Sweltering-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

26,757

Trades

114,577

lifetime

Volume

$191.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$567

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-06 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Other

98% 21% +$322

Politics

1% 9% -$73

Tech

1% 25% +$54

Sports

0% 22% -$29

Crypto

0% 3% -$174

Pop-Culture

0% 4% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No		+600	$514	94¢	$567	+$53	05-15 16:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?	7	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$3	06-04 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?	12	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$1	05-28 17:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?	17	$813	824	0	+824	Yes	+$11	06-03 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?	4	$788	800	0	+800	Yes	+$12	06-03 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	18	$721	400	374	+26	Yes	-$38	06-08 07:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2?	13	$699	775	0	+775	No	+$1	06-02 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 30?	4	$619	626	0	+626	Yes	+$6	05-30 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8?	9	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	06-08 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?	3	$598	600	0	+600	No	+$2	06-20 03:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	3	$596	600	0	+600	Yes	+$4	05-28 13:37
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 7?	17	$541	279	279	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 17:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	3	$514	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?	2	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	06-08 07:08
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	16	$498	720	270	+450	No	-$22	04-13 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?	5	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$3	06-13 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?	1	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	06-04 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 3?	2	$495	500	0	+500	No	+$5	06-03 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?	4	$493	590	0	+590	No	+$7	06-15 01:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$471	0	520	-520	Yes	-$49	06-15 12:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?	18	$460	535	0	+535	No	+$0	06-07 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 7?	6	$451	452	0	+452	No	+$1	06-07 15:05
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	25	$449	530	209	+321	No	-$55	04-13 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	06-13 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on June 6?	8	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	06-06 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	06-02 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7?	11	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	06-07 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?	4	$398	475	0	+475	No	+$2	06-07 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 11?	5	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	06-11 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5?	1	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	06-05 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?	9	$395	314	107	+207	Yes	+$14	05-31 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x43e4eb…
09-06 14:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf53103…
09-06 14:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeef46…
09-06 13:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2fe49c…
09-06 13:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcec0eb…
09-06 12:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x357292…
09-06 11:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x35e903…
09-06 11:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe20439…
09-06 10:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84027c…
09-06 10:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x410f95…
09-06 09:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87fb59…
09-06 09:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x9a6141…
09-06 09:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x55be3e…
09-06 09:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x239dd3…
09-06 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb2d3fb…
09-06 07:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9b0119…
09-06 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd501ba…
09-06 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fd305…
09-06 03:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x408dd1…
09-06 02:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e1313…
09-06 00:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e2824…
09-05 22:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb76f6d…
09-05 20:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa6efdd…
09-05 14:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeb7d13…
09-05 13:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ca503…
09-05 13:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9e1c1…
09-05 13:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06affb…
09-05 13:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2722a7…
09-05 13:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x819b46…
09-05 13:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e4c32…
09-05 13:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b656b…
09-05 13:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c27c8…
09-05 12:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e32f5…
09-05 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0c7fc0…
09-05 12:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fcbe0…
09-05 12:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb44392…
09-05 11:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9ab3be…
09-05 07:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab4e95…
09-05 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x305d87…
09-04 23:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdecd92…
09-04 22:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x660058…
09-04 22:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11336f…
09-04 18:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 4?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcc2318…
09-04 15:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x26ea11…
09-04 13:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9a043e…
09-04 12:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x64a146…
09-04 12:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x932578…
09-04 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x86ece9…
09-04 11:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x558da2…
09-04 11:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 4?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xdce42b…
09-04 11:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x56e62f…
09-04 10:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9b2df3…
09-04 09:46:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc7613a…
09-04 08:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1e19d…
09-04 07:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40df60…
09-04 07:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf4f876…
09-04 07:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7c3b66…
09-04 04:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb25107…
09-04 00:53:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9cb8df…
09-04 00:51:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x498ddc…
09-03 21:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6f3768…
09-03 21:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfc8484…
09-03 19:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa7310b…
09-03 19:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x24a26f…
09-03 19:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ad82…
09-03 15:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x032ef7…
09-03 15:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2cf19e…
09-03 14:41:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x403418…
09-03 14:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x46df4d…
09-03 14:13:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe79442…
09-03 13:57:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd029e…
09-03 13:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd61e97…
09-03 13:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa829c6…
09-03 13:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbdc4b2…
09-03 12:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 3?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x34a190…
09-03 10:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xcca0bb…
09-03 07:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcf50f4…
09-03 06:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xe93d50…
09-03 06:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2678a8…
09-03 06:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf76210…
09-03 06:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe9017b…
09-03 06:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xaaaf9f…
09-03 06:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2a0f50…
09-03 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff0acc…
09-03 06:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7614f7…
09-03 06:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x259223…
09-03 06:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08a68d…
09-03 05:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fae8d…
09-03 05:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xee30af…
09-03 05:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe91e92…
09-03 05:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x05bb78…
09-03 05:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6f09f2…
09-03 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x63a4d9…
09-03 01:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x50b965…
09-02 19:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xce5934…
09-02 19:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 2?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf78d7b…
09-02 19:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54d37e…
09-02 19:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb7259b…
09-02 18:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 2?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x74d989…
09-02 18:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x03ac17…