Obvious-Crystal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

352

Trades

691

lifetime

Volume

$8.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-23 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

82% 90% +$3

Crypto

9% 89% +$0

Politics

6% 77% $0

Sports

3% 27% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	3	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	05-16 00:21
Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	3	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-11 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-16 14:16
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	3	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:13
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	5	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 12?	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-12 05:28
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	3	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	04-13 08:35
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 22c	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	04-11 02:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 4 2026 70 71f	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	04-04 04:36
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on May 15?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-14 15:52
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 74 75f	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-02 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 8?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-08 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 5?	6	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:17
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-09 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	5	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 19:08
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	03-30 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on May 5?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 18:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	4	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	05-14 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 4?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-03 22:01
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-16 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 11?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-10 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:19
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-24 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on May 6?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on April 29?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-29 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 7?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-07 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	7	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-07 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:26:08	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xadca4b…
10-28 05:25:19	Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xebe6de…
10-23 17:17:32	Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16b954…
09-29 19:27:35	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x92da5e…
09-29 19:26:38	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xa49d25…
09-29 19:25:45	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1576d6…
09-29 19:24:56	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe14236…
09-29 19:24:05	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd40488…
09-29 19:23:09	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4e7047…
09-29 19:22:15	Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x298be5…
09-29 19:21:33	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8519c6…
09-12 06:53:49	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1e0a5a…
08-29 07:27:43	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe43d31…
08-24 00:52:15	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf31058…
08-10 10:22:10	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde6fa6…
08-04 18:28:33	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc40348…
07-30 14:32:02	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6c1ad…
07-24 08:30:51	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x591ff9…
07-19 21:00:57	Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa03196…
07-19 20:47:33	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x223738…
07-19 20:46:39	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x592476…
07-19 20:45:45	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbc0ed3…
07-19 20:44:51	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x829e87…
07-12 04:57:35	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x384735…
07-03 22:58:29	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x583fb5…
06-28 16:09:50	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbc6b0…
06-27 10:05:11	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x753a08…
06-21 00:14:16	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9254a0…
06-20 09:38:14	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x414c8a…
06-20 09:37:22	Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf8144a…
06-18 23:28:47	Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f834e…
06-06 19:26:40	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae58a4…
05-18 13:34:27	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1dcbf3…
05-17 20:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x797c66…
05-17 16:35:42	Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2df207…
05-17 16:13:41	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$38	0xcc227b…
05-17 15:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf935d1…
05-17 15:06:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x406b5c…
05-17 14:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9c3bfb…
05-17 12:09:14	Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5ced41…
05-17 08:27:11	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcd973a…
05-17 06:45:45	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2592e2…
05-17 04:21:54	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x87ca10…
05-17 02:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c9ada…
05-17 01:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x37e976…
05-17 01:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe8a4ed…
05-17 00:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f8e6…
05-17 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2158bb…
05-16 23:54:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x851a67…
05-16 22:13:14	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0x920a79…
05-16 20:03:28	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xfb441d…
05-16 17:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d56ab…
05-16 15:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x217a63…
05-16 14:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x3f2eee…
05-16 13:37:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa65f70…
05-16 13:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0c06d7…
05-16 13:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb34544…
05-16 11:40:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6bbfb5…
05-16 10:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x37e937…
05-16 08:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0a7012…
05-16 07:19:30	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3217d5…
05-16 05:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6e3370…
05-16 05:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x8069ca…
05-16 04:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x28f3c6…
05-16 00:21:03	Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xfae3c7…
05-15 23:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc14220…
05-15 21:55:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x803fc9…
05-15 21:52:09	Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcafb56…
05-15 19:58:17	Will Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xede5cd…
05-15 19:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2efeb8…
05-15 19:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x12f0ac…
05-15 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2966a9…
05-15 18:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9b69c…
05-15 18:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfcca20…
05-15 18:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x556143…
05-15 18:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d1f5a…
05-15 17:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3d0b8d…
05-15 17:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x16b08c…
05-15 15:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e93b1…
05-15 13:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x720256…
05-15 12:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbd2d5e…
05-15 09:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaa0234…
05-15 09:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x54c66f…
05-15 09:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 15?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3dea08…
05-15 09:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x39ac7f…
05-15 09:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1c931e…
05-15 09:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x95e57a…
05-15 09:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbc41b3…
05-15 01:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x398cd9…
05-14 23:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8ee91f…
05-14 22:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd058d9…
05-14 22:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a910…
05-14 20:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0758c2…
05-14 20:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0d6056…
05-14 18:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x289ead…
05-14 17:10:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x170afb…
05-14 17:00:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x11e235…
05-14 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7e505b…
05-14 16:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeca616…
05-14 16:01:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc12614…