Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$500
Trades
51
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 13:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $51 | $51 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $30 | $389 | $359 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $20 | $20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $351 | $350 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $41 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Peace-Cayenne 0x0114…fbfa | Yes | +1,235 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-12 04:28 |
| Eminent-Chipmunk 0x8bca…6611 | No | +302 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-12 13:57 |
| Quixotic-Beancurd 0x4230…152e | Yes | +87 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:20 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +65 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 13:27 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-11 23:06 |
| Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 18:09 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-12 02:18 |
| Well-Off-Chorus 0x14fb…993d | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 23:27 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 15:57 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:44 |
| Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 20:24 |
| Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 03:24 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 12:47 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 12:42 |
| Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Burdensome-Gang 0x6386…4637 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 03:53 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:01 |
| Impish-Pants 0xfd6c…22d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 13:57:57 | Eminent-Chipmunk 0x8bca…6611 | No | BUY | 302 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x1187d3… |
| 05-12 13:43:04 | Secondary-Lining 0x5c21…c52c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb2271… |
| 05-12 13:32:52 | Formal-Biplane 0x27ce…f2a5 | Yes | SELL | 370 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x63cfb5… |
| 05-12 12:42:54 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd60364… |
| 05-12 12:37:48 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7ce14… |
| 05-12 10:36:42 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x62a7b8… |
| 05-12 08:12:28 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xea46ef… |
| 05-12 05:44:46 | Formal-Biplane 0x27ce…f2a5 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa4c16f… |
| 05-12 04:28:35 | Monstrous-Peace-Cayenne 0x0114…fbfa | Yes | BUY | 1,235 | 2¢ | $26 | 0xb40e75… |
| 05-12 03:53:51 | Burdensome-Gang 0x6386…4637 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd27ad8… |
| 05-12 03:24:04 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x47434b… |
| 05-12 02:27:55 | Impish-Pants 0xfd6c…22d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc5a0cb… |
| 05-12 02:18:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x5bc2e9… |
| 05-11 23:27:26 | Well-Off-Chorus 0x14fb…993d | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf68710… |
| 05-11 23:06:00 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x0c7763… |
| 05-11 23:06:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c25fd… |
| 05-11 23:06:00 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb34c11… |
| 05-11 23:06:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3067c0… |
| 05-11 23:03:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74a5e1… |
| 05-11 23:03:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6df43… |
| 05-11 23:02:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d6e5b… |
| 05-11 21:32:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2757d8… |
| 05-11 21:32:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50ff1e… |
| 05-11 20:06:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x465304… |
| 05-11 18:09:22 | Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xf118f0… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68dc27… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd39d91… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9b427… |
| 05-11 16:00:36 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xcd0b6e… |
| 05-11 16:00:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x564f90… |
| 05-11 13:27:39 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x05a7e4… |
| 05-11 03:12:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa80950… |
| 05-11 01:35:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbec467… |
| 05-11 00:44:46 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x09c527… |
| 05-10 23:40:54 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda4e3d… |
| 05-10 22:31:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x933a0f… |
| 05-10 22:01:14 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa66fe8… |
| 05-10 20:24:43 | Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xdf3ed4… |
| 05-10 15:57:10 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x7a628a… |
| 05-10 15:20:24 | Quixotic-Beancurd 0x4230…152e | Yes | BUY | 87 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7670d2… |
| 05-10 12:47:23 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x098a05… |
| 05-10 09:47:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa9675d… |
| 05-10 09:42:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3c281… |
| 05-10 09:42:11 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x452b87… |
| 05-10 09:26:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe30725… |
| 05-10 06:06:12 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x030daf… |
| 05-10 05:56:12 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x8f45f2… |
| 05-10 04:56:12 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc3e1d2… |
| 05-10 04:46:12 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xff2661… |
| 05-10 04:42:36 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4cd745… |
| 05-10 04:42:10 | Wiggly-Strawman 0x15cb…515f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb03b7d… |