Small-Proprietor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.47K

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

391

Trades

5,172

lifetime

Volume

$2.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$499

Open exposure

$9.02K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-18 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

49% 77% -$15,623

Crypto

47% 90% -$10,957

Politics

3% 69% +$560

Sports

0% 33% -$668

Tech

0% 100% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-4,491	-$2,429	73¢	$-3278	-$849	07-02 12:42
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-3,679	-$2,655	79¢	$-2906	-$251	10-14 00:50
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-3,010	-$2,225	86¢	$-2589	-$364	09-21 01:01
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	-300	-$241	84¢	$-250	-$9	05-21 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	17	$64.8K	32,602	32,602	-0	Yes	+$342	03-09 15:36
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	210	$54.7K	27,403	27,403	+1	Yes	+$27	03-13 04:31
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	35	$51.0K	25,491	26,491	-1,000	No	+$853	02-19 12:24
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	58	$50.9K	25,601	25,601	+0	Yes	+$251	06-26 00:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	4	$48.0K	24,134	24,134	+0	No	+$188	03-18 15:32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	32	$45.9K	23,085	23,085	+0	Yes	+$199	06-25 21:52
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	10	$41.4K	27,662	13,831	+13,831	No	+$82	03-09 05:25
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	29	$40.6K	20,341	20,341	+0	Yes	+$24	03-20 14:48
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	3	$35.7K	17,912	17,912	+0	Yes	+$36	03-04 10:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	27	$33.3K	23,169	11,377	+11,792	No	+$533	06-01 00:00
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	40	$33.0K	17,665	16,583	+1,082	Yes	+$1,211	06-28 03:42
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	38	$32.3K	16,528	16,528	+0	Yes	+$770	06-24 23:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	111	$30.2K	17,900	19,079	-1,179	No	-$6,292	03-23 12:25
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	21	$29.2K	14,748	14,748	+0	Yes	+$222	06-27 22:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	21	$28.7K	14,191	14,601	-410	Yes	+$74	03-04 14:23
bitcoin above 70k on february 20	22	$27.1K	27,345	0	+27,345	No	+$267	02-20 15:06
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	7	$26.7K	13,440	13,440	+0	Yes	+$135	06-26 20:59
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 9	14	$25.8K	17,906	17,906	+0	No	-$6,837	03-10 02:52
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	19	$25.6K	15,397	11,007	+4,390	Yes	+$11	02-16 02:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	8	$24.4K	12,264	12,264	+0	Yes	+$140	03-07 15:08
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	1	$24.1K	24,134	0	+24,134	Yes	+$24	03-18 15:55
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	80	$24.0K	12,088	12,299	-211	No	+$321	04-03 08:19
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	56	$23.7K	11,917	11,857	+60	No	+$17	04-09 17:56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	46	$23.6K	12,268	12,268	+0	Yes	+$930	07-01 07:28
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	6	$23.3K	12,598	12,591	+7	No	-$1,720	04-02 02:15
bitcoin above 72k on march 21	1	$22.9K	22,988	0	+22,988	No	+$46	03-21 15:12
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	26	$22.0K	11,139	11,139	+0	Yes	+$213	06-27 04:38
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	16	$21.9K	10,965	10,965	+0	Yes	+$22	03-05 07:27
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	85	$21.6K	24,336	0	+24,336	Yes	+$2,771	06-25 02:42
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	6	$19.8K	20,911	0	+20,911	Yes	+$1,159	06-25 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 02:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xee86c1…
10-16 01:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x510c81…
10-16 01:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x07aa33…
10-16 01:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5f4057…
10-16 01:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xa154f9…
10-14 16:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x293eed…
10-14 15:56:09	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c2600…
10-14 00:50:10	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,083	75¢	$814	0xd51f30…
10-06 15:32:44	Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	210	93¢	$195	0xdfac55…
10-05 15:18:37	Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xc688b0…
10-02 11:34:33	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	222	71¢	$158	0x2b2fec…
10-02 11:34:18	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	266	72¢	$192	0x0fc32a…
10-01 00:53:06	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4cd5ae…
10-01 00:49:50	Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb0c7a1…
09-29 03:05:09	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	1,985	100¢	$1,979	0xe86756…
09-29 03:04:50	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd502d8…
09-21 01:01:34	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,633	76¢	$1,241	0x5e2e86…
09-21 01:00:52	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,556	38¢	$590	0xa3b350…
09-15 06:15:24	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,108	71¢	$1,492	0x08cea1…
09-01 02:06:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x3ecf9e…
08-29 13:51:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xcd17b0…
08-29 07:07:30	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xaf4167…
08-29 03:40:27	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,256	58¢	$728	0xcbac53…
07-22 12:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2,196	61¢	$1,339	0xadd619…
07-22 03:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	336	99¢	$334	0x5598ea…
07-22 02:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x6420ea…
07-22 01:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x3ee44b…
07-22 01:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	654	100¢	$653	0xb0a9be…
07-22 01:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb357b5…
07-22 01:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa9d78f…
07-21 16:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xb5757e…
07-21 16:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd4ee7c…
07-21 16:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x07b2d5…
07-21 16:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x3df6a9…
07-21 16:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xcec69d…
07-21 16:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0x2a4af4…
07-21 16:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xdda438…
07-21 15:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1,957	100¢	$1,955	0x484804…
07-21 13:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb72241…
07-21 13:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x68b325…
07-21 12:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xec7867…
07-21 12:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0xce5301…
07-21 11:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0xa5ca95…
07-21 11:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xcd553c…
07-21 11:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfca5a7…
07-21 10:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x60c113…
07-21 10:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0a380f…
07-21 10:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x1707f8…
07-21 09:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x75ecb4…
07-21 09:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x6fb0a2…
07-21 09:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x68f4fa…
07-21 09:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac54d4…
07-21 09:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$181	0xccbeac…
07-21 09:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x18b32b…
07-21 07:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x77246f…
07-21 07:32:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xcf118a…
07-21 07:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0b6de4…
07-21 07:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f9543…
07-21 07:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	244	98¢	$239	0x267d35…
07-21 07:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4a3824…
07-21 07:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xed87c7…
07-21 07:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x801270…
07-21 07:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xc75237…
07-21 07:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x87389d…
07-21 07:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x169aca…
07-21 07:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x59c00b…
07-21 07:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd29f13…
07-21 06:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xbf039f…
07-21 06:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1d10f8…
07-21 06:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9ae4b8…
07-21 06:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x9f96d5…
07-21 06:27:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x5801b6…
07-21 06:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x55740e…
07-21 05:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x28b571…
07-21 05:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1343a1…
07-21 03:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1,177	100¢	$1,176	0x2c8c90…
07-21 02:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xca3818…
07-21 00:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5d0f17…
07-21 00:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2f026d…
07-21 00:18:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x00e1aa…
07-21 00:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	894	100¢	$890	0xbbb605…
07-20 01:31:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1,422	100¢	$1,420	0xa20429…
07-19 13:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xee69ce…
07-19 13:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3009c9…
07-19 13:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbb055a…
07-19 13:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x03e3ca…
07-19 13:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x828207…
07-19 13:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6c8227…
07-19 13:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x36244e…
07-19 13:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe7f0b4…
07-19 13:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x87b03c…
07-19 13:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2983ff…
07-19 12:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd8e25e…
07-19 11:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbfe4e4…
07-19 11:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x50e02d…
07-19 11:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x592342…
07-19 10:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa1daf5…
07-19 10:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe8e73c…
07-19 10:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x77b52c…
07-19 10:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x66c18e…