Descriptive-Sauerkraut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

427

Trades

852

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

77% 83% -$4

Crypto

19% 84% +$1

Politics

4% 69% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	5	$145	73	73	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:04
Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	4	$117	58	58	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	4	$101	51	51	+0	No	$0	07-28 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 25?	6	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	5	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-21 03:22
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	3	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 23:47
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-30 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 21?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 31?	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-30 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-20 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on July 24?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 21:57
bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 19?	6	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	10-13 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 21?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 09:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-27 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-21 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 24?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 06:02
xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-22 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:32
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 09:46
Will Katie Bansil be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-03 00:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 29?	4	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 27?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-27 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	2	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	08-27 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 21?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-21 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:31:06	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xccf66d…
10-18 19:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x395798…
10-16 10:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd5075a…
10-13 07:16:25	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1e0982…
10-13 06:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xe805b0…
10-13 01:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4730b0…
10-12 16:00:02	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0c36da…
10-12 09:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xa341c5…
10-12 09:26:13	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc55476…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x22aba2…
10-12 00:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1ca594…
10-11 20:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x65abde…
10-10 05:50:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x17a3c7…
10-05 12:02:05	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x332e46…
10-02 01:35:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x5cfdff…
10-01 22:20:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x366bac…
10-01 06:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22a791…
09-28 05:16:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa49f27…
09-27 18:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde4615…
09-23 05:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x43b260…
09-23 04:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0ef93f…
09-23 02:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8ca1fd…
09-22 18:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe683bf…
09-21 23:40:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf88b9a…
09-18 17:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x65cee4…
09-18 01:04:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x73070e…
09-17 12:20:49	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe2921a…
09-13 03:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe4e4b2…
09-11 20:00:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x19b044…
09-11 18:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2a8a35…
09-11 02:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c758b…
09-10 20:31:21	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x33db42…
09-07 14:15:16	bitcoin above 76k on september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x32985e…
09-06 15:54:10	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6ef219…
09-06 07:21:33	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99de32…
09-05 23:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x542c73…
09-05 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x09a5a4…
09-05 01:02:22	will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1bd48a…
09-04 23:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x76e8d0…
09-04 17:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x95e496…
09-04 10:20:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xab5158…
09-04 04:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x82b971…
09-03 21:35:30	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd250b9…
09-03 09:11:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4d16a6…
09-02 22:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2fde74…
09-02 18:39:34	Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Indonesia by August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x10358c…
09-02 13:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x977090…
09-02 09:02:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x80f44e…
09-01 08:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6302b…
09-01 04:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x769eaf…
08-31 03:55:33	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6f9c5…
08-31 00:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa88ab9…
08-30 23:25:46	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8a59ba…
08-30 15:49:27	Will Solana dip to $70 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb75db1…
08-30 05:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x741473…
08-29 18:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcad8b9…
08-29 09:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x316404…
08-29 07:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbf7ae5…
08-28 05:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5de9d6…
08-27 16:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x677258…
08-27 08:36:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x57b5d3…
08-27 01:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x277be9…
08-26 19:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x608325…
08-26 17:08:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a1ca1…
08-25 15:00:37	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa2425b…
08-25 10:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc6609b…
08-25 04:41:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ee4a5…
08-25 03:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4fb83…
08-25 01:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd62b8a…
08-24 14:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x260a2f…
08-24 10:03:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde84cd…
08-24 00:50:33	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe7db9f…
08-23 20:41:12	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f665f…
08-23 16:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x39c938…
08-14 08:09:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xcf0c4c…
08-13 18:57:16	ethereum above 1600 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf295e9…
08-13 13:39:48	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86b7c1…
08-13 10:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xef228c…
08-13 06:29:43	ethereum above 2100 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9057bf…
08-13 05:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb20387…
08-12 22:10:21	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc487a4…
08-12 07:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x02f6c6…
08-12 02:42:36	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc7409…
08-12 00:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x851373…
08-11 21:34:46	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf047ac…
08-11 12:52:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xebaf51…
08-10 23:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x918d40…
08-10 20:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0ed4f6…
08-10 15:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xacc94d…
08-10 10:57:46	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d28f2…
08-09 12:23:57	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf82d13…
08-09 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x96783a…
08-09 03:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0321c6…
08-09 02:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6bab55…
08-08 18:28:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 8	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x340367…
08-08 08:54:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x375592…
08-08 05:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x197522…
08-07 20:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa843db…
08-07 16:20:12	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b3f0b…
08-07 10:52:33	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x374eb1…