Complex-Pneumonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

9,750

lifetime

Volume

$113.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

89% 100% +$6

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 470 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+20	$18	94¢	$19	+$1	06-04 12:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-5	$-3	60¢	$-3	$-0	05-29 23:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 70 71f	59	$1.0K	382	625	-243	open	—	04-11 13:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 20corbelow	28	$696	350	350	+0	open	—	04-08 14:45
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 19corbelow	15	$678	353	362	-9	open	—	04-02 08:14
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 72 73f	15	$590	226	366	-139	open	—	04-21 08:44
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 70 71f	36	$585	338	249	+89	open	—	04-21 09:53
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 68 69f	55	$580	307	275	+32	open	—	04-11 15:42
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 66 67f	39	$509	180	330	-151	open	—	04-11 15:42
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 31c	48	$500	251	251	+0	open	—	04-11 06:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 15corbelow	13	$480	246	236	+11	open	—	04-16 14:17
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 68 69f	14	$448	200	250	-50	open	—	04-21 03:02
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	4	$437	240	200	+40	open	—	06-04 13:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 8corbelow	20	$407	204	204	+0	open	—	04-19 11:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	2	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	04-28 13:26
highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 35forbelow	8	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 05:45
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 18corbelow	9	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 13:51
highest temperature in warsaw on april 11 2026 17corhigher	8	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 10:17
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 11corhigher	11	$381	152	230	-78	open	—	04-20 06:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 23corhigher	12	$346	250	100	+150	open	—	04-08 05:17
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 18c	8	$339	170	170	+0	open	—	04-10 11:54
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	4	$336	170	170	+0	open	—	06-05 13:23
highest temperature in madrid on april 14 2026 15corbelow	18	$331	176	156	+20	open	—	04-14 03:25
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 35c	10	$329	175	159	+16	open	—	04-01 08:51
highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 22c	12	$325	120	206	-86	open	—	04-20 03:04
highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 60 61f	14	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-06 16:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 17corhigher	8	$299	122	178	-56	open	—	04-11 06:39
highest temperature in paris on april 9 2026 19c	7	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-09 02:44
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 10corbelow	30	$299	150	150	-0	open	—	04-12 09:40
highest temperature in toronto on april 7 2026 neg 4corbelow	4	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	04-06 23:54
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 16c	14	$289	120	170	-50	open	—	04-07 08:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 3 2026 22c	7	$289	110	180	-70	open	—	04-03 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:01:45	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc449a8…
06-09 13:01:12	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xf404f4…
06-09 10:35:31	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe9dfd9…
06-09 07:33:43	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x002576…
06-08 13:18:48	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x07da6c…
06-08 11:06:39	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6d2cfe…
06-08 10:40:25	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xeec25e…
06-08 09:20:39	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x89ac43…
06-05 13:23:18	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x425726…
06-05 12:55:09	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x013415…
06-05 12:52:25	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc1cff3…
06-05 09:51:34	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3b339b…
06-04 13:29:31	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x160b7f…
06-04 13:26:10	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd3be08…
06-04 12:02:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1bf1b7…
06-04 10:41:49	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x63a8b8…
06-04 08:53:18	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x41aabc…
06-02 12:43:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6c77ca…
06-02 12:11:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa9d18f…
06-01 13:30:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x47a992…
06-01 12:13:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0c85dd…
05-29 23:14:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfd6312…
05-28 13:32:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x77f19a…
05-28 11:15:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb466d1…
05-27 13:30:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xbab152…
05-27 11:41:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x920700…
05-27 11:33:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4d51b4…
05-27 10:43:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xcd67c5…
05-26 13:05:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdfb281…
05-26 12:19:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xdd55d7…
05-26 09:30:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x60a3b9…
05-24 11:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2ae6f0…
05-21 13:26:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x49abcb…
05-21 07:38:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4ac1a1…
05-20 13:23:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x5c555a…
05-20 10:07:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd2957e…
05-20 08:55:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd72a2c…
05-19 13:27:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4a8ded…
05-19 11:16:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x445c92…
05-15 13:01:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbc19c7…
05-15 12:30:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedf92c…
05-15 12:04:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x240ee1…
05-15 11:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b93d2…
05-15 08:27:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8f96c3…
05-15 08:05:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x08e169…
05-14 14:25:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x240752…
05-14 11:29:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe2dede…
05-13 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xeb12b3…
05-13 09:09:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1e006e…
05-13 07:07:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x18a8fb…
05-13 07:06:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5a50ec…
05-12 13:34:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x87c6a4…
05-12 12:03:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x613158…
05-12 12:01:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7d596…
05-07 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x351f00…
05-07 13:04:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x33a708…
05-07 13:04:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb50a97…
04-30 13:30:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x73e980…
04-30 13:29:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe05c70…
04-30 12:57:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0c2307…
04-30 12:53:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x510a9f…
04-28 13:26:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xf8e889…
04-28 13:10:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf101b9…
04-28 10:58:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x831940…
04-28 10:56:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc2b111…
04-28 10:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xac4afb…
04-28 10:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x97ac46…
04-28 10:39:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1391dd…
04-28 10:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23fae2…
04-28 10:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca4135…
04-28 10:28:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc0915c…
04-28 10:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x17ee06…
04-28 10:23:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x247762…
04-28 10:20:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd7f7e…
04-28 10:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on April 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3cfa70…
04-28 10:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa25c60…
04-28 10:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb642c8…
04-28 10:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x473e1c…
04-28 09:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x35b6ae…
04-28 09:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x421a6a…
04-28 09:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on April 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa71ad7…
04-28 09:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe7554b…
04-28 09:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb3e305…
04-28 09:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe60a44…
04-28 09:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x307941…
04-28 08:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79aa81…
04-28 08:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeed303…
04-28 08:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on April 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x528d1d…
04-28 08:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7f37db…
04-28 08:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb839ac…
04-28 07:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x269e04…
04-28 07:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98b27d…
04-28 07:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd3d93c…
04-28 07:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa08219…
04-28 07:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9b4053…
04-28 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde7c42…
04-28 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa11e0a…
04-28 07:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on April 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x42e8d1…
04-28 06:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xadc5a3…
04-28 06:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x65a619…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	759	$91.1K	11,029	04-28 08:31
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	736	$49.8K	1,606	04-28 08:04
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	672	$635	5,888	05-31 14:43
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	645	$822	9,379	04-28 10:48
Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3	598	$550	4,275	04-28 10:02
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	557	$1.56K	13,160	04-26 07:01
Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb	528	$3.93K	3,325	04-28 08:40
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	504	$17.0K	4,574	04-28 10:57