Judicious-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-10 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

39% 83% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	5	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	05-31 23:15
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	4	$83	41	41	+0	open	—	07-30 20:29
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-19 23:07
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	07-29 21:28
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-22 15:00
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-19 04:01
will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	07-27 02:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-29 23:26
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-23 15:43
will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-31 00:45
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 04:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 03:07
will msft dip to 330 by april 13 2026	3	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 15:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 08:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 17:50
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-30 20:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 16:11
open above 3pt5 on april 17 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 13:13
highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	6	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 01:18
highest temperature in ankara on april 19 2026 4corbelow	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 19:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 19 2026 29c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-18 19:22
will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-31 04:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 17:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:28
highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 14c	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 16:35
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-31 17:05
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 04:15
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	08-07 22:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-02 12:33
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	02-04 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:37:46	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe7f05c…
08-09 12:14:09	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318517…
08-09 04:55:00	ethereum above 2300 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde4629…
08-08 17:31:12	ethereum above 1800 on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a5754…
08-07 22:12:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4dd19c…
08-07 12:53:28	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11501b…
08-07 08:10:19	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe304c…
07-31 04:36:18	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xcaf71c…
07-31 02:37:50	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x4f9c24…
07-31 00:45:59	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x646dea…
07-31 00:41:38	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd53f46…
07-30 22:10:02	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa5afea…
07-30 21:35:50	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8ca97f…
07-30 21:35:48	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbf971f…
07-30 20:35:42	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3b325c…
07-30 20:29:11	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xa76317…
07-30 20:20:42	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbe9abf…
07-30 18:18:57	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x48ff4a…
07-30 16:39:47	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf4ef2b…
07-30 14:33:17	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x384a5b…
07-30 10:06:02	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2a2a3e…
07-30 08:23:02	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ca7f2…
07-30 05:34:08	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x029f4b…
07-30 01:16:08	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca5643…
07-29 23:26:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x211c73…
07-29 21:28:17	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x0ef360…
07-29 19:49:15	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x888384…
07-29 18:44:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x35dd79…
07-27 02:29:58	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x333ea1…
07-26 23:56:33	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5d8a54…
07-26 07:02:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa4e00f…
07-26 05:03:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x096434…
07-24 16:54:10	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76f53d…
07-24 13:58:12	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbbe0c2…
07-24 13:39:37	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bfffe…
07-23 23:13:30	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7038cd…
07-23 22:01:37	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfef683…
07-23 15:43:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x12c954…
07-23 10:42:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0af4e0…
07-22 15:00:30	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa4bd23…
07-22 14:48:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x09077b…
07-22 12:11:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x62c941…
07-21 15:46:15	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5caa62…
07-19 23:07:55	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x2bf013…
07-19 18:33:15	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe07227…
07-19 16:55:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x89a2ca…
07-19 13:57:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x248342…
07-19 10:12:00	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc66bce…
07-19 06:25:16	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79bc7c…
07-19 04:01:07	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0e8081…
07-19 02:39:19	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x0bb4c3…
07-18 22:05:45	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe573ff…
07-11 05:34:02	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa34fbd…
07-10 13:42:53	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1c07e5…
07-08 11:38:52	ethereum above 1500 on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf93a78…
06-08 18:54:42	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73032f…
06-03 14:23:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb0820a…
06-02 12:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1033d3…
06-02 02:03:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2e50ce…
06-01 10:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2279a3…
05-31 23:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc3a2…
05-31 23:15:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0eb586…
05-31 21:50:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1d543a…
05-31 17:05:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa85585…
05-30 22:51:25	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd35e96…
05-30 17:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x49da46…
05-30 14:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68deb4…
05-30 13:38:36	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2d25bd…
05-30 10:00:08	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xec6e11…
05-29 21:06:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa5a672…
05-29 18:53:12	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x985c0e…
05-26 13:28:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xadaa3f…
05-26 02:57:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe768f5…
05-25 16:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3c60be…
05-25 07:00:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x99ef76…
05-25 02:22:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x1fc0df…
05-22 14:58:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b867…
05-20 17:52:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1e7a1a…
05-20 17:50:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x93faad…
05-19 21:15:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6f91f0…
05-19 11:43:13	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x203a90…
05-19 04:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfb8d09…
05-18 19:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36e6ad…
05-17 00:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf635d0…
05-15 03:07:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc387db…
05-14 19:40:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1b541…
05-14 08:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x663327…
05-13 22:57:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x56c82a…
05-10 10:56:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x088163…
05-10 07:50:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa6f273…
05-09 15:58:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdde7cb…
05-09 08:45:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x60d86c…
05-08 04:28:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3db120…
05-07 17:14:08	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc5c3e4…
05-07 15:41:35	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x105946…
05-07 11:49:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c276f…
05-07 04:16:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4b00db…
05-07 01:49:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f64ef…
05-03 04:43:16	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbcb1f9…
05-02 11:06:52	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9102a7…