Judicious-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

437

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

77% 81% +$2

Crypto

17% 90% +$1

Politics

3% 67% +$0

Sports

2% 60% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?	9	$113	57	57	+0	No	$0	07-26 06:08
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	5	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-31 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?	3	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-25 15:27
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	4	$83	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-30 20:29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-19 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 25?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-25 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 02:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 10?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-10 11:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-23 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 18?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-17 13:28
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 23:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 29?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:54
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 25?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 17:03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 15:41
Will Nationalist Party win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 09:09
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-31 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-26 15:24
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 23:36
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 11?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-10 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb12e68…
10-18 19:40:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2d9a99…
10-16 09:10:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3b5293…
10-12 02:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x385cd7…
10-12 02:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xcf4a25…
10-11 22:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9256e6…
10-11 21:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf2ccf2…
10-11 21:42:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x93512f…
10-11 21:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x646e1b…
10-11 19:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4c4465…
10-10 05:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on October 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1826a2…
10-07 19:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5584b3…
10-05 09:55:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x782cf5…
10-02 00:04:08	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xda06cf…
10-01 23:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdab336…
10-01 05:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x39f2d1…
09-28 02:01:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbd94a…
09-27 19:48:03	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x92d9ff…
09-23 20:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb2d6a9…
09-23 03:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e4098…
09-22 23:44:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x90ddb9…
09-22 21:42:31	Will Jacy Sheldon have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d358d…
09-22 19:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1eb088…
09-22 18:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2db8d1…
09-21 19:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on September 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9c856b…
09-20 01:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd0f69f…
09-18 00:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x09c325…
09-17 15:15:30	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x02742b…
09-13 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc4147c…
09-11 18:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xea0a15…
09-11 01:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x32d78d…
09-10 20:25:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x466264…
09-07 14:38:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5b92b…
09-06 14:52:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x10339e…
09-06 04:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x158f0a…
09-06 01:11:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x88bbb4…
09-05 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x7f962d…
09-05 03:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4aad53…
09-04 20:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d1ece…
09-04 16:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x854233…
09-04 06:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28b159…
09-04 04:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf4ac2b…
09-03 16:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x41a58b…
09-03 09:56:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5187a5…
09-03 01:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x65c2b1…
09-02 14:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xabd31c…
09-02 09:40:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xfffda9…
09-02 07:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x95fd34…
09-01 12:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x35e55e…
09-01 03:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa45d79…
08-31 06:13:01	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x627bbd…
08-31 02:36:58	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb27a4c…
08-30 19:55:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc960dc…
08-30 15:50:09	Will BNB dip to $200 in August?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0fdd01…
08-30 03:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa1f660…
08-29 08:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xef14d6…
08-27 09:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2629b2…
08-27 04:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa3c1dc…
08-26 23:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x640ba9…
08-26 18:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x1e504e…
08-26 10:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x745982…
08-26 09:09:54	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6115d1…
08-25 11:28:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1219dc…
08-25 05:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2c81e6…
08-24 22:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf6c09a…
08-24 18:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7beb08…
08-24 08:41:48	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a3b88…
08-24 04:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16639b…
08-23 20:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x0e76b6…
08-14 19:25:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 14	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8604ae…
08-14 17:10:46	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x692b3a…
08-13 17:54:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2a2b0e…
08-13 16:10:45	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeeacd7…
08-13 09:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x7dd062…
08-13 05:14:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1612da…
08-12 21:19:48	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcdbe51…
08-12 08:27:49	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x138681…
08-12 04:44:21	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb11a86…
08-11 23:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x84c83a…
08-11 15:13:49	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0196ac…
08-11 12:39:31	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x599c0f…
08-10 22:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ece79…
08-10 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ed7e5…
08-10 15:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf4d0fd…
08-10 12:37:46	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe7f05c…
08-09 12:14:09	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318517…
08-09 07:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5a3bd0…
08-09 04:55:00	ethereum above 2300 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde4629…
08-09 01:32:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e9dc5…
08-08 17:31:12	ethereum above 1800 on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5a5754…
08-08 07:54:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f6474…
08-08 04:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xa2e846…
08-07 22:12:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4dd19c…
08-07 19:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f5960…
08-07 12:53:28	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11501b…
08-07 08:10:19	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe304c…
08-06 08:15:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4bc088…
08-06 02:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe56451…
08-06 00:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe77b49…
08-05 18:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1dc3c7…