Realized P&L
+$733
Unrealized P&L
+$276
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
1,187
Trades
27,560
lifetime
Volume
$41.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$480
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 08:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Other
73% 18% +$911
Sports
15% 28% -$366
Politics
13% 45% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +350 $38 14¢ $47 +$9 10-17 14:10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,800 $39 3¢ $47 +$7 10-21 12:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +700 $47 5¢ $36 -$11 09-15 21:06
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +4,000 -$13 1¢ $34 +$47 09-22 10:21
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,606 $51 2¢ $31 -$19 10-27 20:23
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +200 $40 16¢ $31 -$9 09-23 22:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,800 $6 1¢ $30 +$24 10-29 23:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +400 $20 8¢ $30 +$10 10-26 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +100 $2 27¢ $27 +$25 10-29 19:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +2,269 $3 1¢ $19 +$16 10-29 17:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +2,002 -$51 1¢ $17 +$68 10-25 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +650 $2 2¢ $16 +$14 10-30 05:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +2,748 -$46 1¢ $15 +$61 10-21 18:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +1,103 $10 1¢ $14 +$5 08-26 19:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +4,719 -$23 0¢ $12 +$35 10-27 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +700 $8 2¢ $11 +$3 07-30 21:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,925 $14 1¢ $11 -$3 10-29 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +4,173 $14 0¢ $6 -$8 10-29 15:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +2,498 -$8 0¢ $6 +$14 10-29 17:30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +3,050 $11 0¢ $6 -$5 10-30 01:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +2,000 -$8 0¢ $6 +$14 10-29 17:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,600 $28 0¢ $5 -$22 08-31 17:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +2,609 $6 0¢ $5 -$1 10-21 15:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +2,991 -$8 0¢ $4 +$12 10-28 06:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +3,500 $18 0¢ $3 -$14 08-11 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? Yes +1,900 $3 0¢ $3 $0 10-29 05:37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +1,299 -$2 0¢ $3 +$5 10-21 20:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +659 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-27 22:13