Judicious-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-08 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Crypto

33% 83% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	5	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	05-31 23:15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 04:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 03:07
will msft dip to 330 by april 13 2026	3	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 15:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 08:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 17:50
open above 3pt5 on april 17 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 13:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 16:11
highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	6	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 01:18
highest temperature in ankara on april 19 2026 4corbelow	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 19:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 19 2026 29c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 19:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 17:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:28
highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 14c	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 16:35
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-31 17:05
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-02 12:33
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	02-04 17:02
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 30c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 02:13
highest temperature in manila on april 20 2026 39corhigher	5	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 08:42
will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-19 00:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 15c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 15:31
highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 90 91f	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 14:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 12c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 13:22
highest temperature in san francisco on april 18 2026 60 61f	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 19:25
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 56 57f	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-26 13:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 10:56
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 19	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 18:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 4c	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:54:42	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73032f…
06-03 14:23:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb0820a…
06-02 12:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1033d3…
06-02 02:03:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2e50ce…
06-01 10:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2279a3…
05-31 23:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc3a2…
05-31 23:15:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0eb586…
05-31 21:50:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1d543a…
05-31 17:05:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa85585…
05-30 22:51:25	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd35e96…
05-30 17:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x49da46…
05-30 14:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68deb4…
05-30 13:38:36	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2d25bd…
05-30 10:00:08	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xec6e11…
05-29 21:06:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa5a672…
05-29 18:53:12	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x985c0e…
05-26 13:28:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xadaa3f…
05-26 02:57:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe768f5…
05-25 16:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3c60be…
05-25 07:00:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x99ef76…
05-25 02:22:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x1fc0df…
05-22 14:58:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b867…
05-20 17:52:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1e7a1a…
05-20 17:50:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x93faad…
05-19 21:15:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6f91f0…
05-19 11:43:13	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x203a90…
05-19 04:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfb8d09…
05-18 19:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36e6ad…
05-17 00:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf635d0…
05-15 03:07:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc387db…
05-14 19:40:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1b541…
05-14 08:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x663327…
05-13 22:57:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x56c82a…
05-10 10:56:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x088163…
05-10 07:50:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa6f273…
05-09 15:58:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdde7cb…
05-09 08:45:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x60d86c…
05-08 04:28:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3db120…
05-07 17:14:08	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc5c3e4…
05-07 15:41:35	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x105946…
05-07 11:49:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c276f…
05-07 04:16:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4b00db…
05-07 01:49:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f64ef…
05-03 04:43:16	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbcb1f9…
05-02 11:06:52	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9102a7…
04-30 17:17:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa3e6c7…
04-29 23:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc197cb…
04-29 14:49:34	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb54a10…
04-29 11:51:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850e44…
04-29 10:12:54	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcfd88d…
04-27 13:52:46	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x40949a…
04-27 11:58:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd7b0e5…
04-26 13:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74fd4e…
04-26 13:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe0ba4a…
04-26 10:08:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0dc59c…
04-25 04:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4f217e…
04-25 02:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf12aab…
04-24 19:39:04	Will Solana dip to $75 on April 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x91ba41…
04-24 18:46:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xeafa7c…
04-24 15:29:42	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x068cb8…
04-24 15:28:22	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9c0a7…
04-24 15:28:22	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x39454c…
04-24 15:28:22	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3f6b…
04-24 15:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x27816d…
04-24 13:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0df5b9…
04-24 11:18:40	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xad1b2e…
04-24 10:25:50	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa66d15…
04-24 09:11:12	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 56 57f	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4238bb…
04-24 09:04:44	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 20 above $310?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc93322…
04-23 17:08:04	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd9565a…
04-23 14:23:44	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x145074…
04-23 07:51:32	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12d99b…
04-23 02:09:18	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x819bf9…
04-22 23:18:00	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xabcf7e…
04-22 21:37:58	highest temperature in lucknow on april 23 2026 46c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb74f…
04-22 20:27:38	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5495fa…
04-22 16:35:26	highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 14c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa603d4…
04-22 16:06:54	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 32c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x72433a…
04-22 15:31:54	highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 15c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9d8e58…
04-22 15:15:18	highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe603c5…
04-22 14:55:18	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 90 91f	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbdc7a5…
04-22 03:16:40	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x312509…
04-22 03:00:12	highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1a1b0e…
04-22 02:13:54	highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 30c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6a0d55…
04-22 01:18:46	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b6ca0…
04-22 00:37:52	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x77a090…
04-22 00:18:40	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x52c431…
04-22 00:16:56	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54cbb5…
04-22 00:16:54	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa82eda…
04-22 00:04:36	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7c4a19…
04-21 15:12:28	highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 30c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d8c35…
04-21 12:38:46	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaad233…
04-21 08:34:30	highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 4c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x73aa7c…
04-21 07:09:46	xrp above 1pt6 on april 21	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3017cd…
04-21 06:07:22	xrp above 1pt6 on april 21	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa410e7…
04-20 23:23:54	highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 4c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9450a…
04-20 17:46:38	will elizabeth taylor taylor swift be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of april 25	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x626f92…
04-20 14:33:44	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 20	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc4b4a2…
04-20 09:19:32	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 10c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3e0db0…
04-20 08:42:16	highest temperature in manila on april 20 2026 39corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe57b31…