Frilly-Buffalo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

593

Trades

1,627

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-26 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 44% -$216

Other

33% 11% -$1,292

Politics

3% 19% -$124

Sports

2% 29% -$50

Tech

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	23	$394	1,819	1,642	+177	No	-$72	05-16 19:25
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	20	$289	417	194	+223	Up	-$31	10-21 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:30 UTC	3	$217	239	0	+239	Up	+$22	04-04 05:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:25 UTC	1	$156	157	0	+157	Up	-$156	04-04 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:05 UTC	3	$130	153	0	+153	Up	+$23	04-04 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	13	$125	204	0	+204	Down	-$125	05-31 19:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	4	$121	146	146	+0	Yes	+$71	10-21 15:24
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	10	$120	295	295	+0	No	-$6	05-15 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	9	$116	1,363	113	+1,250	No	+$62	05-08 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:45 UTC	1	$115	120	0	+120	Up	+$5	04-04 05:49
cde str ogc 2026 04 22 str	2	$109	106	105	+1	No	-$8	04-04 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:25 UTC	5	$108	152	0	+152	Up	-$28	04-04 09:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	53	$105	11,798	4,462	+7,336	No	-$75	06-17 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$102	69	69	+0	Up	+$20	10-21 17:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$101	227	53	+174	Up	+$1	10-21 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:10 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-04 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	16	$99	122	57	+66	Up	+$8	10-21 18:38
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$95	235	195	+41	No	-$5	10-26 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 04:45 UTC	1	$92	296	0	+296	Down	-$92	04-05 04:48
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$91	569	569	+0	Yes	+$19	06-07 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 04:40 UTC	1	$88	92	0	+92	Down	+$5	04-05 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC	5	$85	117	0	+117	Down	+$18	04-04 16:04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	5	$85	57	57	+0	Yes	+$29	05-10 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	11	$80	552	58	+494	No	-$46	05-15 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:35 UTC	6	$80	140	0	+140	Down	-$37	04-04 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	8	$80	133	0	+133	Up	+$53	05-08 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$75	68	56	+12	Down	+$35	10-21 16:50
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	3	$74	41	41	+0	Yes	+$8	05-10 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$73	59	59	+0	Down	+$13	10-21 17:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$73	19,522	8,022	+11,500	Yes	-$57	04-08 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:20:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x251515…
10-26 16:14:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x126e8e…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0xc28260…
10-26 16:09:21	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc6ebd0…
10-26 16:07:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$4	0x6ab8b8…
10-26 15:40:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2a2d14…
10-26 15:40:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x107cf6…
10-26 15:25:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9f5f08…
10-26 15:25:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x0d1b83…
10-26 14:56:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x5af3cc…
10-26 14:55:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xcb7468…
10-26 13:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xde27e9…
10-26 13:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeb29d9…
10-26 13:27:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x1e5efc…
10-26 11:44:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x096a32…
10-26 11:44:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	70	22¢	$15	0x7a2c2e…
10-26 11:34:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x7034cd…
10-26 11:33:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x9c567b…
10-26 11:32:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	96	21¢	$20	0x31dfa5…
10-26 07:28:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3a3b2f…
10-26 07:28:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x377478…
10-26 07:11:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x27bda3…
10-26 07:10:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x9a4be2…
10-26 07:09:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xea3c6a…
10-26 07:08:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x8b2f0e…
10-26 03:33:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2d85e9…
10-26 03:25:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x9b2966…
10-26 03:20:44	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xc1af04…
10-26 03:19:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x9ac046…
10-26 03:18:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc7b075…
10-26 03:18:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x1a7e00…
10-26 01:31:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x566429…
10-26 01:26:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2fa6c7…
10-26 01:14:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xe96e8d…
10-24 16:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf4a06a…
10-24 16:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9f70e9…
10-24 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x751487…
10-24 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf7e91b…
10-24 16:04:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9e9aea…
10-24 16:03:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xcc1476…
10-24 16:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xfe3e11…
10-24 16:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc75748…
10-24 15:57:36	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	533	1¢	$4	0xb536ff…
10-24 15:57:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd433f3…
10-24 15:56:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd25c67…
10-24 15:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xcfa7b7…
10-24 15:55:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2c578f…
10-24 15:54:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x150771…
10-24 15:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2da39f…
10-24 15:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xc9d0cd…
10-24 15:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4bc5cf…
10-24 15:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x8250b7…
10-24 15:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4fc59d…
10-24 15:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x12e099…
10-24 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x19d7cf…
10-24 15:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdcc468…
10-24 15:37:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe152f…
10-24 15:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x305b92…
10-24 15:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x422be1…
10-24 15:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0x6b7ddb…
10-24 15:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xa82dfc…
10-24 15:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x16417b…
10-24 15:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x262c9f…
10-24 15:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc7bbb2…
10-24 15:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x736eb6…
10-24 15:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xc148f9…
10-24 15:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb5a351…
10-24 15:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x2ef4d7…
10-24 14:59:57	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	533	1¢	$8	0x8f31b0…
10-24 14:55:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa64c9d…
10-23 02:23:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4a2dff…
10-23 02:19:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x451fac…
10-21 20:04:54	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x24a770…
10-21 20:01:39	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x8ba312…
10-21 19:27:39	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7b4506…
10-21 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3f4ff9…
10-21 19:23:17	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	113	8¢	$9	0x7477d3…
10-21 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaa5100…
10-21 19:03:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x28b17e…
10-21 19:01:29	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xfe0f46…
10-21 18:52:56	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5f3224…
10-21 18:49:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x542128…
10-21 18:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4e8407…
10-21 18:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7f8b0f…
10-21 18:47:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	61	40¢	$24	0x4f41f2…
10-21 18:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x17da89…
10-21 18:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc2843e…
10-21 18:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1c8775…
10-21 18:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaf9a0f…
10-21 18:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x824104…
10-21 18:42:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6c0f80…
10-21 18:42:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfa9855…
10-21 18:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x88088b…
10-21 18:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd615d4…
10-21 18:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x13faf9…
10-21 18:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1c132c…
10-21 18:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x8c0ce0…
10-21 18:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1a1d88…
10-21 18:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe68906…
10-21 18:36:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x2a0787…