Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
open
Total volume
$226
$15,809 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$8,592
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 12:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $72
vs crowd: 26% YES on $192)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $72 | $72 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $50 | $70 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $72 | $72 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $28 | $50 | $23 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offbeat-Criteria 0x482f…53f7 | Yes | +507 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +224 | $12 | $44 | 22 | 05-09 12:53 |
| Mad-User 0xf92d…a225 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 21:06 |
| Smoggy-Salute 0x8814…4a9e | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-09 07:29 |
| Bubbly-Reasoning 0x1612…7287 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 05-09 02:50 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 07:29 |
| Ethical-Emerald 0x515f…3583 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:26 |
| Small-Proprietor 0x671b…9a07 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 06:59 |
| Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 03:29 |
| Whirlwind-Thermals 0x0348…cabd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 03:20 |
| Spiffy-Birch 0x507d…ec77 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 21:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:53:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe487fb… |
| 05-09 12:22:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 393 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x5fecbc… |
| 05-09 12:22:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa06c47… |
| 05-09 12:18:26 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6f5c7f… |
| 05-09 12:18:24 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88c88c… |
| 05-09 12:07:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x42e542… |
| 05-09 12:07:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 405 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x56e246… |
| 05-09 11:55:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd93583… |
| 05-09 11:55:06 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 257 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xbc5018… |
| 05-09 11:05:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcf0170… |
| 05-09 09:15:07 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf16167… |
| 05-09 08:45:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x68cf34… |
| 05-09 08:35:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x661acb… |
| 05-09 07:29:50 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xb784db… |
| 05-09 07:29:50 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xe864a9… |
| 05-09 07:29:50 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x364cd1… |
| 05-09 07:29:50 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xf7d045… |
| 05-09 06:59:40 | Small-Proprietor 0x671b…9a07 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xba8ef8… |
| 05-09 03:35:09 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf768eb… |
| 05-09 03:29:18 | Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xad7a81… |
| 05-09 03:29:16 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb89488… |
| 05-09 03:29:14 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd6c2e5… |
| 05-09 03:20:19 | Whirlwind-Thermals 0x0348…cabd | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x841005… |
| 05-09 03:14:25 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf01050… |
| 05-09 02:50:23 | Bubbly-Reasoning 0x1612…7287 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb2fc6d… |
| 05-09 02:50:18 | Bubbly-Reasoning 0x1612…7287 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x82f9ae… |
| 05-09 02:50:13 | Bubbly-Reasoning 0x1612…7287 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xd29f6a… |
| 05-09 00:32:20 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0421a1… |
| 05-09 00:26:08 | Ethical-Emerald 0x515f…3583 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4041d3… |
| 05-09 00:23:20 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x905de9… |
| 05-09 00:14:33 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf585b9… |
| 05-09 00:12:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6a15ea… |
| 05-09 00:12:08 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2a58a7… |
| 05-08 23:36:43 | Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | Yes | SELL | 238 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x590b6f… |
| 05-08 22:41:25 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x38e796… |
| 05-08 22:41:23 | Disloyal-Grey 0xc793…02a9 | Yes | SELL | 179 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x475505… |
| 05-08 21:16:12 | Spiffy-Birch 0x507d…ec77 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd52941… |
| 05-08 21:06:38 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6bc8de… |
| 05-08 21:06:36 | Mad-User 0xf92d…a225 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x7491d2… |
| 05-08 10:44:31 | Offbeat-Criteria 0x482f…53f7 | Yes | BUY | 507 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xeae716… |
| 05-08 09:20:33 | Smoggy-Salute 0x8814…4a9e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x22a970… |