Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,963
$5,048 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$12,259
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $381 | $379 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $36 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 6 | — | $349 | $349 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $31 | $31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | +1,331 | $1,328 | $1,328 | 2 | 05-14 10:24 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:39 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +262 | $261 | $261 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-13 16:52 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +153 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:44 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:31 |
| Descriptive-Sauerkraut 0xa4fa…54e1 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 09:49 |
| Helpful-Macrofauna 0x376c…ffd2 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 05:36 |
| Plain-Deviance 0x71be…473d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 10:44 |
| Genuine-Banquette 0x2833…4a24 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 08:39 |
| Remarkable-Network 0x1114…b454 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Loud-Reminder 0x098e…ee15 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 07:54 |
| Detailed-Security 0xc6b9…4383 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:04 |
| International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:35:47 | Masculine-Parchment 0xf434…201e | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xa8f4dd… |
| 05-14 10:44:20 | Plain-Deviance 0x71be…473d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x147f81… |
| 05-14 10:44:20 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 153 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf98539… |
| 05-14 10:24:23 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 357 | 100¢ | $356 | 0x8210f8… |
| 05-14 09:54:24 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 262 | 100¢ | $261 | 0x97010a… |
| 05-14 09:49:01 | Descriptive-Sauerkraut 0xa4fa…54e1 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x935813… |
| 05-14 08:44:28 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2a04cf… |
| 05-14 08:39:16 | Genuine-Banquette 0x2833…4a24 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe2157c… |
| 05-14 08:19:07 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x8d6154… |
| 05-14 07:54:00 | Loud-Reminder 0x098e…ee15 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xed76a5… |
| 05-14 06:06:28 | Remarkable-Network 0x1114…b454 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf17864… |
| 05-14 05:36:10 | Helpful-Macrofauna 0x376c…ffd2 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x32c08d… |
| 05-14 04:56:11 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2a3fd2… |
| 05-14 04:50:28 | International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x87ebe9… |
| 05-14 00:04:03 | Detailed-Security 0xc6b9…4383 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x739f54… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17dc80… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69e479… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4be5db… |
| 05-13 20:39:00 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8b0a17… |
| 05-13 19:42:44 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 974 | 100¢ | $972 | 0x6e24e3… |
| 05-13 16:52:30 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xd4e837… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7e8469… |
| 05-13 09:29:45 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bd737… |
| 05-13 05:03:27 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xabba7d… |