Skinny-Centimeter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

324

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-20 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

75% 79% +$1

Crypto

18% 80% +$0

Politics

5% 74% $0

Sports

2% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on July 7?	3	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-07 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on July 8?	4	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-07 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 5?	5	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-04 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 27?	6	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	06-27 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	5	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-17 05:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	3	$74	37	37	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 06:04
bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	3	$73	37	37	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 15:55
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	6	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-18 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on June 1?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-01 12:18
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 0 or 1 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-03 01:45
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.7%?	5	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-29 12:12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on June 4?	5	$60	34	26	+8	No	+$0	06-04 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 13?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-13 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on July 1?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 13:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 11:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-16 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 6?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 14:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-15 16:10
Will Nationalist Party win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-30 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-25 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-12 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-15 20:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-16 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on July 17?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 29?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 23:47:17	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x483e1a…
10-20 23:46:24	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2a6a6b…
10-20 21:30:12	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x68ead9…
10-09 06:51:25	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aad3f…
10-02 16:21:41	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5224a5…
10-02 16:20:47	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x23f0c9…
10-02 16:19:53	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe8aec…
10-02 16:19:00	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc12265…
10-02 16:18:06	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ffacd…
10-02 16:17:12	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c7f05…
09-20 06:10:19	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27c725…
09-18 23:40:51	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea2cca…
09-12 07:44:25	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02565a…
09-08 02:26:24	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb8ec76…
09-07 04:40:40	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xf8f0b0…
08-30 12:11:57	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa483cb…
08-09 01:43:55	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x414804…
08-05 06:59:50	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe95cf8…
07-22 07:58:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x42ebfb…
07-22 06:48:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf14fb…
07-22 05:01:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0db4f5…
07-22 03:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x19c588…
07-22 02:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbca093…
07-22 00:48:42	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58a12c…
07-21 23:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd8195e…
07-21 21:19:51	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd14c18…
07-21 20:59:31	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x735da3…
07-21 20:58:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4033dc…
07-21 20:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8516e1…
07-21 20:04:39	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3f12e3…
07-21 18:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb4fae0…
07-21 18:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4befe5…
07-21 18:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb97d53…
07-21 18:04:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b47eb…
07-21 17:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xe938fb…
07-21 13:14:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43d0c9…
07-21 11:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x76e713…
07-21 08:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd4381a…
07-21 02:21:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x256877…
07-21 02:19:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xae7ff3…
07-21 02:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x937d69…
07-21 01:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x55c3c0…
07-20 20:02:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xed5b0e…
07-20 09:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x62dd27…
07-20 09:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8d82d2…
07-20 09:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 20?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6af7fe…
07-20 09:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe7660d…
07-20 08:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa26dc5…
07-20 08:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5e2b81…
07-20 03:15:28	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x22b673…
07-20 01:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd7c97c…
07-20 00:54:24	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x469a50…
07-19 23:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 20?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa6ccaa…
07-19 22:52:18	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdbc8d6…
07-19 18:38:15	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xddc30e…
07-19 17:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x90a251…
07-19 16:55:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x781cac…
07-19 14:44:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xab6092…
07-19 11:11:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5370ec…
07-19 10:55:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9cbbae…
07-19 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x31eae6…
07-19 01:19:40	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaceb7a…
07-19 01:19:40	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa148a9…
07-18 23:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e4b8…
07-18 22:32:21	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11e408…
07-17 15:31:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x94c1c5…
07-17 15:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x57c415…
07-17 14:52:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8f73c5…
07-17 09:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa98406…
07-17 08:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd462bc…
07-17 06:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc95191…
07-17 05:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xede3f5…
07-17 05:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3a396d…
07-17 05:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc8af04…
07-17 01:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa75576…
07-17 00:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe95749…
07-16 23:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x715eab…
07-16 21:55:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa95bdd…
07-16 19:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfe3e68…
07-16 16:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x11dc22…
07-16 14:55:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x980d8f…
07-16 14:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on July 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf33ce8…
07-16 13:42:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb3cb05…
07-16 13:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0569a2…
07-16 12:10:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x72cbf2…
07-16 10:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x77b0d9…
07-16 09:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on July 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3862d2…
07-16 09:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x84dc26…
07-16 09:01:02	xrp above 1pt3 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe69bdd…
07-16 07:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3e2bf2…
07-16 07:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on July 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe586ee…
07-16 05:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbc19e5…
07-16 01:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcb770e…
07-16 00:47:28	xrp above 1pt3 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x77eae7…
07-16 00:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x3afb27…
07-16 00:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbcc83d…
07-15 22:36:59	xrp above 1pt3 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb10a92…
07-15 22:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdb2992…
07-15 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 16?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xca0a40…
07-15 21:09:16	xrp above 1pt3 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe7c6ad…