Disloyal-Grey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

117

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$9.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-26 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

100% 36% +$108

Crypto

0% 21% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+150	$10	23¢	$35	+$25	10-20 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+698	$46	1¢	$9	-$36	10-26 20:04
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$3	0¢	$2	-$1	10-26 21:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	8	$775	907	907	+0	Yes	+$468	10-20 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$605	1,308	1,308	+0	No	+$100	09-29 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	16	$572	760	760	+0	Yes	+$533	10-16 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	11	$455	800	800	+0	Yes	+$145	10-06 05:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	11	$448	2,521	459	+2,062	No	-$239	10-11 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$418	569	569	+0	No	+$64	10-20 00:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	5	$411	940	940	+0	Yes	+$35	09-22 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	5	$288	523	523	+0	open	—	10-26 23:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	12	$282	2,027	2,027	+0	No	+$208	10-08 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	4	$260	1,273	0	+1,273	No	-$260	10-20 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$259	313	307	+7	Yes	+$78	05-01 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$233	753	753	+0	Yes	+$8	09-28 00:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$231	1,723	0	+1,723	No	-$231	10-20 17:41
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	13	$211	4,170	4,170	+0	No	+$39	10-10 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	10	$209	406	406	+0	No	+$35	09-29 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	8	$192	904	471	+432	No	+$60	05-01 01:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	4	$160	500	500	+0	No	+$20	09-23 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$150	269	269	+0	Yes	+$30	10-23 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$140	536	0	+536	No	-$140	10-20 23:31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$126	300	300	+0	No	+$31	10-19 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$116	1,026	1,026	+0	No	-$12	10-01 06:23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$116	824	824	+0	No	+$85	10-08 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$115	485	129	+356	No	-$56	10-07 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$108	1,150	50	+1,100	No	-$92	10-08 11:37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	5	$94	256	245	+11	No	+$40	04-28 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$90	371	0	+371	No	-$90	10-12 21:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$88	500	308	+192	No	-$22	09-30 23:15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$86	291	291	+0	No	-$32	10-19 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	4	$84	318	318	+0	Yes	+$7	09-17 20:25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$83	800	800	+0	Yes	+$75	10-08 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	49¢	$64	0x2ee2f4…
10-26 21:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x8f18b8…
10-26 20:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	9¢	$16	0x90025c…
10-26 20:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	8¢	$10	0x2a1348…
10-26 20:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	47¢	$72	0xcb7c8c…
10-26 20:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	47¢	$112	0x64d49c…
10-23 09:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	34¢	$90	0xa1cd87…
10-22 10:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	10¢	$24	0xc420c7…
10-20 23:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	26¢	$140	0x04c528…
10-20 21:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	22¢	$100	0xf9824e…
10-20 18:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	9¢	$30	0x6d3689…
10-20 18:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0x9bef8b…
10-20 18:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	781	3¢	$20	0x4ed1c7…
10-20 17:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	9¢	$20	0x589a25…
10-20 15:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	18¢	$100	0x1a6581…
10-20 15:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x0f2eaa…
10-20 15:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x3d67b8…
10-20 15:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0xbc0e46…
10-20 15:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	90¢	$292	0x71d117…
10-20 15:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x4d3079…
10-20 15:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	90¢	$143	0x290c13…
10-20 15:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$5	0x8c8d8e…
10-20 14:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xa1f1af…
10-20 14:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x36584f…
10-20 14:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x7033bf…
10-20 14:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x30ab52…
10-20 14:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	1¢	$5	0xf21124…
10-20 14:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	70¢	$122	0x5af793…
10-20 02:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	52¢	$55	0x580e67…
10-20 01:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	15¢	$30	0xd0d217…
10-20 01:30:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	8¢	$20	0xa57e21…
10-20 00:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x2c40eb…
10-20 00:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xde8322…
10-20 00:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	21¢	$100	0x199591…
10-20 00:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	569	42¢	$241	0x6d3177…
10-19 17:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0x63f899…
10-19 17:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	13¢	$28	0x1d3098…
10-19 15:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	13¢	$30	0xffe352…
10-19 15:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xebbf9d…
10-19 14:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	22¢	$60	0xa28461…
10-19 09:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	614	2¢	$9	0x71824d…
10-19 09:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	291	9¢	$27	0x652094…
10-19 09:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	26¢	$79	0xeafc0d…
10-18 19:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	3¢	$10	0x44cc95…
10-18 19:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	5¢	$20	0x7f8410…
10-18 18:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$10	0xb7c067…
10-18 17:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	2¢	$20	0xd24d19…
10-18 17:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	20¢	$59	0xde5736…
10-18 17:57:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	614	8¢	$50	0x9d6864…
10-18 06:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	23¢	$100	0xf58149…
10-17 15:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xcbddef…
10-17 11:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$8	0x724e99…
10-17 11:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x98b180…
10-17 10:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xf8ba6a…
10-17 10:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x7b1657…
10-17 09:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3753d7…
10-17 09:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0xbfe057…
10-17 09:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x757667…
10-17 09:28:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0x412362…
10-16 15:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	7¢	$9	0x15176b…
10-16 15:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$26	0x0f0951…
10-16 15:31:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xf52386…
10-16 15:28:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$44	0xfb3e9c…
10-16 15:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	7¢	$12	0x8aaa24…
10-16 13:25:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xa65d4e…
10-16 13:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$3	0x7d10ef…
10-16 13:25:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xba7581…
10-16 13:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb31e6c…
10-16 13:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae4e88…
10-16 13:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	75¢	$142	0x548e41…
10-16 12:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	72¢	$302	0x908e5e…
10-16 12:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	72¢	$58	0x435f33…
10-16 12:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x122676…
10-16 12:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdf00da…
10-16 12:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x19053c…
10-16 12:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x64bb89…
10-16 12:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xed7364…
10-16 12:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x22b740…
10-16 12:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xb041e2…
10-16 12:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x72ad42…
10-16 09:59:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xa8de99…
10-16 09:59:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xc7d3ac…
10-16 09:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xfdf00b…
10-12 21:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x7cc7a0…
10-12 21:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x36781a…
10-12 21:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0x33e9bb…
10-12 21:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	26¢	$23	0xf5f977…
10-12 21:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x110290…
10-11 12:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	5¢	$15	0x54fd90…
10-11 12:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x72ac2a…
10-11 09:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	11¢	$15	0xe33949…
10-11 06:48:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x16ed36…
10-11 04:12:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xafb83a…
10-10 22:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$2	0x37417d…
10-10 22:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4096c1…
10-10 22:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	11¢	$25	0x3aaca1…
10-10 22:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0x407864…
10-10 22:14:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$19	0x754a6b…
10-10 18:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xd73769…
10-10 18:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x8b6243…