Complex-Pneumonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$402

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

12,936

Trades

82,964

lifetime

Volume

$1.84M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Other

99% 99% +$384

Crypto

1% 86% +$16

Politics

0% 70% $0

Sports

0% 93% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-5	-$3	78¢	$-4	-$1	05-29 23:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 20?	43	$2.6K	1,300	1,298	+2	No	+$5	09-20 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on September 9?	34	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$5	09-09 04:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 8?	26	$2.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	No	+$4	09-07 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on September 8?	24	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$4	09-08 01:59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 9?	36	$2.0K	1,005	1,003	+2	No	+$4	09-09 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on October 10?	12	$1.8K	926	926	+0	No	+$7	10-10 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on September 10?	76	$1.8K	922	917	+5	No	+$4	09-10 13:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?	82	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$2	06-25 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	19	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$4	08-31 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 9?	64	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$4	08-08 14:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 23?	67	$1.7K	842	840	+2	No	+$2	06-23 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on September 16?	21	$1.6K	805	805	+0	No	+$2	09-15 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on September 1?	17	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$3	08-31 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 17?	20	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$3	08-17 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on August 24?	21	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$3	08-24 03:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 11?	24	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$3	08-11 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 3?	37	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	+$3	10-03 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on September 2?	21	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	+$3	09-01 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on October 7?	41	$1.5K	750	748	+2	No	+$3	10-07 19:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on July 30?	29	$1.5K	738	736	+2	No	+$1	07-30 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 22?	81	$1.5K	737	734	+4	No	+$2	06-22 06:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C on June 24?	63	$1.4K	720	720	+0	No	+$2	06-24 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 27?	31	$1.4K	708	708	+0	No	+$2	08-27 01:45
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 7?	16	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	08-08 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 22?	17	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	09-22 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 18?	17	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	09-18 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 20?	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	09-20 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 25?	29	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	09-25 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	24	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	10-27 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 23?	20	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	09-23 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:00:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ebdc7…
10-28 00:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xab74ca…
10-28 00:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb8c2c1…
10-27 23:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x95443a…
10-27 23:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d366c…
10-27 22:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbe93ec…
10-27 22:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1883e4…
10-27 22:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5133ba…
10-27 22:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x266c8e…
10-27 22:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x581220…
10-27 22:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31ffe1…
10-27 22:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc6459a…
10-27 22:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x775a98…
10-27 22:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc5a1a5…
10-27 22:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x52c8bb…
10-27 22:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x271314…
10-27 22:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1b659f…
10-27 22:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0b499c…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf45d5c…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f276…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8bd0e5…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6fdaee…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x36b30d…
10-27 21:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1bda9d…
10-27 19:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf2690e…
10-27 19:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x356fa4…
10-27 19:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2f2df1…
10-27 19:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2524be…
10-27 19:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x56e232…
10-27 19:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x897ae3…
10-27 19:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x406fea…
10-27 19:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb7e12e…
10-27 18:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xcb3639…
10-27 18:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x98e89a…
10-27 18:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69b8e2…
10-27 18:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9c8136…
10-27 18:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd70380…
10-27 18:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6e9ed…
10-27 18:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb9862c…
10-27 18:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x66d8e8…
10-27 18:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83ec93…
10-27 17:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x3b073d…
10-27 17:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x829b27…
10-27 17:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53ab9a…
10-27 16:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb4afb…
10-27 16:39:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4be32a…
10-27 16:36:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1c386…
10-27 15:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x792e61…
10-27 15:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x14b7aa…
10-27 15:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfb7774…
10-27 15:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ad143…
10-27 14:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x34a7a9…
10-27 13:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x96608a…
10-27 13:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x221372…
10-27 13:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x53ae81…
10-27 13:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0bdbe4…
10-27 13:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ae16…
10-27 13:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75fba9…
10-27 13:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc98c96…
10-27 13:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb25001…
10-27 13:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a8796…
10-27 12:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x00078e…
10-27 12:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x05c58d…
10-27 12:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe98259…
10-27 12:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60c24b…
10-27 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa95e43…
10-27 12:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x75c2c3…
10-27 12:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5ef88c…
10-27 12:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5521c2…
10-27 12:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x4e5043…
10-27 12:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x09abab…
10-27 12:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x80acba…
10-27 12:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe5cfab…
10-27 12:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xfb84bf…
10-27 11:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x80906b…
10-27 11:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5c4b19…
10-27 11:19:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7146b2…
10-27 10:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6c7cba…
10-27 10:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x66f380…
10-27 10:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x26006e…
10-27 10:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8e8df9…
10-27 08:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd3f24…
10-27 08:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc11a0…
10-27 08:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xba9405…
10-27 08:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x35f5e9…
10-27 08:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb229c8…
10-27 08:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x270bce…
10-27 08:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x691e1b…
10-27 08:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e025c…
10-27 08:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xab4b91…
10-27 08:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x346c40…
10-27 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbbf58…
10-27 08:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x15e8a1…
10-27 08:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x230d4d…
10-27 08:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe1745…
10-27 07:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6bad98…
10-27 07:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xebbe32…
10-27 07:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd89200…
10-27 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc45621…
10-27 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x622b48…