Nocturnal-Steam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$829

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

537

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-05 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

98% 93% -$912

Politics

1% 83% +$17

Tech

1% 100% +$101

Sports

0% 50% -$42

Crypto

0% 100% +$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		-48	-$29	84¢	$-40	-$11	08-05 20:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp mochizu marozsa 2026 08 03	1	$1000	1,028	0	+1,028	Fabian Marozsan	+$28	08-04 21:53
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue	1	$978	1,000	0	+1,000	Weronika Falkowska	-$978	08-05 14:55
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	1	$500	735	0	+735	Canada	+$235	06-28 19:56
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$500	595	0	+595	Over	+$95	06-14 09:43
atp galarne kopriva 2026 08 03	1	$500	578	0	+578	Vit Kopriva	+$78	08-03 21:44
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	1	$400	471	0	+471	No	+$71	06-19 21:20
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5	1	$400	526	0	+526	Under	+$126	06-15 21:09
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$400	482	0	+482	No	+$82	06-19 11:29
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 12?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-12 13:10
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 13c	2	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	04-13 14:48
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 13?	2	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-12 13:10
highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 15c	1	$396	400	0	+400	No	+$4	03-06 09:19
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$396	496	0	+496	No	+$101	06-12 13:13
highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 12c	2	$390	400	0	+400	No	+$10	02-23 16:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$356	200	200	+0	No	+$4	01-06 09:51
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 8corbelow	3	$330	335	0	+335	No	+$5	03-10 15:53
highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 19c	3	$315	320	0	+320	No	+$5	04-09 14:53
lowest temperature in london on april 15 2026 11c	2	$303	200	199	+1	Yes	-$71	04-14 10:56
highest temperature in munich on march 30 2026 7c	1	$299	300	0	+300	Yes	+$1	03-30 15:52
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 20corhigher	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	03-22 15:31
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 13corhigher	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	02-20 17:09
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 15corhigher	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	03-26 08:36
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 13c	1	$296	300	0	+300	No	+$4	03-25 08:05
highest temperature in london on march 8 2026 15c	1	$294	300	0	+300	No	+$6	03-07 10:47
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 18corhigher	4	$267	273	0	+273	No	+$6	03-02 14:35
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 20corhigher	2	$266	134	134	+0	No	-$1	04-13 14:38
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 22corhigher	1	$266	269	0	+269	No	+$3	03-16 09:30
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 20c	2	$264	134	133	+1	No	-$1	04-13 14:38
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 7c	4	$236	242	0	+242	Yes	+$5	02-19 22:58
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 16corhigher	2	$229	230	0	+230	No	+$1	03-15 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 20:45:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x883fee…
08-05 14:55:33	Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue	Noma Noha Akugue	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0xad6561…
08-04 21:53:05	atp mochizu marozsa 2026 08 03	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x8d1fb9…
08-03 21:44:24	atp galarne kopriva 2026 08 03	Vit Kopriva	BUY	578	86¢	$500	0x002bd2…
07-19 21:20:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xcf67f0…
07-19 21:20:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x47a0cb…
07-19 21:19:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x82009e…
07-19 18:45:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x6a1be6…
07-19 18:45:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x6c6aee…
07-19 18:44:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x6f6546…
07-15 19:06:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	305	65¢	$200	0x6ec16c…
07-14 18:43:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xda5d64…
07-14 18:42:50	France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf8715c…
07-14 18:42:34	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xee3274…
07-11 23:05:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x20257b…
07-11 22:36:53	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x15fd98…
07-11 21:01:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x0ccb96…
07-10 19:03:37	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x3d96e4…
07-10 18:18:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x9aa3f4…
07-10 18:16:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xab10d3…
07-09 18:16:14	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xaedb0f…
07-07 21:58:16	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xf037f4…
07-07 21:57:49	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd1a34f…
07-07 20:01:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x4fd955…
07-07 20:00:35	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x36dd86…
07-07 14:55:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xbb9459…
07-07 14:55:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x59bd1c…
07-06 21:17:14	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4ec9ca…
07-06 19:08:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xd0a4fa…
07-05 20:31:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd10f8f…
07-05 20:31:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x938e87…
07-04 21:52:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1f5743…
07-02 20:18:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd64bc7…
07-02 20:18:16	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x57f103…
07-02 20:17:49	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	284	70¢	$200	0x511317…
07-01 21:37:19	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x6131c3…
07-01 21:36:53	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	182	7¢	$13	0x2a6aa0…
07-01 20:55:38	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x98d451…
06-30 22:19:11	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0a4f92…
06-30 22:18:47	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0a7638…
06-30 22:18:28	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x22697b…
06-29 17:38:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x5b9df5…
06-28 19:56:07	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0x46226e…
06-27 21:21:59	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x5d411d…
06-27 21:21:38	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x514e4e…
06-25 20:16:31	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x5b27f0…
06-24 20:23:04	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xd1ef57…
06-24 20:18:40	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xe14c86…
06-22 21:13:23	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x3b68ff…
06-20 14:26:59	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x5d34eb…
06-19 21:22:43	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x807469…
06-19 21:22:26	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x447d0c…
06-19 21:20:37	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x470497…
06-19 11:29:31	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	482	83¢	$400	0xfb268a…
06-18 19:27:22	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xfb4926…
06-17 19:44:26	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x582b97…
06-17 19:43:53	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xb62459…
06-16 21:19:05	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0xa1909b…
06-16 19:14:56	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x5bd240…
06-15 21:09:24	Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	526	76¢	$400	0x6fcb2e…
06-15 18:42:25	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x6bdf1b…
06-15 14:15:25	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x9b5803…
06-14 09:43:49	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xd8bd6d…
06-13 18:12:52	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x276e47…
06-12 13:13:15	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	496	80¢	$396	0xaad9af…
06-12 13:10:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 13?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xa55479…
06-12 13:10:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 12?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xa9c0d6…
06-12 00:02:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 13?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3119c6…
06-12 00:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 13?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xc2dd72…
06-12 00:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x4ebdd8…
06-11 22:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xec96b7…
06-11 22:39:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 13?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc4af27…
06-11 22:39:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x97377c…
06-11 00:23:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xbdca27…
06-11 00:23:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x9eaee8…
06-10 22:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd5769f…
06-10 22:49:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 12?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x7f9aed…
06-10 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad1ccd…
06-10 00:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x913969…
06-10 00:18:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 11?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5b1d05…
06-10 00:18:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on June 11?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x28154e…
06-10 00:08:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x73a573…
06-10 00:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 11?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x1476e4…
06-09 22:44:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on June 11?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe27ed5…
06-09 22:44:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x896160…
06-09 22:44:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on June 10?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x08e626…
06-09 00:07:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x92b95d…
06-09 00:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x5313c3…
06-08 00:09:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8c3f30…
06-08 00:09:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x34bfdc…
06-08 00:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 9?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x123299…
06-08 00:09:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on June 9?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xfe5eb3…
06-08 00:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x438834…
06-08 00:09:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3582b7…
06-07 22:46:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 9?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb6163b…
06-07 22:46:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on June 9?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb602ee…
06-07 22:46:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 9?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x1e0b35…
06-07 00:10:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x31d608…
06-06 22:46:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6b911a…
06-06 22:46:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 7?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x643d08…