Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$103

1 position

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-27 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 69% +$2

Other

25% 87% +$73

Politics

19% 67% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+103	$100	100¢	$103	+$3	10-27 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	7	$1.3K	647	647	+0	Yes	+$22	10-13 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	6	$852	508	411	+96	Yes	-$23	10-12 14:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$711	446	392	+54	Yes	+$44	10-27 17:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	3	$692	375	351	+24	No	-$21	10-20 14:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	4	$614	314	314	+0	Yes	+$14	10-17 21:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	6	$611	311	311	+0	Yes	+$10	10-18 20:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$610	312	312	+0	No	+$12	10-15 20:37
bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	2	$599	605	0	+605	Yes	+$5	10-14 14:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$582	466	210	+255	Yes	-$62	10-22 18:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	1	$532	540	0	+540	No	+$8	10-26 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?	1	$499	509	0	+509	Yes	+$10	10-15 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	2	$499	514	0	+514	Yes	+$15	10-16 13:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	4	$417	231	231	+0	Yes	-$21	10-15 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$406	207	207	+0	No	+$7	10-14 14:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	1	$399	410	0	+410	No	+$11	10-12 14:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	1	$383	389	0	+389	Yes	+$6	10-22 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$320	335	0	+335	No	+$15	10-14 17:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	7	$285	184	154	+30	No	-$14	10-13 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	5	$281	188	105	+83	No	+$5	10-16 17:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	3	$241	159	102	+57	Yes	-$12	10-21 22:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	10-27 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$184	94	94	+0	No	+$3	10-21 11:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$157	101	101	+0	Yes	-$22	10-19 20:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	1	$130	131	0	+131	Yes	+$1	10-23 15:02
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	10-14 22:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	10-27 17:04
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	10-15 23:59
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$1	10-18 16:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$1	10-21 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$53	37	37	+0	Yes	-$7	10-22 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:04:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3b0466…
10-27 17:03:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x8d1252…
10-27 14:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xcaedce…
10-26 21:34:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x88105a…
10-26 15:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	540	98¢	$532	0x19a717…
10-23 22:12:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xf72b07…
10-23 15:02:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xb05f7e…
10-22 22:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0xce41ee…
10-22 19:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x122e0e…
10-22 18:38:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x8377f6…
10-22 14:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	389	98¢	$383	0x31fe0b…
10-22 11:37:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	279	90¢	$251	0xa97095…
10-21 22:30:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x1eed09…
10-21 22:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xa03f1f…
10-21 11:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0x94c8ef…
10-20 19:56:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0xe3216d…
10-20 14:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x267fd0…
10-20 14:08:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	351	92¢	$323	0x3dd806…
10-20 12:25:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	351	99¢	$346	0x6d34ac…
10-19 20:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	101	67¢	$68	0xba62cf…
10-19 15:58:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	102	84¢	$86	0xc6ebd6…
10-19 15:56:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	279	85¢	$237	0x80fa81…
10-19 15:52:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	210	63¢	$132	0x4dce7b…
10-19 03:29:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	88¢	$99	0x270bef…
10-19 01:16:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xad948b…
10-19 00:55:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xced389…
10-19 00:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	89¢	$89	0xae526a…
10-18 20:04:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x4648a2…
10-18 20:03:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x57b981…
10-18 19:54:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x2db5f6…
10-18 16:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x5043fb…
10-17 22:56:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d39ba…
10-17 21:10:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0xd83e05…
10-17 20:27:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x4b9077…
10-17 18:36:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf73605…
10-17 01:00:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	167	95¢	$159	0xb70ae7…
10-16 21:35:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x31b529…
10-16 21:23:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0xa56856…
10-16 17:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x39048e…
10-16 17:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	96	97¢	$93	0xf43ece…
10-16 17:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$89	0x23cae0…
10-16 17:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x86c087…
10-16 17:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x3089a5…
10-16 13:34:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	345	97¢	$335	0x505667…
10-16 13:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	169	97¢	$164	0x1737a6…
10-15 23:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$93	0xb68030…
10-15 23:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x43cda4…
10-15 20:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x3b38c8…
10-15 18:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf9bbf4…
10-15 18:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1c4401…
10-15 16:39:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$299	0x9d1437…
10-15 14:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	127	81¢	$103	0x1a69bc…
10-15 14:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	104	91¢	$95	0x2481be…
10-15 13:39:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0xf3a599…
10-15 13:39:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x89b5b7…
10-15 13:35:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	509	98¢	$499	0x734155…
10-14 22:08:10	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xae28d7…
10-14 20:50:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd77f06…
10-14 20:47:49	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x83d8b2…
10-14 19:35:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	65¢	$63	0x032983…
10-14 19:31:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x16ef59…
10-14 17:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x714a73…
10-14 14:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x63bf66…
10-14 14:54:33	bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1a37f1…
10-14 14:53:49	bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x39577c…
10-14 14:52:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x5bf7b7…
10-14 14:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x2c0f72…
10-13 18:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x19f24c…
10-13 16:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x05bee4…
10-13 15:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcaf2cf…
10-13 15:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa02f2a…
10-13 15:22:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	93	86¢	$79	0x37c4e7…
10-13 15:20:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xff95bb…
10-13 15:20:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdcf77a…
10-13 15:09:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xa8a8b8…
10-13 15:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x76b9e1…
10-13 14:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	61	67¢	$41	0x5783c6…
10-13 13:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	116	96¢	$112	0x1bdbad…
10-13 13:36:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xecae7a…
10-13 13:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xe3a972…
10-13 13:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	278	96¢	$268	0x04e5f2…
10-13 13:33:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xa1fa23…
10-13 13:30:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0xd5a053…
10-12 14:48:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	411	89¢	$366	0xc3609e…
10-12 14:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	96	90¢	$87	0x209bc4…
10-12 14:37:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	244	97¢	$237	0x700361…
10-12 14:37:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x1b66ee…
10-12 14:37:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xfe1986…
10-12 14:37:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$74	0x19bd05…
10-12 14:30:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	410	97¢	$399	0x951cde…