Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$616
$4,746 in 24h
Trades
90
Unique wallets
57
Liquidity
$4,559
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 20:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | — | $179 | $179 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $34 | $235 | $201 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $89 | $89 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Median | 14 | $1 | $68 | $68 |
| Below median | 21 | $31 | $168 | $138 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $2 | $65 | $63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $0 | $15 | $14 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | +264 | $21 | $40 | 9 | 05-14 01:25 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +220 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 21:27 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +88 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | +68 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-15 08:35 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +42 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 09:45 |
| Alarmed-Metallurgist 0xa3ca…d665 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 09:36 |
| Tricky-Towel 0x4e50…7a7f | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 06:08 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 07:44 |
| Dizzy-Effector 0x670f…d2f0 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 10:45 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 11:17 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +13 | $12 | $68 | 3 | 05-15 13:22 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 07:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 19:40 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 09:40 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:14 |
| Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 09:24 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:42 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:43 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:44 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:44 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:43 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:29 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 20:03:10 | First-Ghost 0x2fed…7f8e | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xce00ff… |
| 05-15 15:54:34 | Decimal-Boundary 0x3926…9d3e | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2ff021… |
| 05-15 13:22:32 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x3abf73… |
| 05-15 13:22:26 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13a50d… |
| 05-15 12:41:03 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf42de5… |
| 05-15 12:39:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3169c3… |
| 05-15 11:34:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0af94… |
| 05-15 11:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0133ce… |
| 05-15 11:17:00 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa255e2… |
| 05-15 11:14:31 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6eddc2… |
| 05-15 10:45:28 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08a291… |
| 05-15 10:45:26 | Dizzy-Effector 0x670f…d2f0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xace5c4… |
| 05-15 10:40:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95e98b… |
| 05-15 10:40:50 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e15e0… |
| 05-15 10:34:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf25b50… |
| 05-15 09:45:46 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xdb9972… |
| 05-15 09:45:42 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc5368f… |
| 05-15 09:40:57 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8a6947… |
| 05-15 09:39:28 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x62c1b3… |
| 05-15 09:39:17 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xde48c6… |
| 05-15 09:39:12 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x184189… |
| 05-15 09:36:17 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd90781… |
| 05-15 09:35:24 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef1220… |
| 05-15 09:35:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x119e09… |
| 05-15 09:35:21 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa9ac5d… |
| 05-15 09:35:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0e4e2… |
| 05-15 09:35:21 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4241e5… |
| 05-15 09:35:21 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x333fad… |
| 05-15 09:35:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c87a9… |
| 05-15 09:34:32 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x746a97… |
| 05-15 09:25:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdfc87… |
| 05-15 09:25:00 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7056ab… |
| 05-15 09:24:23 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x24aed7… |
| 05-15 08:35:56 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 68 | 100¢ | $67 | 0x188401… |
| 05-15 08:25:12 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95cee0… |
| 05-15 00:02:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x3567e5… |
| 05-14 21:27:14 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf6a3c9… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe1777e… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x413400… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x978891… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b3a23… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53771f… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45867e… |
| 05-14 21:12:32 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x4f4900… |
| 05-14 18:34:46 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x817fba… |
| 05-14 10:04:00 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x61b564… |
| 05-14 08:29:09 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x51e7a5… |
| 05-14 07:49:19 | Alarmed-Metallurgist 0xa3ca…d665 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4b05cb… |
| 05-14 07:49:15 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xea2138… |
| 05-14 07:44:16 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x7f58f3… |
| 05-14 07:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa81031… |
| 05-14 07:44:11 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x253393… |
| 05-14 07:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x05cee7… |
| 05-14 07:44:05 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x534b5a… |
| 05-14 07:43:58 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x724cdb… |
| 05-14 07:43:58 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5a5412… |
| 05-14 07:43:58 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xd2bdf5… |
| 05-14 05:15:40 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xe19b3a… |
| 05-14 05:15:26 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf6f2b5… |
| 05-14 05:05:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc9ce67… |
| 05-14 05:05:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8aa7af… |
| 05-14 01:25:02 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcfee3a… |
| 05-14 01:11:11 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x16bed5… |
| 05-14 01:10:01 | Decimal-Boundary 0x3926…9d3e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x937f8a… |
| 05-14 00:56:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x1e12e7… |
| 05-14 00:56:34 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaeaea6… |
| 05-14 00:56:33 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xdcf528… |
| 05-14 00:42:08 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xbd42ee… |
| 05-14 00:41:51 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x4e9b2e… |
| 05-14 00:27:07 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xd9920c… |
| 05-13 23:13:30 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x933978… |
| 05-13 22:15:50 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 48 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa08a0e… |
| 05-13 22:12:31 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa68d00… |
| 05-13 22:12:04 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xf24f52… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x77aea4… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x459e2f… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x0831c2… |
| 05-13 22:06:53 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x42636c… |
| 05-13 22:00:52 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x05cc63… |
| 05-13 21:23:38 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x03a8b8… |
| 05-13 21:23:08 | Probable-Site 0x1e52…91d6 | No | SELL | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0xe8f2ed… |
| 05-13 21:23:06 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x8f6d90… |
| 05-13 21:23:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0xdd674b… |
| 05-13 20:10:57 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x0fc8cd… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x885ce3… |
| 05-13 19:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x1c8b72… |
| 05-13 11:33:07 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x733f23… |
| 05-13 06:08:30 | Tricky-Towel 0x4e50…7a7f | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xd24506… |
| 05-13 06:03:57 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0e07c8… |
| 05-13 05:01:05 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1b723a… |