Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$160
$5 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$3,329
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 23:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $63 | $62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $60 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $57 | $57 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $26 | $26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +280 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | Yes | +188 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:25 |
| Coordinated-Safe 0xb38e…272b | Yes | +103 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:54 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-16 14:29 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 15:29 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Skinny-Centimeter 0x4473…95f1 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 13:09 |
| Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 15:06 |
| Immaterial-Inevitable 0x3f0b…7f44 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 07:29 |
| Oddball-Coalition 0xebd2…1b40 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 07:40 |
| Colorful-Goose 0x0ee6…4c00 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 06:44 |
| Lopsided-Dart 0xb647…9ef4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:41 |
| Impeccable-Circadian 0x8984…da38 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:05 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 11:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:00:27 | Starchy-Turning 0xce8e…6c34 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x30c83f… |
| 05-16 15:16:53 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebe030… |
| 05-16 14:29:41 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x4507e7… |
| 05-16 14:21:47 | Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x89e303… |
| 05-16 14:11:50 | Judicious-Keystone 0x2b1a…6acc | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xa046c4… |
| 05-16 14:02:23 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a7360… |
| 05-16 14:02:21 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf89924… |
| 05-16 14:02:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x095037… |
| 05-16 14:02:13 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa473d… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70b46d… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77bb18… |
| 05-16 06:09:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfd66c… |
| 05-15 20:38:18 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b4ba6… |
| 05-15 15:06:23 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x915bfa… |
| 05-15 13:09:36 | Skinny-Centimeter 0x4473…95f1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x1c3d0c… |
| 05-15 11:06:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x41b47c… |
| 05-15 10:41:54 | Lopsided-Dart 0xb647…9ef4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcd1e68… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd932d6… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb2313c… |
| 05-15 07:40:19 | Oddball-Coalition 0xebd2…1b40 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xb4dd67… |
| 05-15 07:29:52 | Immaterial-Inevitable 0x3f0b…7f44 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xae96b1… |
| 05-15 06:44:12 | Colorful-Goose 0x0ee6…4c00 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x496260… |
| 05-14 23:17:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf03f0f… |
| 05-14 21:25:06 | Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9cef28… |
| 05-14 15:29:34 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf3fa0d… |
| 05-14 13:25:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92bb92… |
| 05-14 12:57:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe73c08… |
| 05-14 07:54:11 | Coordinated-Safe 0xb38e…272b | Yes | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdd7151… |
| 05-14 05:05:27 | Impeccable-Circadian 0x8984…da38 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x62c881… |