Frequent-Basis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-11 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 50% $-4

Other

21% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$355	290	290	+0	open	—	02-28 09:14
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 200plus	13	$202	212	0	+212	open	—	04-18 17:30
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	11	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	04-17 06:45
will iran strike israel on march 9	5	$119	127	127	+0	open	—	03-03 20:56
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$101	93	93	+0	open	—	03-03 21:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$97	101	0	+101	open	—	02-28 22:13
will turkey strike iran by march 31	8	$97	103	0	+103	open	—	03-23 08:01
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 60 79	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 14:28
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 0 19	5	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	04-05 11:12
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by march 31 822	4	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	03-06 04:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 40 59	8	$75	76	0	+76	open	—	03-31 00:05
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 60 79	2	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-05 12:39
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 40 59	7	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	04-07 03:43
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 40 59	5	$67	68	0	+68	open	—	03-24 04:57
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	3	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	03-07 02:45
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 200plus	5	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 20:52
will iran strike israel on march 1	4	$58	107	56	+51	open	—	03-01 15:17
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 40 59	2	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	03-06 21:58
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	04-26 20:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	2	$51	64	0	+64	open	—	03-03 18:06
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$51	54	0	+54	open	—	02-28 19:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$49	38	37	+1	open	—	03-06 09:10
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	8	$48	53	0	+53	open	—	03-04 01:26
nothing ever happens khamenei	4	$45	66	0	+66	open	—	02-28 20:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$45	73	0	+73	open	—	03-01 07:17
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	8	$44	145	0	+145	open	—	04-24 12:33
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$43	52	0	+52	open	—	04-23 18:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 60 79	5	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-09 06:21
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 180 199	7	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-17 15:22
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	4	$42	34	34	+0	open	—	03-20 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 22:32:33	btc updown 5m 1786487400	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc9f580…
08-11 22:31:36	btc updown 5m 1786487400	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xabff80…
08-11 09:26:36	btc updown 5m 1786440300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4bdcce…
08-11 03:06:37	btc updown 5m 1786417500	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x08f597…
08-11 02:58:55	btc updown 5m 1786416900	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd789c6…
08-10 20:24:00	btc updown 5m 1786393200	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x41b735…
08-09 12:43:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1aad2…
08-02 03:44:20	will trump say middle east in august 20260728181450065	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58f0ca…
08-02 03:44:11	will trump say washington dptcpt in august 20260728181450063	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e8818…
08-02 03:43:48	will trump say moscow in august 20260728181450068	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x75f9bd…
07-23 04:05:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x671b91…
07-17 17:11:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd9c9bd…
07-13 04:23:55	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf9f888…
07-12 04:11:04	Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x14b97a…
07-12 04:10:32	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x126de8…
07-12 04:10:10	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa2c50e…
07-09 06:39:25	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x5af959…
07-06 14:15:20	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x426dc8…
06-27 13:42:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa9f6f3…
06-17 04:30:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x356f16…
06-17 04:29:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2b6afa…
06-17 04:29:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4c6806…
06-16 03:59:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11f90d…
06-16 03:58:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xd7b963…
06-16 03:57:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x4b8ad2…
06-14 00:39:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x9455eb…
06-06 06:06:16	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0a160b…
06-06 06:05:57	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6c1fe…
06-06 06:05:24	zgr zel arrested by june 30	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5e5ec3…
06-02 19:40:36	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xae957b…
06-01 22:39:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa8732f…
06-01 22:38:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9b1f7e…
06-01 22:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5b1c1b…
05-27 04:29:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf3c97…
05-27 04:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x22c23a…
05-27 04:28:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x0707fb…
05-23 17:48:17	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xcd7934…
05-19 04:43:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x1b7060…
05-19 04:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65d9dc…
05-14 05:07:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb9a6af…
05-11 15:43:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xec0946…
05-08 04:14:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x97af76…
05-08 04:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa0e2b7…
05-06 15:11:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x008b8e…
05-05 17:55:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd0c9e2…
05-04 19:24:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcc10ce…
05-04 05:20:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2b4a3…
05-04 05:20:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x94a27f…
05-02 06:37:02	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3d794…
05-02 06:36:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x452a13…
05-02 06:36:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbf9f4b…
05-02 06:36:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdfea0f…
05-02 06:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43ce83…
05-02 06:35:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x929dd4…
05-02 06:35:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x01e3e7…
05-02 06:35:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3fed6…
05-02 06:35:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xda1b2e…
05-02 06:35:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcf53b3…
05-02 06:35:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2f965b…
05-02 06:34:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf8a81d…
05-02 06:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x20db48…
05-02 06:34:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x202b03…
05-02 06:34:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x74a4d8…
05-02 06:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeed721…
05-02 06:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf656d0…
05-02 06:19:00	Will Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8acc30…
05-01 16:58:40	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xa26443…
05-01 16:58:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f105d…
04-26 20:43:22	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0f1f9b…
04-26 18:55:24	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbc254c…
04-24 12:34:00	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9e8e66…
04-24 12:33:20	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x193e6d…
04-24 12:33:02	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x07d8f8…
04-24 12:32:44	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x147cb9…
04-24 06:49:36	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6f878a…
04-24 06:41:26	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xb8a78e…
04-24 06:41:08	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3166f2…
04-23 18:48:00	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4c027…
04-23 03:38:14	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x02d340…
04-22 17:20:26	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c15c0…
04-22 17:16:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x862ff4…
04-22 15:47:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x363953…
04-22 15:47:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x490e6d…
04-22 15:47:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x678a0b…
04-22 15:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe1e8d0…
04-22 15:46:10	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x197c3b…
04-22 15:44:36	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7bf0f5…
04-22 15:44:14	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd6d80e…
04-22 15:44:02	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x374c68…
04-22 06:17:30	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9f4e1d…
04-22 06:17:16	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0200f2…
04-22 03:50:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1108c4…
04-22 03:50:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x70871c…
04-22 03:48:06	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x74a3cc…
04-22 03:47:44	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6afa39…
04-21 21:25:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7ffa3e…
04-21 21:23:38	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x504bcb…
04-21 21:23:00	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x203622…
04-21 21:22:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcb37e7…
04-21 21:22:34	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xef7074…