x595cc3…
07-23 03:00:21	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x6de1f5…
07-23 03:00:09	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x6b1154…
07-23 02:57:52	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x5a52de…
07-23 02:57:37	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xe73e90…
07-22 20:43:52	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x67a74e…
07-22 20:23:49	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x8c56a4…
07-22 20:03:25	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x492602…
07-22 16:20:13	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x23c9c2…
07-22 11:01:07	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8ece70…
07-22 11:01:07	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x0737df…
07-22 11:01:04	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xe718c1…
07-22 11:01:04	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xacfcd8…
07-22 11:01:04	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$3	0x0f1f3d…
07-22 11:01:03	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xbee8af…
07-22 04:35:40	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xcac195…
07-22 00:36:42	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x23eb52…
07-22 00:31:39	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xe211ce…
07-22 00:31:37	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x671e83…
07-22 00:31:12	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x91988c…
07-20 19:59:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0xb6d6b5…
07-20 19:55:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xfeba18…
07-20 19:34:15	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xed3784…
07-20 19:32:48	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x5a25d5…
07-20 19:27:30	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xaf5f69…
07-20 19:27:30	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaf5f69…
07-20 18:31:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xecfd39…
07-20 18:31:06	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3d6144…
07-20 18:30:46	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x8c2264…