Upbeat-Hovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$350

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

697

Trades

6,501

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-30 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

100% 16% +$350

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	—	+330	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-30 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+80	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-30 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	37	$145	300	240	+60	No	+$85	06-02 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	19	$93	170	120	+50	No	+$71	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	25	$50	375	305	+70	Yes	+$43	10-09 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	22	$50	340	80	+260	No	+$33	10-13 10:28
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	12	$45	45	45	+0	Yes	+$44	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	10	$45	110	80	+30	Yes	+$40	10-16 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	24	$42	295	50	+245	No	+$14	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$41	120	50	+70	No	+$15	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	13	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	07-21 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	20	$37	105	70	+35	Yes	+$36	10-30 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	29	$34	365	165	+200	Yes	+$24	05-22 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	14	$34	75	20	+55	Yes	+$6	07-03 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	9	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	25	$29	215	35	+180	Yes	-$9	07-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	26	$28	245	25	+220	Yes	-$1	07-10 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	17	$27	220	30	+190	No	+$10	05-15 14:25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$27	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	07-28 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	12	$26	195	20	+175	No	+$12	06-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	27	$26	380	30	+350	Yes	-$21	08-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	13	$26	90	20	+70	Yes	-$4	08-28 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	6	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$13	06-30 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	32	$26	510	470	+40	No	+$22	10-08 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	8	$25	30	30	+0	No	+$10	07-21 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$23	105	15	+90	Yes	$0	06-26 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	8	$22	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	07-17 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	22	$22	310	230	+80	No	+$19	08-20 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	26	$20	350	70	+280	Yes	-$12	09-01 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	15	$19	300	50	+250	No	+$16	10-13 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	9	$19	65	20	+45	No	+$5	06-16 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb925fb…
10-30 18:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ea8bf…
10-30 18:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4019de…
10-30 18:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x59aa07…
10-30 16:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xee6d01…
10-30 16:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x05db77…
10-30 16:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x681979…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xfbd854…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b9fb8…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x25a438…
10-30 16:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4ea07d…
10-30 16:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x40443c…
10-30 16:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf922a6…
10-30 15:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x963b24…
10-30 15:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x517647…
10-30 15:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x806ece…
10-30 15:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4baa04…
10-30 15:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2cf09c…
10-30 15:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x95d7da…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xea1d44…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdd6778…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2c6b6e…
10-30 14:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xf1102d…
10-30 14:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x57977a…
10-30 14:14:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x8dc397…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8dbf0e…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1e950b…
10-30 14:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x13107d…
10-30 14:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x608b5f…
10-30 14:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x959b5c…
10-30 13:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xecddb0…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfac64f…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x664c68…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa6967a…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x35f1e4…
10-30 13:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xc7e9a7…
10-30 13:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x43596a…
10-30 13:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x84984a…
10-30 13:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x82616c…
10-30 13:39:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x84e635…
10-30 13:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe164cd…
10-30 13:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a6416…
10-30 13:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc9b62d…
10-30 13:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x361532…
10-30 11:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x619ebe…
10-30 11:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa823fd…
10-30 10:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9b8c98…
10-30 10:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xad4ad7…
10-30 10:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfbbc4d…
10-30 10:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x967084…
10-30 10:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x655554…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5a5885…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x3f1be5…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x37b92a…
10-30 10:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4fa03f…
10-30 10:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x041847…
10-30 08:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1644d0…
10-30 06:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf05833…
10-30 06:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb55300…
10-30 06:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x526401…
10-30 06:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe535bc…
10-30 05:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xbf320e…
10-30 05:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x351ece…
10-30 05:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf85b2…
10-30 05:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x193f60…
10-30 05:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbbf7b7…
10-30 05:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2da13c…
10-30 05:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6425bc…
10-30 05:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6204e3…
10-30 04:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x75c5b7…
10-30 00:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7ecd6d…
10-30 00:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x06d22d…
10-29 19:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xad5c93…
10-29 19:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x247df3…
10-29 17:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x4211e1…
10-29 17:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x352123…
10-29 17:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfe49b2…
10-29 17:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x529c9c…
10-29 16:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7b16a8…
10-29 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x45dc41…
10-29 14:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x68b512…
10-29 14:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x791af5…
10-29 14:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0d72a1…
10-29 14:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x790784…
10-29 05:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x67a3c5…
10-29 04:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9b29a8…
10-29 04:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x39f701…
10-29 03:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x43c5e8…
10-29 03:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x90dc40…
10-29 01:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb71884…
10-29 00:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xca93ee…
10-29 00:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd71492…
10-29 00:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0ef429…
10-29 00:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe9b1f…
10-29 00:41:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x374b21…
10-29 00:37:59	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5d851e…
10-29 00:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xcebb3b…
10-29 00:35:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4bc329…
10-28 23:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd909d5…
10-28 23:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x48358d…