Carefree-Sauce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

29,037

lifetime

Volume

$1.85M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

83% 93% +$16

Politics

9% 91% +$37

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 40 41f	83	$6.3K	3,880	2,546	+1,334	open	—	02-04 21:07
bitcoin up or down january 9 7am et	12	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-09 13:05
bitcoin up or down january 27 7am et	15	$6.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	open	—	01-27 13:03
bitcoin up or down january 9 6am et	4	$5.9K	3,003	3,003	+0	open	—	01-09 12:34
will trump say american dream during wef address on january 21	29	$4.2K	2,262	1,945	+317	open	—	01-21 16:33
will starmer say u turn during the next prime ministers questions event 972	11	$4.1K	1,313	2,802	-1,489	open	—	03-18 13:04
highest temperature in nyc on january 24 26forhigher	54	$3.8K	2,431	1,389	+1,042	open	—	01-24 20:23
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	51	$3.8K	1,979	1,979	+0	open	—	02-05 15:56
highest temperature in atlanta on february 10 2026 58 59f	100	$3.7K	1,763	1,972	-209	open	—	02-10 16:33
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 90forhigher	92	$3.7K	2,266	1,466	+800	open	—	04-14 20:30
will starmer say police during the next prime ministers questions event	12	$3.5K	2,662	858	+1,804	open	—	03-25 13:36
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 24 25f	81	$3.5K	1,747	1,747	+0	open	—	02-08 20:14
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 46forhigher	24	$3.4K	2,539	839	+1,700	open	—	03-02 02:24
highest temperature in nyc on january 20 28 29f	28	$3.3K	1,493	1,815	-322	open	—	01-20 20:23
highest temperature in toronto on january 29 neg 9c	9	$3.3K	1,803	1,495	+309	open	—	01-29 22:11
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 40 41f	55	$3.2K	1,923	1,318	+605	open	—	03-02 21:04
bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	5	$3.2K	1,737	1,737	+0	open	—	02-04 15:04
highest temperature in toronto on february 23 2026 neg 1c	19	$3.2K	1,758	1,437	+320	open	—	02-23 18:53
highest temperature in nyc on january 11 52forhigher	11	$3.1K	1,533	1,533	+0	open	—	01-11 15:21
bitcoin up or down february 14 12pm et	8	$3.0K	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	02-14 18:01
bitcoin up or down january 7 9am et	8	$3.0K	1,533	1,533	+0	open	—	01-07 15:06
bitcoin up or down january 8 11am et	12	$3.0K	1,502	1,502	+0	open	—	01-08 17:04
bitcoin up or down january 22 10am et	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-22 16:02
bitcoin up or down january 2 11am et	83	$2.9K	4,310	1,487	+2,824	open	—	01-02 16:59
highest temperature in ankara on february 12 2026 12c	14	$2.9K	1,396	1,508	-111	open	—	02-12 18:58
highest temperature in seattle on january 27 54forhigher	14	$2.8K	2,887	0	+2,887	open	—	01-27 22:07
highest temperature in nyc on january 11 50 51f	20	$2.8K	1,288	1,519	-231	open	—	01-11 19:55
highest temperature in dallas on february 13 2026 68forhigher	100	$2.8K	1,108	1,699	-591	open	—	02-13 16:48
will the highest temperature in new york city be 39f or higher on february 2	6	$2.8K	1,190	1,590	-400	open	—	02-02 21:17
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	22	$2.7K	1,573	1,194	+380	open	—	03-12 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:06:27	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x855a91…
07-20 18:06:00	will bernies remarks not air 20260719004357866	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xbc84b1…
07-20 15:35:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbb793b…
07-20 02:49:28	will donald trump publicly insult melania trump by july 31 2026 20260626210612722	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12922c…
07-19 23:57:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xacf78c…
07-19 22:58:51	will the announcers say red card during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403329	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2027d3…
07-19 22:27:01	will the announcers say red card during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403329	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe05254…
07-19 22:12:04	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1434c6…
07-19 22:11:55	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xed294c…
07-19 22:11:45	will the announcers say maradona or pele during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403323	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa58d9d…
07-19 20:57:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x287dd5…
07-19 20:50:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots mikel oyarzabal gte1	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc7ed5e…
07-19 20:49:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc389d1…
07-19 16:17:49	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x665e15…
07-18 23:31:42	will the match not air 20260716161403339	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x05a405…
07-18 23:31:31	will the announcers say maradona or pele during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403323	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xef41a9…
07-18 23:31:18	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9127e0…
07-18 23:31:09	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8d87d2…
07-18 18:27:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa7432c…
07-18 18:27:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdcb73d…
07-18 18:21:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf7ae0a…
07-18 13:41:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x043c9a…
07-17 12:14:33	will donald trump publicly insult kevin warsh by july 31 2026 20260626210612736	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x709b90…
07-17 12:14:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa21148…
07-16 20:03:13	will the match not air 20260716161403339	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa744d4…
07-16 19:04:26	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x168e92…
07-16 19:00:53	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x932253…
07-16 19:00:29	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa19124…
07-16 19:00:19	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xde7179…
07-16 18:57:35	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757327	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0f9bad…
07-16 17:59:02	will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953946 952	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x4f0d4c…
07-16 17:58:46	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xca10cb…
07-16 17:53:49	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953942 837	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x09cead…
07-16 17:50:59	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6f93…
07-16 17:44:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x5db538…
07-16 17:40:38	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8a9b88…
07-16 17:39:58	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x410bc9…
07-16 17:37:20	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfdb743…
07-16 17:37:10	will leavitt say congress during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953939 693	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3462ad…
07-16 17:32:29	will leavitt say congress during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953939 693	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x79e778…
07-16 17:31:22	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb04266…
