Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$221
$323 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$4,878
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 00:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $115 | $115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $1 | $86 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 7 | — | $84 | $84 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $91 | $91 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | +243 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:11 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-14 22:19 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 9 | 05-13 05:56 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Grim-Try 0x8f48…c2d1 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 23:44 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-14 19:24 |
| Normal-Moonlight 0x3c87…546e | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 20:03 |
| Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 20:54 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 04:22 |
| Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Small-Snob 0x754a…1fd8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:30 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:24 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:30:12 | Small-Snob 0x754a…1fd8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x963f16… |
| 05-14 23:44:57 | Grim-Try 0x8f48…c2d1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x67b8e6… |
| 05-14 22:54:54 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec56d5… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xff3ddf… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d318c… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a8c0d… |
| 05-14 22:12:35 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xc7b886… |
| 05-14 21:56:52 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb42654… |
| 05-14 21:42:29 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xad4a01… |
| 05-14 21:11:55 | Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | BUY | 243 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x830885… |
| 05-14 20:54:43 | Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0758c2… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x066eb8… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf9732c… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x54faf2… |
| 05-14 20:03:49 | Normal-Moonlight 0x3c87…546e | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf6e33c… |
| 05-14 19:24:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x608e8d… |
| 05-14 18:01:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7d0188… |
| 05-14 15:49:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc04d29… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x54d5af… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x26d936… |
| 05-13 22:46:03 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x939bfe… |
| 05-13 22:24:33 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe7b30a… |
| 05-13 17:37:46 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x641a93… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x518aa6… |
| 05-13 11:08:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a8514… |
| 05-13 11:08:09 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7638a… |
| 05-13 05:56:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x638fe1… |
| 05-13 05:46:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7e6f28… |
| 05-13 05:36:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf26cd6… |
| 05-13 05:26:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x274de3… |
| 05-13 05:16:17 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x20a591… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8525eb… |
| 05-13 05:06:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2a0f57… |
| 05-13 04:46:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x01331f… |
| 05-13 04:36:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xea7dfc… |
| 05-13 04:26:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7b5f53… |
| 05-13 04:22:06 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x511031… |
| 05-13 04:17:05 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xea21ad… |