Realized P&L
+$326
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
1,229
Trades
2,191
lifetime
Volume
$18.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$195
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-29 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 220 days
Categories
Other
49% 96% -$179
Politics
43% 91% +$419
Crypto
7% 87% +$72
Tech
1% 100% +$12
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -65 -$54 88¢ $-57 -$2 10-24 18:16
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -45 -$36 84¢ $-38 -$1 10-22 16:27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -22 -$20 97¢ $-21 -$1 07-29 05:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -14 -$13 96¢ $-14 -$1 06-16 03:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -13 -$13 98¢ $-13 +$0 10-28 08:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -12 -$10 99¢ $-12 -$1 08-26 10:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 09-05 21:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 10-29 20:03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 07-17 17:11
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 $0 06-13 05:29
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -5 -$5 85¢ $-4 +$1 10-24 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 08-16 04:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-16 03:57
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 07-13 04:23
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 08-02 20:33
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 08-09 12:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -1 $0 38¢ $-0 $0 09-13 04:19