07-16 17:25:56	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x09aa96…
07-16 17:25:14	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfdab81…
07-16 17:24:37	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x063f66…
07-16 17:24:05	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x3599bb…
07-16 17:23:47	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x73420f…
07-16 17:23:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1e815c…
07-16 17:22:08	will no press briefing air by july 31 20260625205251218 616	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xd88f8d…
07-16 17:15:47	will trumps remarks not air 20260713200621440	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd7fd06…
07-15 21:34:46	will trump say oil at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716019	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcb4b50…
07-15 20:55:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa1008f…
07-15 20:21:29	will trump say tariff at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716022	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xe5b4c8…
07-15 20:20:02	will trump say oil at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716019	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x87ff1d…
07-15 20:11:31	will trumps remarks not air 20260713185716028	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe21af9…
07-15 20:11:05	will trump say boeing at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716016	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd10da9…
07-15 20:10:52	will trump say venezuela at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716017	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x01ddce…
07-15 20:09:43	will trump say elon or musk at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716015	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa001a4…
07-15 20:07:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa5953f…
07-15 20:06:01	will trump say warren buffett at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716024	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x33cb17…
07-15 20:05:44	will trump say spacex at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716014	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa73fca…
07-15 20:05:23	will trump say space force at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716013	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x1b0311…
07-15 20:02:29	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1f3005…
07-15 19:57:52	will trump say space force at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716013	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xa153e3…
07-15 19:40:44	will trumps remarks not air 20260713185716028	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4a2a56…
07-15 18:40:50	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe82622…
07-15 17:32:47	will trumps remarks not air 20260713185716028	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1825bf…
07-15 15:47:43	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20260702155400705	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x92da0d…
07-15 13:50:53	will trumps remarks not air 20260713185716028	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3d8731…
07-15 12:42:58	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012855	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcae503…
07-15 12:41:26	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98166a…
07-15 12:37:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0cfaf4…
07-15 12:08:35	will starmer say public during the next pmq 20260702155400730	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb85879…
07-15 11:48:59	will starmer say victim during the next pmq 20260702155400727	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x382846…
07-15 11:48:38	will starmer say record funding during the next pmq 20260702155400721	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xab41e4…
07-15 11:48:10	will starmer say urgent during the next pmq 20260702155400712	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcc7348…
07-15 11:47:49	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20260702155400705	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x37d409…
07-15 11:46:59	will starmer say united states during the next pmq 20260702155400719	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf5f97…
07-15 11:46:02	will starmer say nhs 3 times during the next pmq 20260702155400708	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x0727c2…
07-15 11:42:46	will starmer say record investment during the next pmq 20260702155400722	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x27877e…
07-15 11:41:53	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20260702155400705	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x764a1d…
07-15 11:41:05	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260702155400704	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5c30df…
07-15 11:40:49	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c47bb…
07-15 11:30:41	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260702155400704	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1790d7…
07-15 11:30:34	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260702155400704	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x59f49b…
07-15 11:23:50	will starmer say ban during the next pmq 20260702155400732	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x88d884…
07-15 11:22:47	will starmer say public during the next pmq 20260702155400730	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1cc95e…
07-15 11:22:20	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260702155400713	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x814794…
07-15 11:18:52	will starmer say russia or ukraine during the next pmq 20260702155400726	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x61f866…
07-15 11:18:26	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc43728…
07-15 11:18:19	will starmer say poverty during the next pmq 20260702155400724	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x13bd23…
07-15 11:09:29	will starmer say russia or ukraine during the next pmq 20260702155400726	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x23483b…
07-15 11:08:50	will starmer say trump during the next pmq 20260702155400720	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x920fb2…
07-15 11:07:41	will starmer say trump during the next pmq 20260702155400720	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x497cc0…
07-15 11:02:38	will starmer say labour during the next pmq 20260702155400729	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb8027e…
07-15 08:58:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26d302…
07-14 22:48:55	will starmer not participate in the next pmq 20260702155400733	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x700d1c…
07-14 18:27:19	will starmer not participate in the next pmq 20260702155400733	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7887d4…
07-14 14:04:56	will the announcers say messi during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716379	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x11ba4b…
07-14 13:56:49	will donald trump publicly insult jptdpt vance by july 31 2026 20260626210612721	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7e272c…
07-14 13:54:43	will trumps remarks not air 20260713200621440	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x644e48…