Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.71K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-19

last 10-16 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

65% 29% -$5,356

Politics

34% 50% +$825

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% -$148

Crypto

0% 25% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes		+0	-$16	80¢	$0	+$16	10-01 18:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$9.1K	5,062	5,062	+0	Yes	+$881	09-20 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	136	$6.6K	7,870	7,870	+0	Yes	+$1,164	09-29 16:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	7	$4.0K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	10-01 18:29
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	11	$4.0K	2,675	2,675	+0	open	—	09-27 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,476	1,476	+0	No	+$212	10-09 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	10	$2.7K	5,607	5,607	+0	No	+$240	10-01 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$2.4K	2,032	1,365	+667	No	+$217	10-08 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	22	$2.4K	21,231	5,716	+15,515	No	-$865	10-08 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	48	$2.0K	16,276	3,682	+12,594	No	-$49	10-08 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	25	$1.8K	7,665	7,665	+0	No	-$1,442	10-02 22:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	28	$1.7K	2,383	2,383	+0	No	+$178	09-27 10:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	4	$1.5K	2,046	2,046	+0	No	+$92	09-24 21:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	12	$1.1K	15,883	15,883	+0	No	-$1,103	10-01 16:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	7	$1.1K	6,653	0	+6,653	No	-$1,105	10-07 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$1.0K	3,294	3,294	+0	Yes	-$975	10-05 08:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$905	3,923	3,923	+0	No	-$498	10-14 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$894	1,209	0	+1,209	No	+$315	10-08 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	21	$824	4,225	4,225	+0	No	-$393	10-13 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$559	360	360	+0	No	-$84	10-14 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$440	2,025	0	+2,025	No	-$440	10-06 17:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$402	921	921	+0	No	+$2	09-29 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$394	3,351	3,351	+0	No	-$206	10-12 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$392	429	343	+86	Yes	-$163	10-16 13:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$308	790	790	+0	No	+$8	10-05 18:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$209	1,023	1,023	+0	No	-$133	10-14 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$185	774	0	+774	No	-$185	10-06 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$174	464	464	+0	No	-$8	10-12 18:51
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	4	$162	592	592	+0	open	—	09-29 16:00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	1	$98	482	0	+482	Yes	-$98	09-22 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$65	3,200	0	+3,200	No	-$65	10-07 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 13:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	80¢	$68	0x4ebf9a…
10-16 13:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	343	21¢	$72	0xac8a34…
10-15 11:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	343	73¢	$252	0x4feea8…
10-14 21:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	360	66¢	$238	0x19947b…
10-14 12:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	491	4¢	$20	0x67fa29…
10-14 07:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,032	0¢	$8	0x1214f5…
10-14 07:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,023	4¢	$38	0x166bca…
10-13 19:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	28¢	$71	0x90f073…
10-13 07:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,093	3¢	$61	0x48e227…
10-12 18:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	239	89¢	$212	0x7a6760…
10-12 18:51:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	464	18¢	$83	0x8473da…
10-12 14:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	7¢	$31	0x049cc9…
10-12 14:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	7¢	$19	0xde2f4f…
10-12 14:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xf2f450…
10-12 13:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2c10ee…
10-12 13:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x1169d7…
10-12 13:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xd9d652…
10-12 13:54:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xd2d6d3…
10-12 13:46:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	7¢	$7	0x78ef09…
10-12 12:50:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xb97d77…
10-12 12:50:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xdfe94a…
10-12 12:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	7¢	$12	0x16bf68…
10-12 11:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x3d6946…
10-12 11:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xf7032d…
10-12 08:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x064db6…
10-12 08:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x39d7cc…
10-12 08:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x9b21fd…
10-12 07:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	20¢	$53	0xbc6fee…
10-12 07:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	19¢	$37	0xb461e4…
10-12 07:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,351	3¢	$94	0xcdb152…
10-09 19:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	121	90¢	$109	0xfad52e…
10-09 19:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	832	12¢	$100	0xf877be…
10-09 19:47:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x283811…
10-09 19:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,821	5¢	$100	0x8664f8…
10-09 15:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,530	13¢	$200	0xaa0875…
10-09 15:42:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,200	18¢	$400	0x4a1da7…
10-09 15:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,284	18¢	$400	0x0b8445…
10-09 15:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	598	100¢	$596	0x21d118…
10-09 15:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	878	99¢	$869	0x7f3c81…
10-09 10:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,476	85¢	$1,253	0x79bd1c…
10-08 08:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,209	74¢	$894	0xb8ea82…
10-08 08:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xcbbf71…
10-08 08:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,804	1¢	$100	0x1f5c5f…
10-08 08:10:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,902	11¢	$200	0xb8605a…
10-08 08:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,594	1¢	$100	0xb523e9…
10-08 07:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1,365	97¢	$1,327	0x9c3a01…
10-07 18:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	689	1¢	$9	0x641db5…
10-07 18:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0xe73afc…
10-07 17:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,450	7¢	$180	0x8df069…
10-07 17:46:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	891	22¢	$196	0xc18a23…
10-07 15:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	535	19¢	$100	0x451af6…
10-07 14:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,745	0¢	$10	0x662c57…
10-07 14:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb8871a…
10-07 12:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$3	0xb21df1…
10-07 12:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0x7035f7…
10-07 12:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,891	2¢	$58	0x40038d…
10-07 09:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	514	31¢	$159	0x53f7af…
10-07 09:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,365	81¢	$1,100	0xb06a87…
10-07 07:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	23¢	$37	0x3bae15…
10-07 06:21:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xa698b1…
10-07 06:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x1e8953…
10-07 06:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	22¢	$27	0xe409eb…
10-07 06:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x75cedb…
10-07 06:20:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	22¢	$37	0xac10c1…
10-07 06:20:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x8fa785…
10-07 06:20:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	721	22¢	$159	0x657fc7…
10-07 06:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	22¢	$25	0x4e0a65…
10-07 06:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xf47b46…
10-07 06:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	318	22¢	$70	0xd421d7…
10-07 06:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x8b8432…
10-07 06:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x4d98f0…
10-07 06:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd00e0d…
10-07 05:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x567053…
10-07 05:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6bb9a1…
10-07 05:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4cdd49…
10-07 05:45:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xe5d398…
10-07 05:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2f3ffc…
10-06 22:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	33¢	$23	0x0b9fa4…
10-06 20:56:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	561	23¢	$129	0x77fd61…
10-06 20:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	32¢	$151	0xa1e79d…
10-06 20:40:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	774	24¢	$185	0x98815b…
10-06 18:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	30¢	$79	0x2b4e79…
10-06 17:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x80a291…
10-06 17:51:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xd6b399…
10-06 17:48:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0x9883ee…
10-06 17:39:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0xa95615…
10-06 17:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x1074d9…
10-06 17:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0xb777f0…
10-06 17:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xea1992…
10-06 16:56:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0xf1b31d…
10-06 16:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x5add58…
10-06 16:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x81934e…
10-06 16:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x3047ae…
10-06 16:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x9d92c9…
10-06 16:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	30¢	$30	0x89d6a1…
10-06 16:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x835c26…
10-06 16:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5b0cd5…
10-06 16:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x3bafab…
10-06 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xa145e8…
10-06 15:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$4	0xa578c6…