Disloyal-Grey — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$330

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

319

497 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.25K

$10.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-05 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

100% 33% -$299

Crypto

0% 21% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+837	$70	5¢	$40	-$30	11-04 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	8	$775	907	907	+0	Yes	+$468	10-20 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$605	1,308	1,308	+0	No	+$100	09-29 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	16	$572	760	760	+0	Yes	+$533	10-16 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	11	$455	800	800	+0	Yes	+$145	10-06 05:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	11	$448	2,521	459	+2,062	No	-$239	10-11 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$418	569	569	+0	No	+$64	10-20 00:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	5	$411	940	940	+0	Yes	+$35	09-22 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	5	$288	523	523	+0	Yes	+$208	10-26 23:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	12	$282	2,027	2,027	+0	No	+$208	10-08 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	8	$282	968	968	+0	Yes	+$42	11-04 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	4	$260	1,273	0	+1,273	No	-$260	10-20 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$259	313	307	+7	Yes	+$78	05-01 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$233	753	753	+0	Yes	+$8	09-28 00:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$231	1,723	0	+1,723	No	-$231	10-20 17:41
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	13	$211	4,170	4,170	+0	No	+$39	10-10 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$210	1,576	0	+1,576	No	-$210	10-29 01:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	10	$209	406	406	+0	No	+$35	09-29 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	8	$192	904	471	+432	No	+$60	05-01 01:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	4	$160	500	500	+0	No	+$20	09-23 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$150	269	269	+0	Yes	+$30	10-23 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$140	536	0	+536	No	-$140	10-20 23:31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	6	$139	3,516	0	+3,516	No	-$139	11-05 19:55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$129	298	298	+0	No	+$49	11-04 19:32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$126	300	300	+0	No	+$31	10-19 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	6	$118	953	0	+953	No	-$118	10-28 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$116	1,026	1,026	+0	No	-$12	10-01 06:23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$116	824	824	+0	No	+$85	10-08 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$115	485	129	+356	No	-$56	10-07 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$108	1,150	50	+1,100	No	-$92	10-08 11:37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	5	$94	256	245	+11	No	+$40	04-28 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x190c6c…
11-05 19:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf2f6ce…
11-05 19:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa2b058…
11-05 19:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,229	1¢	$20	0x00d8bb…
11-05 19:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	619	2¢	$15	0xe2a6a3…
11-05 19:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	423	10¢	$43	0xc0d75e…
11-05 05:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	604	4¢	$24	0xf3b3b5…
11-05 05:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	457	5¢	$24	0xb43cf2…
11-05 05:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	457	7¢	$30	0x77ffc7…
11-04 19:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x524cac…
11-04 19:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	4¢	$20	0x75e48d…
11-04 19:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,021	0¢	$10	0xf5118b…
11-04 19:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x61e9e8…
11-04 19:32:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	298	30¢	$89	0x7fe201…
11-04 16:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	6¢	$14	0x4614a7…
11-04 16:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	1¢	$4	0x8b923e…
11-04 15:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0x013a04…
11-04 15:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	516	4¢	$20	0xa677b2…
11-04 15:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	837	8¢	$70	0x78a22b…
11-04 13:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	659	1¢	$5	0x2cc8bd…
11-04 13:16:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	1¢	$5	0x5348cd…
11-04 13:15:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x1d43d8…
11-04 13:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	284	4¢	$10	0xdb0830…
11-04 13:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	7¢	$20	0x46754d…
11-04 13:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	2¢	$5	0x6d1a2f…
11-04 12:20:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	484	22¢	$108	0x264000…
11-04 12:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x27e3da…
11-04 12:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$2	0xd8db87…
11-04 12:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	4¢	$14	0xbf023b…
11-04 12:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	12¢	$45	0x6b3989…
11-03 23:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xdc4cb1…
11-03 23:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xcbb989…
11-03 23:14:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xf8bd28…
11-03 23:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x668280…
11-03 22:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x8424c7…
11-03 22:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x50b1b5…
11-03 22:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	16¢	$22	0x71e900…
11-03 15:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$4	0x9ef44c…
11-03 14:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x28859b…
11-03 14:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0x52e012…
11-03 14:32:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb2578c…
11-03 14:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba3692…
11-03 14:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb05f6e…
11-03 14:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd23b26…
11-03 13:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	13¢	$40	0x036e97…
11-03 13:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x66e7dd…
11-03 04:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x2d5674…
11-03 01:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	10¢	$15	0x6dfd03…
11-03 01:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	7¢	$20	0xb29e63…
11-03 01:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$10	0xb61dd2…
11-03 01:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	552	13¢	$70	0x63a1df…
11-03 01:12:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xfb6f2e…
11-03 01:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x419a05…
11-03 01:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	9¢	$14	0xb3a158…
11-03 01:11:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xbf1f21…
10-29 01:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x4f9499…
10-28 16:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,388	14¢	$200	0x901c59…
10-28 06:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0xdd9ea1…
10-28 06:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa1a0c4…
10-28 06:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x13ed2f…
10-28 06:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$4	0xe6b894…
10-28 06:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	11¢	$14	0x36120c…
10-28 06:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	12¢	$22	0xfacb45…
10-28 06:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x9954b2…
10-28 06:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	12¢	$14	0x058f7d…
10-28 06:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x18fc0d…
10-28 06:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x04b42c…
10-26 23:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	49¢	$64	0x2ee2f4…
10-26 21:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x8f18b8…
10-26 20:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	9¢	$16	0x90025c…
10-26 20:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	8¢	$10	0x2a1348…
10-26 20:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	47¢	$72	0xcb7c8c…
10-26 20:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	47¢	$112	0x64d49c…
10-23 09:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	34¢	$90	0xa1cd87…
10-22 10:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	10¢	$24	0xc420c7…
10-20 23:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	26¢	$140	0x04c528…
10-20 21:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	22¢	$100	0xf9824e…
10-20 18:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	9¢	$30	0x6d3689…
10-20 18:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0x9bef8b…
10-20 18:08:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	781	3¢	$20	0x4ed1c7…
10-20 17:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	9¢	$20	0x589a25…
10-20 15:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	18¢	$100	0x1a6581…
10-20 15:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x0f2eaa…
10-20 15:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x3d67b8…
10-20 15:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0xbc0e46…
10-20 15:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	90¢	$292	0x71d117…
10-20 15:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x4d3079…
10-20 15:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	90¢	$143	0x290c13…
10-20 15:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$5	0x8c8d8e…
10-20 14:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xa1f1af…
10-20 14:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x36584f…
10-20 14:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x7033bf…
10-20 14:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x30ab52…
10-20 14:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	1¢	$5	0xf21124…
10-20 14:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	70¢	$122	0x5af793…
10-20 02:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	52¢	$55	0x580e67…
10-20 01:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	15¢	$30	0xd0d217…
10-20 01:30:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	8¢	$20	0xa57e21…
10-20 00:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x2c40eb…
10-20 00:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xde8322…