Starchy-Turning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$8.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

74% 80% -$11

Crypto

17% 83% +$0

Politics

5% 65% +$0

Sports

3% 58% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-25 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	7	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	06-25 11:39
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 28?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-28 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	6	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-15 04:32
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-01 05:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	07-11 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 3?	6	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-03 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 6?	6	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-06 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-12 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 104°F or higher on July 2?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or higher on July 6?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-05 23:59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 26?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 19:11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-25 13:23
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 18:37
Will Guy Morgan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-01 11:21
will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-01 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 13?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-13 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 12?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 5?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-05 01:10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on July 2?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-02 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 5?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-04 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 24?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-24 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 31?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-31 06:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-31 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-06 06:50
will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 6	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 15:45
ethereum above 2000 on july 3 2026	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-02 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 6?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-06 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:46:44	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c2486…
10-12 19:47:05	Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd09fd…
10-12 19:46:12	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xccffe8…
10-12 19:45:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe88730…
10-12 19:44:23	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaea40d…
10-10 19:58:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2982f…
10-07 08:20:27	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc44019…
10-05 01:04:31	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35c339…
10-05 01:03:37	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87a3a1…
10-05 01:02:43	Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x01b034…
10-05 01:01:53	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0de061…
10-05 01:00:58	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x23a1e5…
10-05 01:00:08	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xade170…
10-05 00:59:17	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x242959…
09-06 00:44:21	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61e655…
09-01 12:13:54	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa71d62…
08-30 04:28:30	Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe921b9…
08-25 22:15:07	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5b083…
08-24 00:11:52	Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfce4d9…
08-12 06:53:42	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x78913f…
08-10 03:57:51	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xe19dcf…
08-06 17:31:08	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x55b2e5…
07-24 11:54:00	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x20c0ba…
07-16 05:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 16?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7d535c…
07-15 15:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 16?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x396d40…
07-15 04:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x041dcb…
07-15 00:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x710409…
07-15 00:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x90e584…
07-15 00:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xda645e…
07-14 17:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x58ecdd…
07-14 17:06:22	will mookie betts hit a home run at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714021820674	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe8195f…
07-14 17:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on July 15?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9f97f8…
07-14 16:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbb8bf7…
07-14 15:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd781e6…
07-14 12:42:01	will mookie betts hit a home run at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714021820674	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a5ffb…
07-14 11:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xed5f52…
07-14 09:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa2c632…
07-14 06:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8a6c99…
07-14 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2516d3…
07-13 18:39:38	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 13	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x590271…
07-13 18:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x200dfd…
07-13 16:30:41	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x3319d6…
07-13 16:17:05	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 13	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x87cbba…
07-13 15:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 13?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x686d5b…
07-13 14:57:58	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xce6e16…
07-13 09:33:25	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x42d933…
07-13 09:20:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0fb561…
07-13 09:18:37	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfc4aa2…
07-13 08:12:58	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f3018…
07-13 06:30:37	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x263b1d…
07-13 06:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd1ecd2…
07-13 03:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf071ca…
07-13 03:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdda3ec…
07-13 03:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x115490…
07-13 01:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x967c4e…
07-12 20:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x356bd4…
07-12 16:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97ece5…
07-12 16:29:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x96a402…
07-12 15:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8be959…
07-12 12:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa6f7cd…
07-12 12:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc103fa…
07-12 12:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8189ba…
07-12 12:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xac9e09…
07-12 10:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x080d3a…
07-12 06:49:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3939dc…
07-12 06:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa8a49a…
07-12 06:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6d76ac…
07-12 05:22:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x460841…
07-12 02:49:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc0820e…
07-12 01:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c9e51…
07-12 00:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd2f0be…
07-11 21:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2014d7…
07-11 20:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa54447…
07-11 19:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd2b67f…
07-11 18:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe03169…
07-11 17:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7a1663…
07-11 13:33:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xca2164…
07-11 12:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1e613e…
07-11 12:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xee6c95…
07-11 10:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc23309…
07-11 08:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x83a68a…
07-11 07:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfda124…
07-11 07:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd8f60d…
07-11 06:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4ed241…
07-11 00:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x813f8e…
07-11 00:00:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdde638…
07-10 23:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafb619…
07-10 22:24:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x63bca4…
07-10 21:21:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x017f8d…
07-10 19:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x07d447…
07-10 19:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf9a01e…
07-10 15:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0a9185…
07-10 10:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x04b5c6…
07-10 09:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x124097…
07-10 07:12:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58141a…
07-10 04:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xcaed0a…
07-10 01:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf08552…
07-09 23:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e946d…
07-09 23:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 9?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2e6511…
07-09 03:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa937f4…