Intelligent-Tax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$142

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

572

Trades

17,926

lifetime

Volume

$4.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$259

Open exposure

$10.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-27 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

100% 74% -$16,521

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+8,200	$7,648	94¢	$7.7K	+$60	10-27 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+2,351	$2,226	99¢	$2.3K	+$93	10-27 04:24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+500	$341	66¢	$330	-$11	10-27 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	182	$81.7K	57,958	26,100	+31,858	No	+$1,052	05-22 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	101	$61.3K	58,578	9,255	+49,323	No	-$3,207	09-18 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	42	$59.8K	30,125	30,125	+0	No	+$321	05-29 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	111	$59.6K	30,289	30,288	+1	No	+$808	06-19 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	27	$59.1K	29,653	29,653	+0	No	+$122	05-09 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	18	$56.9K	28,550	28,550	+0	No	+$53	05-15 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	16	$49.6K	24,978	24,977	+1	No	+$306	05-19 09:30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	185	$49.0K	26,466	26,466	+0	No	+$3,841	06-13 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	43	$48.1K	24,300	24,300	+0	No	+$447	05-29 00:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	142	$46.7K	23,400	23,400	+0	No	+$45	05-25 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	57	$44.8K	23,349	23,349	+0	No	+$1,687	06-10 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	79	$44.3K	23,868	23,868	+0	No	+$229	06-23 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	21	$44.2K	22,157	22,156	+1	No	+$46	05-11 12:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	116	$44.0K	22,090	22,089	+1	No	+$88	05-08 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	106	$43.0K	22,595	22,594	+1	No	+$1,957	06-12 16:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	75	$42.7K	21,789	21,788	+1	No	+$681	06-15 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	83	$42.7K	45,058	2,392	+42,666	No	+$147	09-11 18:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	28	$40.2K	20,277	20,277	+0	No	-$80	05-22 04:03
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	75	$40.1K	19,804	21,804	-2,000	No	+$402	05-26 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	75	$39.6K	21,172	21,172	+0	No	+$2,024	06-19 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	14	$39.5K	19,813	19,813	+0	No	+$77	05-11 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	86	$39.1K	19,831	19,831	+0	No	+$326	06-20 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	38	$38.7K	19,448	19,448	+0	No	+$157	06-01 22:21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	71	$38.5K	19,637	19,635	+2	No	+$518	06-22 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	31	$37.3K	24,981	12,491	+12,491	No	+$135	05-30 11:21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	31	$36.4K	18,713	18,713	+0	No	+$936	06-30 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	84	$35.2K	37,149	0	+37,149	No	+$1,913	05-26 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	54	$33.1K	27,822	6,508	+21,313	No	+$573	06-26 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	110	$31.8K	34,391	0	+34,391	No	+$2,567	06-17 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	103	$31.0K	28,595	3,874	+24,722	No	+$1,162	06-29 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$198	0xab2852…
10-27 04:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x0ed2a0…
10-27 03:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	137	71¢	$97	0xa2468d…
10-27 03:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	143	71¢	$101	0x75e075…
10-27 03:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x047e1b…
10-27 02:34:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,680	0xbaa3dd…
10-27 02:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	402	97¢	$390	0xd41608…
10-27 02:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	498	97¢	$483	0xb97e0f…
10-27 02:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb23a44…
10-27 01:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x929169…
10-27 00:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xec5c30…
10-27 00:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa8d4d0…
10-27 00:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	75	65¢	$49	0x8364b9…
10-26 22:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	285	95¢	$270	0x3d2e60…
10-26 19:33:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	729	92¢	$673	0x00d01a…
10-26 19:28:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	247	92¢	$228	0x8be055…
10-26 19:28:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	92¢	$207	0x894755…
10-26 19:00:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	333	87¢	$290	0x99ca6c…
10-26 18:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	333	92¢	$305	0xcbb481…
10-26 18:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xa20dfd…
10-26 15:40:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56859a…
10-26 15:40:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc301bd…
10-26 15:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	188	93¢	$175	0x221551…
10-26 15:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xf39da7…
10-26 15:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	482	87¢	$419	0x1b9357…
10-26 15:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	486	85¢	$413	0xba0828…
10-26 15:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	85¢	$431	0x71be22…
10-26 15:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6172f9…
10-26 14:48:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x6f6b82…
10-26 14:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	49¢	$83	0x42e77d…
10-26 14:12:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xd50f97…
10-26 14:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x6b10a0…
10-26 14:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x65bc99…
10-26 14:11:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x745bac…
10-26 14:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x4bc12d…
10-26 14:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x0f3564…
10-26 13:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0x1331a5…
10-26 13:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc0a76e…
10-26 13:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xbb5336…
10-26 13:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3fb0de…
10-26 13:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x5e066a…
10-26 13:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3474d0…
10-26 13:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$498	0x0ad202…
10-26 13:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd0c501…
10-26 12:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	190	98¢	$185	0x399ea4…
10-26 12:19:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	650	82¢	$533	0x4e1c41…
10-26 12:14:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x1b12c7…
10-26 12:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x3f38c7…
10-26 11:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	82¢	$84	0x966eb7…
10-26 11:16:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0xe2f2d9…
10-26 11:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xdc3494…
10-26 11:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xdca275…
10-26 11:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xae80ee…
10-26 07:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xe3bba5…
10-26 07:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x2e263a…
10-26 06:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x6714ab…
10-26 03:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	174	93¢	$162	0xe1db4c…
10-26 03:33:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x721f94…
10-26 00:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x6f98a9…
10-26 00:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	79	92¢	$72	0x7102b0…
10-26 00:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xc91118…
10-26 00:17:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	955	94¢	$894	0x81e879…
10-26 00:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x725315…
10-25 22:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xa9b93d…
10-25 21:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd5ae57…
10-25 21:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	127	92¢	$117	0x94b781…
10-25 20:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	272	90¢	$246	0xead857…
10-25 20:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	104	90¢	$95	0xdb0180…
10-25 20:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x50baf4…
10-25 20:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0b9708…
10-25 20:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x79c1a3…
10-25 20:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x038094…
10-25 20:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9f44e7…
10-25 20:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	118	90¢	$106	0x68b525…
10-25 19:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xcf40dd…
10-25 19:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0x1dbfbb…
10-25 19:45:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	139	90¢	$126	0xd9501d…
10-25 19:45:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x588037…
10-25 19:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc940cc…
10-25 18:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$918	0x7c84ad…
10-25 16:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xcd9e0e…
10-25 16:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0x3b80aa…
10-25 16:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	82	87¢	$72	0xe9a400…
10-25 16:12:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x36cc4e…
10-25 16:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	991	98¢	$976	0x94c225…
10-25 16:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x33eed0…
10-25 15:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6690f4…
10-24 14:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x9d3e10…
10-24 14:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x5fb2b8…
10-24 14:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0xa145aa…
10-24 14:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x74a771…
10-24 14:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	173	0¢	$1	0x64c934…
10-24 14:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$8	0x4a6be9…
10-24 14:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	135	0¢	$1	0x20ab0c…
10-24 14:47:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x2a750c…
10-24 14:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x0a7152…
10-24 14:37:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	996	9¢	$90	0xd07ec7…
10-24 14:37:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	9¢	$6	0x603621…
10-24 14:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	35¢	$39	0x194326…
10-24 14:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x5db4e3…