Realized P&L
+$4.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
2,132
Trades
27,597
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$64
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 10:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 51% +$1,996
Other
42% 16% +$2,303
Politics
7% 21% +$390
Tech
3% 57% +$80
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +550 $28 6¢ $30 +$2 10-26 13:54
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,248 $2 0¢ $10 +$8 10-10 18:19
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,621 $0 1¢ $10 +$10 10-28 11:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,599 $2 0¢ $7 +$5 09-24 07:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -366 -$39 1¢ $-3 +$36 09-13 11:42
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +405 -$1 0¢ $2 +$2 09-27 22:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-27 21:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 10:48