Realized P&L (7d)
-$153
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
832
28,936 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$878
$43.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$439
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 22:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
73% 17% +$1,317
Sports
14% 28% -$366
Politics
13% 43% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +700 $47 7¢ $51 +$4 09-15 21:06
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +900 $87 6¢ $49 -$38 11-11 15:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +350 $38 11¢ $37 -$2 10-17 14:10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +15,993 -$30 0¢ $32 +$62 11-11 22:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +450 $22 6¢ $27 +$5 11-11 15:53
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,606 $51 2¢ $27 -$24 10-27 20:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +1,103 $10 2¢ $26 +$17 08-26 19:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $25 11¢ $26 +$1 11-01 14:02
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,800 $39 1¢ $22 -$17 10-21 12:15
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +5,500 $13 0¢ $19 +$6 10-26 13:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +400 $20 3¢ $13 -$7 10-26 15:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +3,769 $8 0¢ $11 +$4 11-09 21:00
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $9 3¢ $9 -$1 11-08 16:05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +4,719 -$23 0¢ $7 +$30 10-27 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +3,359 $8 0¢ $7 -$1 11-09 21:00
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? Yes +446 $2 2¢ $7 +$5 10-21 19:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +1,298 -$10 0¢ $6 +$17 11-06 19:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +4,000 -$13 0¢ $6 +$19 09-22 10:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +2,747 -$87 0¢ $5 +$92 11-11 18:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,600 $28 0¢ $5 -$22 08-31 17:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? Yes — +3,500 $7 0¢ $5 -$2 07-31 15:28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +2,000 -$8 0¢ $5 +$13 10-29 17:30
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +3,250 $10 0¢ $5 -$5 11-11 16:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +2,340 $5 0¢ $5 $0 11-05 05:35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +2,998 $5 0¢ $4 $0 10-06 10:06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +2,850 $7 0¢ $4 -$2 11-11 16:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +700 $8 1¢ $4 -$3 07-30 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +2,750 $7 0¢ $4 -$3 11-11 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +2,500 $2 0¢ $4 +$1 11-11 21:55
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +2,498 -$8 0¢ $4 +$11 10-29 17:30