Lopsided-Dart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

366

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$9.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-01 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

74% 75% +$1

Crypto

18% 77% +$0

Politics

4% 68% $0

Sports

3% 33% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+10	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-26 17:13
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+6	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-01 09:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:28
will ewy reach 187 by july 13 2026	3	$76	49	27	+22	No	$0	07-17 17:36
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-04 08:34
solana above 90 on july 16 2026	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-16 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 31?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 17?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-16 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on July 22?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-18 02:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 04:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-20 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on July 13?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-12 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-22 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on July 11?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-14 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on August 4?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-04 05:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-01 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 18?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-17 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 26?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-26 16:15
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	5	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	08-02 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-01 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-21 18:27
ethereum above 1500 on july 3 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 27?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-29 08:59
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:06:46	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xe1bda5…
10-26 17:13:12	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xe34bde…
10-03 00:22:11	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x35493a…
09-27 05:44:57	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x72aa24…
09-27 05:44:03	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5e9dd5…
09-24 22:52:20	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x980730…
09-11 20:45:54	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62bf9f…
09-04 17:18:33	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0f7363…
09-04 17:17:19	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2bed37…
09-04 17:16:04	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa415aa…
09-04 16:56:28	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc5cc6f…
08-29 18:15:37	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70396d…
08-23 14:04:57	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfb317…
08-06 12:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on August 6?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd58b98…
08-05 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc33270…
08-05 03:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1a0915…
08-05 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84b155…
08-05 01:07:26	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x71d9a6…
08-04 23:37:36	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf1c5cb…
08-04 22:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc7b557…
08-04 18:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9a1673…
08-04 15:59:27	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae0f8c…
08-04 13:44:48	bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x027175…
08-04 13:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 4?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6c3003…
08-04 12:08:53	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb20bd0…
08-04 10:52:09	bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe74932…
08-04 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 4?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5db5cd…
08-04 05:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on August 4?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x76df41…
08-04 02:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on August 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbec47a…
08-03 23:51:18	Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by at least 25%?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbc54c1…
08-03 21:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe024d2…
08-03 19:20:39	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5bd740…
08-03 17:46:09	Will Kent Benham win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc817a6…
08-03 15:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaba1ef…
08-03 12:52:23	Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by at least 25%?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed6c4d…
08-03 11:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3f2350…
08-03 11:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x6bbee3…
08-03 07:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fdab0…
08-03 05:03:23	Will Kent Benham win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c98b7…
08-03 04:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe762f1…
08-03 04:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2059e4…
08-03 04:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x09a8c5…
08-03 03:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3dd79d…
08-03 03:13:27	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa05e9d…
08-03 02:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x20c823…
08-03 02:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4d654f…
08-03 00:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbda727…
08-02 22:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfd4a71…
08-02 21:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0xa47fb0…
08-02 20:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd21c6a…
08-02 20:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb0c6e8…
08-02 19:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66bf87…
08-02 18:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x78547d…
08-02 18:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 3?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc035a4…
08-02 18:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x92a618…
08-02 17:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xab0202…
08-02 14:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xccaab6…
08-02 14:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x56d16c…
08-02 14:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc97cef…
08-02 10:53:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x63341f…
08-02 10:53:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0x109305…
08-02 10:30:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbaf270…
08-02 08:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x813f6a…
08-02 05:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4663c1…
08-02 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3d485b…
08-02 03:33:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf6fa73…
08-01 23:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe6d2f0…
08-01 23:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x21a5b4…
08-01 20:06:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x335de3…
08-01 19:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3cf953…
08-01 19:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x836505…
08-01 19:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x690d22…
08-01 16:36:15	Will Epic Games have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0d1cbd…
08-01 13:32:56	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x338bc5…
08-01 08:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x60fd02…
08-01 08:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x46d858…
08-01 07:50:35	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x30842e…
08-01 06:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa0e0ca…
08-01 06:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x109e11…
08-01 03:35:24	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4d8cd5…
08-01 03:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3bbd57…
08-01 01:47:14	Will Epic Games have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0c8776…
07-31 22:57:05	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x882092…
07-31 22:18:53	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x16ff85…
07-31 16:33:05	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x32f912…
07-31 16:08:15	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x594169…
07-31 13:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xce04ee…
07-31 13:18:38	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x57e3f1…
07-31 12:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 41°C or higher on August 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7a9a55…
07-31 12:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3b0846…
07-31 11:18:18	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1cd91f…
07-31 10:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xac8914…
07-31 07:43:24	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebd896…
07-31 05:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 41°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe72377…
07-31 03:15:36	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6dac60…
07-31 03:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x496516…
07-31 02:58:45	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06d03c…
07-31 02:37:24	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x760ab6…
07-31 02:16:41	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x95e93c…
07-31 01:36:33	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x33d446…